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Utilities sector

BMF

Utilities
Công ty Cổ phần Vật liệu Xây dựng và Chất đốt Đồng Nai
Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt/Nước & Khí đốtCT
8.000
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
10.345
Current
8.000
Gap
+29.3%
ModelDDM 3STAGE

Valuation Breakdown

CTĐiện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốtUtility
Classified as utility because ICB sector "Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt" maps to the utility group
Model3-Stage DDM
Value = Sum of [DPS x (1+g)^t / (1+Ke)^t] + Terminal Dividend / (Ke - g_terminal)

The Dividend Discount Model values a stock based on its future dividend payments, discounted to present value. The 3-stage variant captures three phases of a company's life: high growth (years 1-3), a transition period where growth declines linearly (years 4-6), and a terminal stage of stable, perpetual growth (year 7+). As John D. Rockefeller said: "The only thing that gives me pleasure is to see my dividends coming in."

1
Cost of Equity (Ke)
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
0.600
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
8.70%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental equity blend4.07%
3
Model Inputs
DPS source:EPS default
DPS509
Payout ratio50.0%
4
Valuation
Dividends Per Share
509
Base Growth
4.07%
Cost of Equity
8.70%
Terminal Growth
3.50%
DDM Value
10.345
Value Decomposition
25%
75%
Explicit period (25%)Terminal value (75%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — BMF

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2024

30
Weak
Accrual Quality
86
Cash Conversion
0
Receivables
64
Margin Stability
0
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2024

-2.24
Moderate
DSRI
1.098
GMI
0.927
AQI
1.053
SGI
0.972
DEPI
1.082
SGAI
0.955
TATA
0.035
LVGI
0.975

BMF exhibits several concerning indicators suggesting potential earnings manipulation, particularly with a Beneish M-Score of -2.2423, which is below the manipulation threshold of -1.78. The earnings quality score of 30.0/100, especially the zero scores in cash conversion and revenue metrics, raises significant red flags regarding the sustainability of reported earnings.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of -2.2423 indicates a likelihood of earnings manipulation, significantly below the threshold of -1.78.
  • Earnings Quality Score of 30.0/100, with 0.0/100 in cash conversion and revenue metrics, suggests poor earnings quality and potential financial distress.
Positive Signals
  • DSRI of 1.0983 indicates inventory levels are in line with sales, which could suggest operational stability.
  • GMI of 0.9269 indicates a slight decrease in gross margin, which may reflect competitive pricing rather than manipulation.
Ownership Risk

The ownership structure shows significant concentration with the top shareholder holding 35.1%, which may lead to governance risks and potential conflicts of interest in decision-making.

Recommendation

Investors should exercise caution and consider conducting further due diligence on BMF, particularly focusing on cash flow analysis and operational performance before making investment decisions.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
4/9
Neutral
Z-Score
5.23
Safe Zone
Sharpe
-0.21
Negative
Composite
33
Weak
Price Risk
Momentum
-12.0%
Volatility
69.8%
Max Drawdown
-33.6%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2024
8.16P/E
P/B0.70
P/S0.04
ROE9.4%
ROA2.3%
EPS1018.61
BVPS11362.40
Gross Margin2.2%
Net Margin0.5%
D/E2.98
Current Ratio1.19
Rev Growth-2.8%
Profit Growth196.3%
EV/EBITDA17.26
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
15.8M
Charter Capital
158.5B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt
Industry (ICB L3)
Nước & Khí đốt
Sub-industry
Phân phối xăng dầu & khí đốt
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for BMF — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Công ty Cổ Phần Bến Xe Quảng Ninh
Inst
35.1%
5.6 trieu
Nguyễn Văn Chi
Indiv
22.2%
923.200
Hoàng Thị Thanh Hằng
Indiv
22.2%
3.5 trieu
Lưu Công Quang
Indiv
9.4%
1.5 trieu
Tập đoàn Xăng dầu Việt Nam
Inst
8.3%
1.3 trieu
Tổng Công ty Thương mại Kỹ thuật và Đầu tư
Inst
5.0%
792.481
Nguyễn Thanh Hoa
Indiv
1.2%
195.986
Nguyễn Hoàng Linh
Indiv
0.8%
130.683
Lê Minh Khuê
Indiv
0.3%
48.600
Nguyễn Võ Trường Sơn
Indiv
0.2%
8.300
Board & Management
Nguyễn Thanh Hoa1.2%
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị/Phó Giám đốc
Lê Minh Khuê0.3%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Phan Doãn Thân
Phó Giám đốc
Ngô Dạ Ngân
Phụ trách Công bố thông tin
Phạm Văn Nam
Phó Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Trần Thị Ngọc Anh
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Vũ Thị Mai Phương
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Vũ Hoàng Huynh
Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Thị Thắm
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Thị Kim Oanh
Phó Giám đốc
Nguyễn Thị Hoài Băng
Trưởng phòng Tài chính
Bùi Thị Ngọc Diễm
Kế toán trưởng
Computed 12/04/2026
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