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Construction sector

SGS

Construction
Công ty Cổ phần Vận tải biển Sài Gòn
Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp/Vận tảiCT
14.000
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
22.775
Current
14.000
Gap
+62.7%
ModelEV EBITDA DCF BLEND

Valuation Breakdown

CTHàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệpConstruction
Classified as construction because ICB sector "Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp" maps to the construction group
ModelEV/EBITDA + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 50% x EV/EBITDA Value + 50% x DCF Value

Construction and industrial firms have characteristics of both cyclical businesses (lumpy project-based revenue) and growth companies (expanding order books). This model blends two approaches 50/50: EV/EBITDA valuation (captures current earning power relative to peers) and FCF-based DCF (captures future cash generation potential). If EV/EBITDA produces a negative value (debt exceeds enterprise value), only DCF is used.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
1.100
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
12.20%
Ke
12.20%
x
E/(D+E)
89.76%
+
Kd(1-t)
6.21%
x
D/(D+E)
10.24%
=
WACC
11.59%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend3.00%
Growth decays 12%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
4
Valuation
50%EV/EBITDA Value
22.618
50%DCF Value
22.932
Blended Intrinsic
22.775
Value Decomposition
41%
59%
Explicit period (41%)Terminal value (59%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — SGS

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

65
Fair
Accrual Quality
96
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
0
Margin Stability
29
Revenue Quality
77

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-2.81
Low Risk
DSRI
0.867
GMI
1.302
AQI
0.947
SGI
0.720
DEPI
0.943
SGAI
1.321
TATA
-0.010
LVGI
0.971

SGS exhibits an elevated risk of earnings manipulation as indicated by its Beneish M-Score of -2.8122, which is below the manipulation threshold of -1.78. However, the company's earnings quality score of 64.8 suggests reasonable financial health, particularly in cash conversion metrics.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of -2.8122 indicates potential earnings manipulation.
  • SGAI of 1.3215 suggests aggressive spending on sales and marketing, which may not translate to revenue growth.
Positive Signals
  • Earnings Quality Score of 64.8/100 indicates decent overall earnings quality.
  • High eq_cash_conv score of 100.0/100 reflects strong cash conversion capabilities.
Ownership Risk

The ownership structure is heavily concentrated, with 51.0% held by Tổng Công ty Cơ khí Giao thông Vận tải Sài Gòn and 37.4% by Công ty TNHH Dịch Vụ Tiếp Vận Toàn Cầu, which may lead to potential conflicts of interest and reduced shareholder influence.

Recommendation

Investors should conduct further due diligence on SGS's financial practices and consider monitoring for any changes in earnings quality metrics, particularly in receivables and margins, before making investment decisions.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
5/9
Neutral
Z-Score
5.41
Safe Zone
Sharpe
-0.10
Negative
Composite
71
Strong
Price Risk
Momentum
+29.1%
Volatility
60.5%
Max Drawdown
-28.8%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
16.87P/E
P/B0.64
P/S1.61
ROE3.9%
ROA3.4%
EPS830.01
BVPS21712.90
Gross Margin17.3%
Net Margin9.5%
D/E0.11
Current Ratio10.21
Rev Growth-28.0%
Profit Growth-55.0%
EV/EBITDA6.60
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
14.4M
Charter Capital
144.2B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp
Industry (ICB L3)
Vận tải
Sub-industry
Vận tải Thủy
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for SGS — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Tổng Công ty Cơ khí Giao thông Vận tải Sài Gòn
Inst
51.0%
7.4 trieu
Công ty TNHH Dịch Vụ Tiếp Vận Toàn Cầu
Inst
37.4%
5.4 trieu
Lê Minh
Indiv
0.8%
115.360
Nguyễn Quang Việt
Indiv
0.7%
104.762
Đỗ Việt Triều
Indiv
0.3%
37.265
Board & Management
Lê Minh0.8%
Phó Tổng Giám đốc/Phó Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Dương Thị Kim Kiều
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Thị Huyền Trang
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Huỳnh Như Ý
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Trần Thiện
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Phạm Minh Anh
Kế toán trưởng
Đỗ Đức Tuấn
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Văn Long
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Thị Thắm
Người phụ trách quản trị công ty
Nguyễn Thị Thúy Loan
Trưởng phòng Tài chính - Kế toán
Phạm Văn Hưởng
Phụ trách Công bố thông tin/Tổng Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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