HNX:MAS
Công ty cổ phần Dịch vụ Hàng Không Sân Bay Đà Nẵng
Calibrated intrinsic value vs last close
Illustrative estimate- Last close (VND)
- 35.100
- Calibrated intrinsic value (VND)
- 38.091
Last close × (1 + calibrated gap / 100)
Earnings-capitalised value
Not available: the company reported a loss last year or its shares have too short a price history.
How it is calculated
- 1Measure the gap
Between the model and the last close.
- 2Check the record2015–2024
What gaps of that size went on to earn over the following year.
- 3Apply to the close
That return is applied to the last close.
Keep in mind
- For illustration only: not a validated forecast.
- No uncertainty range: the estimate is a single figure.
- Older record: it has not been re-measured on the current data.
Why it needs review
- Trading liquidity is below the comparison threshold.
This estimate remains visible for checking its calculation. Its inputs require review before using it in a stock comparison. The model comparison behind this value needs review. The estimate does not remove the data limitations listed above.
Comparison assessed 4 Nov 2026Valid through 4 Dec 2026
- Model reliability
- Low
- Model fitInput stabilityRisk checks
- High requires the model’s diagnostic criteria to be met.
- Probability of outperforming peers
- Not assessed
- A separate peer-outperformance probability is unavailable for this valuation.
These assessments address different questions. Neither establishes that the displayed valuation is correct or guarantees a future return.
Valuation Breakdown
Cyclical companies (chemicals, oil & gas, basic resources) have earnings that swing dramatically with commodity prices and economic cycles. Valuing them on a single year's earnings is misleading: they look cheap at peaks and expensive at troughs. This model uses 7-year median EBITDA ("mid-cycle" earnings) and a 7-year median EV/EBITDA multiple to estimate what the firm is worth at a normal point in the cycle.
Technical details
Commodity/basic-material earnings swing with global prices. Using mid-cycle EBITDA normalizes across booms and busts, preventing overpayment at cyclical peaks. EV/EBITDA is preferred over P/E because it's capital-structure-neutral and not distorted by depreciation policies.
Computes the 7-year median EBITDA and the 7-year median EV/EBITDA. With fewer than 5 years of its own EBITDA, the company's EBITDA is estimated as revenue x the sector median margin. When mid-cycle EBITDA is not positive, the value is 70% of book value per share. Fair Value = (Mid-Cycle EBITDA x Fair EV/EBITDA) - Net Debt.
Commodity producers, basic materials, chemicals, and oil & gas companies with multi-year earnings cycles.
We take the model’s gap to the last close, read what gaps of that size went on to earn over the following year in our 2015 to 2024 record, and apply that to the last close.
Last close × (1 + calibrated gap / 100)
Earnings Quality
Financial Forensics
Ranked vs Vietnamese peers. The −1.78 Beneish cutoff is US-calibrated; ~28% of VN stocks exceed it.
Checks measured on Vietnamese companies · FY2025
- Cash conversion, 3 yearsOperating cash flow / net profit
- 2.3279th pctile
- Receivables outside the trade cyclePrepayments to suppliers, loans and other long-term receivables / total assets
- 0.3%17th pctile
- Accumulated losses / paid-in capitalUndistributed earnings below zero
- 0.04×
- Consecutive years of net lossProfit after tax of the parent
- 0
- Owner's equityWithout the non-controlling interest
- Positive
Percentiles rank each fiscal year against Vietnamese non-financial companies (0 lowest, 100 highest). Over FY2015-2024, low cash conversion and a large share of receivables outside the trade cycle came before more listing trouble and more net losses the next year.
Statutory loss tests (Decree 155/2020/NĐ-CP, Art. 120(1)(e), amended by Decree 245/2025/NĐ-CP): a HOSE or HNX listing is cancelled when the audited annual statements show net losses in each of the latest 3 years, accumulated losses above the paid-in charter capital, or negative owner's equity. Read here from the annual statements as the data vendor publishes them.
The company's Beneish M-Score is -1.6709 (76th percentile versus Vietnamese peers) with a year-over-year increase of +1.84, signalling that accounting metrics have moved toward the more aggressive side relative to peers. Earnings-quality measures are mixed: an overall score of 78.6/100 with perfect accruals and cash-conversion sub-scores (100/100) but very weak receivables quality (0/100); solvency/distress distance is healthy (Altman Z = 3.53) and operating fundamentals are neutral (Piotroski F = 5/9).
- Beneish M-Score = -1.6709; this is above the US -1.78 cutoff but that cutoff is US-based—relative context matters. The company ranks at the 76th percentile among Vietnamese peers (higher = more aggressive accounting vs VN peers) and the M-Score moved +1.84 year-over-year, indicating a notable change in the accounting signal.
- DSRI (Days’ Sales in Receivables Index) = 1.6701, which measures whether receivables are growing faster than sales; a value >1 suggests receivables grew faster than sales and can indicate revenue recognition pressure.
- AQI (Asset Quality Index) = 1.8425, which measures shifts toward non-current and potentially less-transparent assets; a high AQI suggests increasing capitalization of costs or growth in long-term/other assets.
- DEPI (Depreciation Index) = 1.4354, indicating depreciation expense has decreased relative to prior-period gross PPE patterns (values >1 mean slower depreciation or rising gross asset base), which can boost reported profits.
- Receivables quality = 0.0/100 and the Vietnamese check for receivables outside the trade cycle is 0.3% of total assets (17th percentile). The low receivables-quality score and elevated DSRI contrast with a low reported level of non-trade receivables—this is a mixed signal needing item-level review.
- Three-year cash conversion (operating cash flow / net profit) = 2.32 (79th percentile). A ratio >1 (here >2) means profit is not fully converting to cash and ranks relatively poorly versus peers.
- Earnings Quality overall = 78.6/100 with Accruals quality = 100/100 and Cash conversion = 100/100 (these two sub-scores indicate reported earnings are not driven by accrual distortions in the accruals and cash-conversion measures used in that score).
- Revenue quality = 100.0/100 and Margin quality = 86.1/100, suggesting reported top-line and margins are reasonably supported by the metrics in the earnings-quality model.
- Altman Z-Score = 3.53 (safe zone), which measures distance from bankruptcy using profitability, leverage, liquidity and activity components and places the company well away from insolvency thresholds.
- Piotroski F-Score = 5/9 (neutral) — some improving fundamentals but not extreme deterioration; it indicates a mix of positive and negative operational/accounting signals.
Top shareholder is Tổng Công ty Hàng không Việt Nam (state-related institution) with 36.1%, followed by three individuals holding 11.0%, 9.5% and 8.7%, and a listed affiliate VE1 at 6.2%. This is a concentrated ownership structure dominated by a large state-related institutional holder; director-deal registrations show 1 purchase registration (100,000 shares) and net registered volume of +2.34% of shares outstanding over 2025-10-30 to 2026-10-30 (registrations are intentions disclosed to the exchange, not executed trades).
- Compare the movement in trade receivables and other receivables: inspect the notes ‘Receivables and prepayments’ (or equivalent schedule) for FY2024–FY2025 to reconcile DSRI = 1.6701 with the reported receivables breakdown and the 0.3% of total assets classified as receivables outside the trade cycle.
- Reconcile AQI = 1.8425 and DEPI = 1.4354 with the fixed-asset and intangible-asset notes: review additions, capitalization policies, depreciation rates and any changes in useful lives or capitalization thresholds in the FY2025 notes.
- Verify cash-flow drivers behind three-year cash conversion = 2.32 by comparing the consolidated statement of cash flows (operating cash flow) with consolidated profit after tax for the three-year period and review the working-capital notes for one-off timing items.
- Check related-party schedules and the ‘balances with related parties’ or loans/advances notes for any growth in non-trade receivables or prepayments that could affect AQI and receivables quality.
Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.
Quantitative Scores
Key Ratios
- P/B
- 3.58
- P/S
- 0.67
- ROE
- 22.7%
- ROA
- 9.4%
- EPS
- 2.026
- BVPS
- 9.799
- Gross Margin
- 16.6%
- Net Margin
- 3.8%
- D/E
- 0.06
- Current Ratio
- 0.83
- Rev Growth
- +25.6%
- Profit Growth
- +19.1%
- EV/EBITDA
- 8.26
- Div Yield
- —
Company Overview
- Shares outstanding
- 4.3M
- Charter Capital
- 42.7B VND
- Sector (ICB L2)
- Du lịch và Giải trí
- Industry (ICB L3)
- Du lịch & Giải trí
- Sub-industry
- Vận tải hành khách & Du lịch
- Company Type
- CT