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BMS

Công ty Cổ phần Chứng khoán Bảo Minh

VietnamSecuritiesDịch vụ tài chínhUPCOMCK
10.500
VND · Close 3 Nov 2026

Calibrated intrinsic value vs last close

Illustrative estimate
Close near calibrated value
−1.1%Calibrated value vs last close
At last close+500%
Last close (VND)
10.500
Calibrated intrinsic value (VND)
10.380

Last close × (1 + calibrated gap / 100)

Earnings-capitalised value

Not available: the company reported a loss last year or its shares have too short a price history.

How it is calculated

  1. 1
    Measure the gap

    Between the model and the last close.

  2. 2
    Check the record2015–2024

    What gaps of that size went on to earn over the following year.

  3. 3
    Apply to the close

    That return is applied to the last close.

Keep in mind

  • For illustration only: not a validated forecast.
  • No uncertainty range: the estimate is a single figure.
  • Older record: it has not been re-measured on the current data.

Also note

  • Trading liquidity is low.
Model reliability
Medium
Model fitInput stabilityRisk checks
High requires the model’s diagnostic criteria to be met.
Probability of outperforming peers
48.5%
12 monthsHistorical calibration
Chance the return beats the median return of its sector peers.
Assessed 30 Oct 2026Not updated with daily prices

These assessments address different questions. Neither establishes that the displayed valuation is correct or guarantees a future return.

12-month sector-relative outlook

−0.5percentage points
Securities12 monthsBack-test 2015–2024

Median 12-month return difference versus Securities peers, for model gaps like this one.

  • Not an absolute return forecast.
  • Not a price target.
  • A stock can underperform its sector and still rise.
Computed 30 Oct 2026Not updated with daily prices
Sector calibration span · percentage points
−8.1+7.1
  • The sector’s historical range, not a prediction interval for this stock.
  • Actual returns can fall outside it.

Valuation Breakdown

CK→Securities
Classified as securities because company type is CK (securities firm).
ModelCycle-Adjusted P/B
Intrinsic Value = (50% × Own 5yr median P/B + 50% × ROE-adjusted peer P/B) × BVPS

Securities firms (brokerages) earn in step with market trading volumes, so a single year's multiple can sit at a peak or a trough. This model takes the firm's median price-to-book (P/B) over the last 5 years and averages it 50/50 with the median P/B of peer brokers, adjusted for how this firm's ROE compares with theirs.

Technical details
Why this model

Brokerage earnings are highly cyclical, tied to market volumes. A single-year P/B snapshot at a market peak would overvalue the firm; at a trough, undervalue it. A multi-year median and a peer anchor steady the reference point.

How it works

Fair P/B = 50% × the firm's own 5-year median P/B + 50% × the peer median P/B × (firm ROE / peer median ROE, held within 0.7× to 1.5×). Peers are brokers the market prices on their earnings (positive ROE, P/B at most 3.0×); with fewer than 4 peers, the firm's own median is used alone. Fair P/B (at least 0.3×) is multiplied by current BVPS.

Best for

Brokerage and securities firms whose valuations are dominated by market sentiment and trading volume cycles.

1
Model Inputs
Years of data→5
2
Valuation

We take the model’s gap to the last close, read what gaps of that size went on to earn over the following year in our 2015 to 2024 record, and apply that to the last close.

Last close (VND)→10.500
Calibrated value vs last close→−1.1%

Last close × (1 + calibrated gap / 100)

Calibrated intrinsic value (VND)
10.380
What feeds each step— click a source to highlight it in the statements
Profitability & book valuepeer source: dynamic
Feeds valuation:Model inputsFinal calculation
Line item2026202520242023202220212020201920182017201620152014201320122011201020092008
CURRENT ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·1,6811,7151,1601,0131,2078467977463701,571322138315304218158154268
Cash and cash equivalents (Bn. VND)
·2775062437675376233106612560.88964180138215
Short-term investments (Bn. VND)
·1,3981,1934924811,0544623782262513733051192378750.40262
Accounts receivable (Bn. VND)
·313417442788186413569381511691533319152
Prepayments to suppliers (Bn. VND)
·0.30.030.470.04000000.10.05000.050.10.10.3
Other current assets
·238140.90.50.50.61310.20.20.10.10.10.20.1
Other current assets (Bn. VND)
·00000000020.01400,0000.020.020.050.070.20.1
LONG-TERM ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·8954811136578652192149212317519755
Fixed assets (Bn. VND)
·76463234521.02457554
Tangible fixed assets
·44340.80.711110.30.51.023354
Intagible fixed assets
·3312212330.30.623340.90.70.7
Long-term investments (Bn. VND)
·879000000000018768411616919050
Other long-term assets (Bn. VND)
·000000000001876000050
Other non-current assets
·8416843442213430.70.721
Long-term prepayments (Bn. VND)
·0.70.20.610000.200000.000.0800.210.6
TOTAL ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·2,5751,7631,1711,0271,2138518047543761,576324330329397342333351324
LIABILITIES (Bn. VND)
·364898381315405215208207191,255691266910285
Current liabilities (Bn. VND)
·150880373315369208208207171,198691266910285
Short-term borrowings (Bn. VND)
·1004263000000.20.20.827200030000
Advances from customers (Bn. VND)
·0.30.80.310860.60.030.030.030.030.030.030.030.070.050.050.20.04
Long-term liabilities (Bn. VND)
·21418903670.20.425700000.070.040.040.02
Long-term borrowings (Bn. VND)
·0000000.20.400.800000000
OWNER'S EQUITY(Bn.VND)
·2,212865790711808636596547357321318321316331332324323319
Capital and reserves (Bn. VND)
·2,212865790711808636596547357321318321316331332324322319
Paid-in capital (Bn. VND)
·2,039711646610570500500500300300300300300300300300300300
Other Reserves
·000000000005443000
Other Reserves
·00000000060.20.30.30.60.2200.4
Undistributed earnings (Bn. VND)
·17214213254190107722841971182226192018
TOTAL RESOURCES (Bn. VND)
·2,5751,7631,1711,0271,2138518047543761,576324330329397342333351324
Common shares (Bn. VND)
·2,039711646610570500500500300300300300300300300300300300

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025
40
Weak
Margin Stability
80
Revenue Quality
0

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
3/9
Weak
Sharpe
−0.73
Negative
Composite
50
30 to 49
Piotroski F-Score Breakdown
✓Net Income > 0
✗Operating CF > 0
✗ROA Rising
✗OCF > Net Income
✗Lower Leverage
✓Better Liquidity
✗No Dilution
✗Margin Up
✓Turnover Up
DuPont Decomposition
Tax Burden0.81×Interest Burden1.02×Op. Margin0.24×Turnover0.21×Leverage1.16=ROE4.8%
Price Risk
Momentum
+0.6%
Volatility
28.5%
Max Drawdown
−30.7%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
1.05P/B
P/E
21.98
ROE
6.9%
ROA
4.9%
EPS
518
BVPS
10.846
Net Margin
20.0%
Rev Growth
+80.8%
Profit Growth
+29.7%
Div Yield
—

Company Overview

Shares outstanding
215M
Charter Capital
2,151B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Dịch vụ tài chính
Industry (ICB L3)
Dịch vụ tài chính
Sub-industry
Môi giới chứng khoán
Company Type
CK
Computed 30/10/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a stock research tool. Its results are calculated from public financial data with published formulas. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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