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Consumer sector

AFX

Consumer
Công ty Cổ phần Xuất Nhập khẩu Nông sản Thực phẩm An Giang
Bán lẻ/Phân phối thực phẩm & dược phẩmCT
10.350
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Overvalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
7.448
Current
10.350
Gap
-28.0%
ModelFCF DCF

Valuation Breakdown

CTBán lẻConsumer
Classified as consumer because ICB sector "Bán lẻ" maps to the consumer group
ModelFCF-Based DCF
Value = Sum of [FCF / (1+WACC)^t] + Terminal Value / (1+WACC)^n

A classic Discounted Cash Flow model built on Free Cash Flow (FCF), the actual cash a business generates after all operating expenses and capital expenditures. Future FCF is projected for 10 years with gradually decaying growth, then discounted back to today's value using WACC. This is the gold standard of intrinsic valuation: it values the company based on what it can actually deliver to shareholders, independent of market sentiment.

Distressed Valuation
Negative Intrinsic Value
BVPS
14.895
x
Discount
50%
=
Floor Value
14.895

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — AFX

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

45
Weak
Accrual Quality
44
Cash Conversion
0
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
82
Revenue Quality
13

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-1.23
High Risk
DSRI
1.204
GMI
1.538
AQI
0.028
SGI
1.368
DEPI
1.026
SGAI
0.696
TATA
0.160
LVGI
0.877

AFX exhibits several concerning financial metrics, particularly with a Beneish M-Score of -1.2301, indicating potential earnings manipulation risk. The earnings quality score of 45.3/100, coupled with high growth indicators, suggests volatility and possible overstatement of revenue.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of -1.2301 is above the manipulation threshold of -1.78, indicating potential earnings manipulation.
  • Earnings Quality Score of 45.3/100 is below average, with an alarming cash conversion score of 0.0/100, suggesting poor cash flow relative to reported earnings.
Positive Signals
  • Receivables quality score of 100.0/100 indicates strong management of receivables, which is a positive sign for cash collection efficiency.
Ownership Risk

The top shareholders include significant individual ownership, with Đặng Quang Thái holding 24.4%, which may lead to concentrated decision-making risks. However, the presence of institutional investors like Công ty TNHH MTV Xổ Số Kiến Thiết An Giang (8.6%) provides some level of oversight.

Recommendation

Investors should exercise caution and closely monitor AFX's financial disclosures and cash flow statements. It may be prudent to wait for improved earnings quality and transparency before considering investment.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
4/9
Neutral
Z-Score
2.63
Grey Zone
Sharpe
0.75
Positive
Composite
50
Weak
Price Risk
Momentum
+42.7%
Volatility
37.7%
Max Drawdown
-30.3%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
7.66P/E
P/B0.69
P/S0.13
ROE9.5%
ROA2.7%
EPS1351.99
BVPS14895.43
Gross Margin2.2%
Net Margin1.7%
D/E2.01
Current Ratio1.44
Rev Growth36.5%
Profit Growth68.9%
EV/EBITDA24.20
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
35.0M
Charter Capital
350.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Bán lẻ
Industry (ICB L3)
Phân phối thực phẩm & dược phẩm
Sub-industry
Phân phối thực phẩm
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for AFX — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Đặng Quang Thái
Indiv
24.4%
8.6 trieu
Tô Thiện Hữu
Indiv
8.6%
10.000
Công ty TNHH MTV Xổ Số Kiến Thiết An Giang
Inst
8.6%
3.0 trieu
nguyen-thi-huong
Indiv
5.7%
2.0 trieu
Tổng Công ty Lương thực Miền Nam
Inst
4.8%
1.7 trieu
Lê Tiến Dũng
Indiv
3.6%
1.3 trieu
Công ty Cổ Phần Dịch Vụ Tài Chính Và Mua Bán Nợ Việt Nam
Inst
0.9%
8.8 trieu
Tăng Vũ Giang
Indiv
0.3%
109.700
nguyen-thanh-xuan
Indiv
0.2%
82.200
Phạm Ngọa Long
Indiv
0.2%
75.700
Board & Management
Đặng Quang Thái24.4%
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Phạm Ngọa Long0.2%
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Trương Thị Thu Hương
Kế toán trưởng
Vũ Văn Hải
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Lê Bảo Anh
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Phạm Anh Vũ
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Hứa Minh Trí
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Tổng Giám đốc
Trần Trọng Bình
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Thu Hà
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Phạm Thị Ngọc Diễm
Phụ trách Công bố thông tin
Nguyễn Đình Duy
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Vũ Phương Thảo
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Trịnh Quốc Bình
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Phùng Thị Thanh Giang
Giám đốc Tài chính
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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