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Công ty Cổ phần Đầu tư Châu Á - Thái Bình Dương

VietnamReal EstateBất động sảnHNXCT
4.400
VND · Close 4 Nov 2026

Calibrated intrinsic value vs last close

Illustrative estimate
Comparison requires review
+22.1%Calibrated value vs last close
Last close (VND)
4.400
Calibrated intrinsic value (VND)
5.372

Last close × (1 + calibrated gap / 100)

Earnings-capitalised value

Not available: the company reported a loss last year or its shares have too short a price history.

How it is calculated

  1. 1
    Measure the gap

    Between the model and the last close.

  2. 2
    Check the record2015–2024

    What gaps of that size went on to earn over the following year.

  3. 3
    Apply to the close

    That return is applied to the last close.

Keep in mind

  • For illustration only: not a validated forecast.
  • No uncertainty range: the estimate is a single figure.
  • Older record: it has not been re-measured on the current data.

Why it needs review

  • Under financial distress the model falls back to book value.

This estimate remains visible for checking its calculation. Its inputs require review before using it in a stock comparison. The model comparison behind this value needs review. The estimate does not remove the data limitations listed above.

Model reliability
Low
Model fitInput stabilityRisk checks
High requires the model’s diagnostic criteria to be met.
Probability of outperforming peers
Not assessed
A separate peer-outperformance probability is unavailable for this valuation.
Assessed 30 Oct 2026Not updated with daily prices

These assessments address different questions. Neither establishes that the displayed valuation is correct or guarantees a future return.

Valuation Breakdown

CT→Bất động sản→Real Estate
Classified as real estate because ICB sector “Bất động sản” maps to the real estate group.
ModelRNAV + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 40% x RNAV proxy + 60% x DCF Value

Developers often carry land banks at historical cost under VAS, so book value can understate asset value. This model blends two approaches: an RNAV proxy (book value with its property share marked up 1.5×) weighted 40%, and a DCF on normalized cash flows weighted 60%. Highly leveraged firms receive a +2% WACC penalty.

Technical details
Why this model

RE developers carry large land inventories at historical cost; cash flows depend on project delivery timing. RNAV captures hidden land value, while DCF captures earnings power. The leverage screen guards against over-leveraged developers.

How it works

RNAV proxy: the property share of BVPS (investment property, fixed assets and inventories over total assets) × 1.5 plus the rest at book, or 1.25× all of book when that share is 10% or less or unknown, cut by up to 50% as D/E rises above 2. DCF: 5-year projection on median cash flow with CAPM-derived WACC. If D/E > 3 or interest coverage < 1.5, WACC is increased by 2%. Final value = 40% RNAV + 60% DCF.

Best for

Property developers and real estate firms with significant land banks recorded at below-market historical cost.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.36%
+
Betasector default
1.007
x
ERP
4.38%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
11.52%
Ke
11.52%
x
E/(D+E)
56.99%
+
Kd(1-t)
4.27%
x
D/(D+E)
43.01%
=
WACC
10.00%
+2% WACC penalty (high leverage)
2
Growth Estimate
Sector Default3.50%
Growth decays 10%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
4
Valuation

We take the model’s gap to the last close, read what gaps of that size went on to earn over the following year in our 2015 to 2024 record, and apply that to the last close.

Last close (VND)→4.400
Calibrated value vs last close→+22.1%

Last close × (1 + calibrated gap / 100)

Calibrated intrinsic value (VND)
5.372
What feeds each step— click a source to highlight it in the statements
Discount rate (WACC)12.00%high risk: yes
Growth rate3.50%growth method: default
Base cash flow27.0 tỷone off strip ratio: 0.05

DCF Sensitivity

Illustrative calibrated values from the standalone DCF scenarios below, anchored to the same last close. These scenarios leave out the other parts of a blended model and do not reproduce the headline value.

WACC \ Growth0.5%2.0%3.5%5.0%6.5%
10.0%N/AN/A3.8953.8963.896
11.0%N/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
12.0%N/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
13.0%N/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
14.0%N/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
Above market priceBelow market priceCurrent estimate
Feeds valuation:Cost of capitalGrowthModel inputsFinal calculation
Line item20262025202420232022202120202019201820172016201520142013
CURRENT ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·1,4411,6501,7142,1022,2352,6692,1571,498943368320196161
Cash and cash equivalents (Bn. VND)Net debt bridge
·7111963686516971632111057147
Short-term investments (Bn. VND)Net debt bridge
·2522262342482862212411427836202252
Accounts receivable (Bn. VND)
·28143349765429749666353740731123314265
Prepayments to suppliers (Bn. VND)
·37131922656767546350324725
Net Inventories
·8048358771,0811,5261,7091,125719219241410
Inventories, Net (Bn. VND)
·8048358771,0811,5261,7091,125719219241410
Other current assets
·33374451627458372796426
Other current assets (Bn. VND)
·00000000000023
LONG-TERM ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·754519572432615270295221336351249379344
Long-term trade receivables (Bn. VND)
·223907912135153828144440
Other long-term receivables (Bn. VND)
·2178068795653828144440
Fixed assets (Bn. VND)
·23171911831236772430.20.20.50.6234
Tangible fixed assets
·22171911831236672430.10.20.50.61
Intagible fixed assets
·0.30.100.090.090.30.40.50.050.090000
Investment in properties
·1682351060000000000
Long-term investments (Bn. VND)
·26387901077131062617596105
Investments in associate companies
·258877777805251555665
Other long-term assets (Bn. VND)
·14109140.020.020.0110101004040
Less: Provision for diminuation in value of long term investments
·−10−10−80000000000
Other non-current assets
·1524384555746020.10.060.0205
Long-term prepayments (Bn. VND)
·1324384555746020.10.060.0200.6
TOTAL ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·2,1952,1702,2862,5342,8502,9392,4531,7191,278719569574505
LIABILITIES (Bn. VND)
·1,2691,2601,3551,5492,0052,4021,9601,250844345192295227
Current liabilities (Bn. VND)
·1,1331,0781,2371,2751,9392,2171,744954757261150246179
Short-term borrowings (Bn. VND)Discount rate (WACC) +1
·6765586315266384872951355764141510
Advances from customers (Bn. VND)
·511221942426211,1417762134950.10.0200
Long-term liabilities (Bn. VND)
·136182118274661842162968785424948
Long-term borrowings (Bn. VND)Discount rate (WACC) +1
·8112969226101281722534543000
OWNER'S EQUITY(Bn.VND)Discount rate (WACC)
·926909931985845537493469434373377279278
Capital and reserves (Bn. VND)
·926909931985845537493469434373377279278
Paid-in capital (Bn. VND)
·841841841841382364364364364364364264264
Investment and development funds (Bn. VND)
·0000111111111
Undistributed earnings (Bn. VND)
·524466122322131916732−29−25−35−36
Minority Interest
·0000000000000.01
TOTAL RESOURCES (Bn. VND)
·2,1952,1702,2862,5342,8502,9392,4531,7191,278719569574505
Short-term loans receivables (Bn. VND)
·81041432420.71514450.70.7660
Common shares (Bn. VND)
·841841841841382364364364364364364264264
Good will (Bn. VND)
·2000000000000
MINORITY INTERESTSNet debt bridge
·33252523440.030.020.020.020.020.020

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025
70
Good
Accrual Quality
100
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
0
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025
Remainder
M −2.61 · 33rd pctile vs VN companies
YoY ▲ +0.04
Conservative vs VN peersUnusual accounting movement
Compare across the whole market

Ranked vs Vietnamese peers. The −1.78 Beneish cutoff is US-calibrated; ~28% of VN stocks exceed it.

DSRI
0.510
GMI
0.836
AQI
1.439
SGI
1.274
DEPI
1.483
SGAI
0.857
TATA
−0.020
LVGI
0.994

Checks measured on Vietnamese companies · FY2025

Receivables outside the trade cyclePrepayments to suppliers, loans and other long-term receivables / total assets
12.0%83rd pctile
Accumulated losses / paid-in capitalUndistributed earnings below zero
None
Consecutive years of net lossProfit after tax of the parent
0
Owner's equityWithout the non-controlling interest
Positive

Percentiles rank each fiscal year against Vietnamese non-financial companies (0 lowest, 100 highest). Over FY2015-2024, low cash conversion and a large share of receivables outside the trade cycle came before more listing trouble and more net losses the next year.

Statutory loss tests (Decree 155/2020/NĐ-CP, Art. 120(1)(e), amended by Decree 245/2025/NĐ-CP): a HOSE or HNX listing is cancelled when the audited annual statements show net losses in each of the latest 3 years, accumulated losses above the paid-in charter capital, or negative owner's equity. Read here from the annual statements as the data vendor publishes them.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
8/9
Strong
Z-Score
0.62
Distress Zone
Sharpe
−1.27
Negative
Composite
44
30 to 49
Piotroski F-Score Breakdown
✓Net Income > 0
✓Operating CF > 0
✓ROA Rising
✓OCF > Net Income
✓Lower Leverage
✗Better Liquidity
✓No Dilution
✓Margin Up
✓Turnover Up
DuPont Decomposition
Tax Burden0.57×Interest Burden0.95×Op. Margin0.05×Turnover0.12×Leverage2.37=ROE0.8%
Price Risk
Momentum
−40.5%
Volatility
40.6%
Max Drawdown
−44.7%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
41.68P/E
P/B
0.40
P/S
1.35
ROE
1.0%
ROA
0.4%
EPS
103
BVPS
10.621
Gross Margin
43.2%
Net Margin
2.8%
D/E
0.82
Current Ratio
1.27
Rev Growth
+27.4%
Profit Growth
+179.3%
EV/EBITDA
14.04
Div Yield
—

Company Overview

Shares outstanding
84.1M
Charter Capital
841B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Bất động sản
Industry (ICB L3)
Bất động sản
Sub-industry
Bất động sản
Company Type
CT
Computed 30/10/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

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