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Utilities sector

ISH

Utilities
Công ty Cổ phần Thủy điện Srok Phu Miêng IDICO
Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt/Sản xuất & Phân phối ĐiệnCT
24.000
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
37.714
Current
24.000
Gap
+57.1%
ModelDDM 3STAGE

Valuation Breakdown

CTĐiện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốtUtility
Classified as utility because ICB sector "Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt" maps to the utility group
Model3-Stage DDM
Value = Sum of [DPS x (1+g)^t / (1+Ke)^t] + Terminal Dividend / (Ke - g_terminal)

The Dividend Discount Model values a stock based on its future dividend payments, discounted to present value. The 3-stage variant captures three phases of a company's life: high growth (years 1-3), a transition period where growth declines linearly (years 4-6), and a terminal stage of stable, perpetual growth (year 7+). As John D. Rockefeller said: "The only thing that gives me pleasure is to see my dividends coming in."

1
Cost of Equity (Ke)
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
0.600
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
8.70%
2
Growth Estimate
Sector Default2.00%
3
Model Inputs
DPS source:Actual dividends
DPS2.000
Payout ratio106.5%
4
Valuation
Dividends Per Share
2.000
Base Growth
2.00%
Cost of Equity
8.70%
Terminal Growth
3.50%
DDM Value
37.714
Value Decomposition
26%
74%
Explicit period (26%)Terminal value (74%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — ISH

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

76
Good
Accrual Quality
80
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
100
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-2.61
Low Risk
DSRI
1.242
GMI
0.967
AQI
0.946
SGI
1.099
DEPI
0.905
SGAI
0.814
TATA
-0.049
LVGI
1.576

The Beneish M-Score of -2.6072 indicates a low likelihood of earnings manipulation, as it is below the threshold of -1.78. However, the high DSRI of 1.2417 and LVGI of 1.5763 raise concerns about potential inventory and sales growth discrepancies, which could signal underlying issues in revenue recognition.

Red Flags
  • DSRI of 1.2417 suggests that the company may be holding excessive inventory relative to sales, indicating potential revenue recognition issues.
  • LVGI of 1.5763 indicates that the company’s sales growth is significantly outpacing its volume growth, which may suggest aggressive revenue recognition practices.
Positive Signals
  • Earnings Quality Score of 76.0/100 indicates strong overall earnings quality, particularly with cash conversion and receivables metrics both at 100.0/100.
  • The GMI of 0.9666 suggests that gross margins are stable, which is a positive indicator for operational efficiency.
Ownership Risk

The ownership structure is heavily concentrated, with Tổng Công ty IDICO and Công ty TNHH Năng Lượng Ree holding a combined 86.1%. This concentration may lead to governance risks and potential conflicts of interest, limiting minority shareholder influence.

Recommendation

Investors should monitor inventory levels and revenue recognition practices closely, given the elevated risk signals. It may be prudent to adopt a cautious approach, considering a wait-and-see strategy until clearer operational trends emerge.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
8/9
Strong
Z-Score
12.88
Safe Zone
Sharpe
-0.01
Negative
Composite
67
Fair
Price Risk
Momentum
+1.4%
Volatility
56.1%
Max Drawdown
-22.8%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
13.30P/E
P/B1.91
P/S5.14
ROE14.2%
ROA13.1%
EPS1872.16
BVPS13058.33
Gross Margin55.6%
Net Margin38.6%
D/E0.10
Current Ratio2.46
Rev Growth9.9%
Profit Growth10.6%
EV/EBITDA8.05
Div Yield4.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
45.0M
Charter Capital
450.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt
Industry (ICB L3)
Sản xuất & Phân phối Điện
Sub-industry
Sản xuất & Phân phối Điện
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for ISH — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Tổng Công ty IDICO
Inst
51.8%
23.3 trieu
Công ty TNHH Năng Lượng Ree
Inst
34.3%
15.4 trieu
Board & Management
Vũ Thị Thúy
Kế toán trưởng
NGUYỄN THANH HOÀI
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Giám đốc
Nguyễn Thị Tuyết Ly
Phụ trách Công bố thông tin
Nguyễn Cao Nguyên
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
NGUYỄN ĐĂNG THANH
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Bùi Tiến Dũng
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Hoàng Văn Hiến
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Phong Danh
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Trương Tiến Đạt
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Hồ Bảo Hùng
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Bùi Hải Nam
Phó Giám đốc
Computed 12/04/2026
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