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Real Estate sector

SID

Real Estate
Công ty Cổ phần Đầu tư Phát triển Sài Gòn Co.op
Bất động sảnCT
15.000
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
17.095
Current
15.000
Gap
+14.0%
ModelDCF LEVERAGE SCREEN

Valuation Breakdown

CTBất động sảnReal Estate
Classified as real estate because ICB sector "Bất động sản" maps to the real estate group
ModelRNAV + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 40% x (BVPS x 1.5) + 60% x DCF Value

Real estate developers in Vietnam report land banks at historical acquisition cost (Vietnamese Accounting Standards don't allow revaluation). This means book value severely understates true asset value. This model blends two approaches: an RNAV proxy (revalued net asset value, applying a 1.5x factor to book value) weighted 40%, and a DCF on normalized cash flows weighted 60%. Highly leveraged firms receive a +2% WACC penalty.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
1.300
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
13.60%
Ke
13.60%
x
E/(D+E)
93.71%
+
Kd(1-t)
5.92%
x
D/(D+E)
6.29%
=
WACC
13.12%
+2% WACC penalty (high leverage)
2
Growth Estimate
Sector Default3.00%
Growth decays 10%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
4
Valuation
40%RNAV Proxy
31.048
60%DCF Value
7.792
Blended Intrinsic
17.095
Value Decomposition
41%
59%
Explicit period (41%)Terminal value (59%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — SID

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

38
Weak
Accrual Quality
52
Cash Conversion
0
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
0
Revenue Quality
34

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2024

-2.46
Moderate
DSRI
0.613
GMI
1.155
AQI
0.985
SGI
1.134
DEPI
1.293
SGAI
0.772
TATA
0.028
LVGI
1.075

The Beneish M-Score of -2.4623 indicates that SID is below the manipulation threshold, suggesting a lower likelihood of earnings manipulation. However, the earnings quality score of 47.0/100, particularly the low cash conversion and revenue metrics, raises concerns about the sustainability of reported earnings.

Red Flags
  • Earnings Quality Score of 47.0/100 indicates potential issues with earnings sustainability.
  • Cash conversion score of 0.0/100 suggests significant discrepancies between reported earnings and actual cash flows.
Positive Signals
  • Beneish M-Score of -2.4623 is well below the manipulation threshold of -1.78, indicating a lower risk of earnings manipulation.
  • Receivables score of 100.0/100 suggests effective management of accounts receivable.
Ownership Risk

With 96.1% ownership by Liên Hiệp Hợp Tác Xã Thương Mại Tp. Hồ Chí Minh, there is a high concentration of ownership, which may lead to governance risks and reduced accountability.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor cash flow metrics and consider a deeper analysis of revenue recognition practices before making investment decisions.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
4/9
Neutral
Z-Score
6.20
Safe Zone
Sharpe
0.15
Positive
Composite
55
Fair
Price Risk
Momentum
+30.6%
Volatility
103.0%
Max Drawdown
-35.8%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
13.11P/E
P/B0.60
P/S14.91
ROE4.7%
ROA4.4%
EPS1144.17
BVPS24838.75
Gross Margin64.7%
Net Margin113.7%
D/E0.07
Current Ratio9.91
Rev Growth1.6%
Profit Growth71.1%
EV/EBITDA-405.47
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
100.0M
Charter Capital
1000.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Bất động sản
Industry (ICB L3)
Bất động sản
Sub-industry
Bất động sản
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for SID — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Liên Hiệp Hợp Tác Xã Thương Mại Tp. Hồ Chí Minh
Inst
96.1%
96.1 trieu
Board & Management
Nguyễn Anh Đức
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Kim Dung
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Hữu Đông Hà
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Hồ Mỹ Hòa
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Bùi Thị Kim Nga
Kế toán trưởng/Giám đốc Tài chính
Phạm Trung Kiên
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Tổng Giám đốc/Phụ trách Công bố thông tin
Nguyễn Ngọc Thắng
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Lê Trường Sơn
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Phú Khánh
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Phạm Hoàng An
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Top connections
Computed 12/04/2026
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