Back to Dashboard

PLD.US

Prologis, Inc.

United StatesReal EstateReal Estate Investment TrustsNYSE
129.08
USD · Close 3 Nov 2026

Intrinsic value vs last close

Model estimate
Close above intrinsic value
−21.9%Intrinsic value vs last close
At last close+500%
Last close (USD)
129.08
Intrinsic value (USD)
100.76

Intrinsic value = sector model's value (no adjustment)

Earnings-capitalised value

56.04−56.6%vs last close

Cost of equity 9.9% · price volatility 20.6%

Last year's earnings per share, capitalised at a cost of equity that rises with this share's own price swings, growing at the sector's long-run rate.

This is a different figure from the intrinsic value above. The intrinsic value is what the sector model says the business is worth. On Vietnamese stocks this figure has ranked future returns best in our track record; this market has no track record here yet.

Model reliability
Medium
Model fitInput stabilityRisk checks
High requires the model’s diagnostic criteria to be met.
Probability of outperforming peers
Not assessed
A separate peer-outperformance probability is unavailable for this valuation.
Assessed 4 Nov 2026Not updated with daily prices

These assessments address different questions. Neither establishes that the displayed valuation is correct or guarantees a future return.

Valuation Breakdown

Real Estate Investment Trusts→Real Estate
Classified as real estate from the industry its market data reports: “Real Estate Investment Trusts”.
ModelRNAV + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 40% x RNAV proxy + 60% x DCF Value

Developers often carry land banks at historical cost under US GAAP, so book value can understate asset value. This model blends two approaches: an RNAV proxy (book value with its property share marked up 1.5×) weighted 40%, and a DCF on normalized cash flows weighted 60%. Highly leveraged firms receive a +2% WACC penalty.

Technical details
Why this model

RE developers carry large land inventories at historical cost; cash flows depend on project delivery timing. RNAV captures hidden land value, while DCF captures earnings power. The leverage screen guards against over-leveraged developers.

How it works

RNAV proxy: the property share of BVPS (investment property, fixed assets and inventories over total assets) × 1.5 plus the rest at book, or 1.25× all of book when that share is 10% or less or unknown, cut by up to 50% as D/E rises above 2. DCF: 5-year projection on median cash flow with CAPM-derived WACC. If D/E > 3 or interest coverage < 1.5, WACC is increased by 2%. Final value = 40% RNAV + 60% DCF.

Best for

Property developers and real estate firms with significant land banks recorded at below-market historical cost.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.94%
+
Betasector default
0.925
x
ERP
4.20%
+
CRP
0.22%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
9.05%
Ke
9.05%
x
E/(D+E)
65.50%
+
Kd(1-t)
2.65%
x
D/(D+E)
34.50%
=
WACC
7.50%
2
Growth Estimate
Sector Default3.50%
Growth decays 10%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
4
Valuation

We compare the sector model's value with the last close. This market has no track record here yet, so the value is shown as the model gives it.

Last close (USD)→129.08
Intrinsic value vs last close→−21.9%

Intrinsic value = sector model's value (no adjustment)

Intrinsic value (USD)
100.76
What feeds each step— click a source to highlight it in the statements
Discount rate (WACC)7.50%high risk: no
Growth rate3.50%growth method: default
Base cash flow5.8Bone off strip ratio: 0

DCF Sensitivity

Values from the standalone DCF scenarios below. These scenarios leave out the other parts of a blended model and do not reproduce the headline value.

WACC \ Growth0.5%2.0%3.5%5.0%6.5%
5.5%276.68281.35286.02295.92315.65
6.5%172.37175.48178.60185.15198.07
7.5%120.21122.55124.88129.76139.28
8.5%88.9290.7892.6596.53104.02
9.5%68.0569.6171.1774.3780.51
Above market priceBelow market priceCurrent estimate
Feeds valuation:Cost of capitalGrowthModel inputsFinal calculation
Line item2026202520242023202220212020201920182017201620152014201320122011201020092008
Cash and cash equivalentsNet debt bridge
·1,1461,3195302785565981,0893444478072643514911011763834175
Fixed assets
·222212208120118118107112··········
TOTAL ASSETS
·98,72495,32993,02187,89758,48656,06540,03238,41829,48130,25031,39525,81824,57227,31027,72414,903··
Long-term borrowingsDiscount rate (WACC) +1
·35,03730,87929,00123,87617,71516,84911,90611,0909,41310,60811,6279,3809,01111,79111···
OWNER'S EQUITYDiscount rate (WACC)
·57,75458,61757,82457,86337,74236,32526,07225,80118,70618,45818,42115,18414,17613,77314,4557,5208,0076,758
MINORITY INTERESTSNet debt bridge
·4,5614,6664,6424,6264,3154,3533,4193,5033,0753,4673,7531,20846570479415··

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025
81
Good
Accrual Quality
100
Cash Conversion
100
Margin Stability
98
Revenue Quality
1

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
6/9
Neutral
Sharpe
−0.05
Negative
Composite
74
70 and above
Piotroski F-Score Breakdown
✓Net Income > 0
✓Operating CF > 0
✗ROA Rising
✓OCF > Net Income
✓Lower Leverage
✗Better Liquidity
✓No Dilution
✗Margin Up
✓Turnover Up
Price Risk
Momentum
+3.2%
Volatility
21.0%
Max Drawdown
−17.3%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
36.21P/E
P/B
2.08
P/S
13.69
ROE
5.8%
EPS
3.58
BVPS
62.20
Net Margin
37.9%
D/E
0.61
Rev Growth
+7.2%
EV/EBITDA
22.74
Div Yield
—

Company Overview

Shares outstanding
932M
Industry
Real Estate Investment Trusts
Computed 04/11/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a stock research tool. Its results are calculated from public financial data with published formulas. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

By using vnvalue you accept the Terms of Service and Privacy Policy. Full disclaimer →