TDG
UtilitiesValuation Breakdown
The Dividend Discount Model values a stock based on its future dividend payments, discounted to present value. The 3-stage variant captures three phases of a company's life: high growth (years 1-3), a transition period where growth declines linearly (years 4-6), and a terminal stage of stable, perpetual growth (year 7+). As John D. Rockefeller said: "The only thing that gives me pleasure is to see my dividends coming in."
Valuation Track Record
Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — TDG
Earnings Quality
Fiscal year 2025
Financial Forensics
Beneish M-Score · 2025
TDG exhibits several concerning financial metrics that suggest potential manipulation, particularly indicated by its Beneish M-Score of -3.0425, which is well below the manipulation threshold of -1.78. However, the company's earnings quality score of 69.6/100, particularly its perfect cash conversion and receivables metrics, indicates some strength in operational performance.
- Beneish M-Score of -3.0425 indicates potential earnings manipulation, significantly below the threshold of -1.78.
- SGAI at 1.4274 suggests aggressive spending on sales and marketing, which may not translate to revenue growth.
- Low eq_margin score of 28.8/100 indicates potential issues with profitability despite revenue generation.
- Earnings quality score of 69.6/100 reflects solid cash conversion (100.0/100) and receivables management (100.0/100).
- DSRI of 1.2832, while above 1, indicates that inventory growth is manageable compared to sales growth.
The ownership structure is fragmented with no single shareholder holding a controlling stake, which may lead to governance challenges and potential conflicts of interest among top shareholders.
Investors should exercise caution and closely monitor TDG's financial disclosures and operational performance. Consider a deeper analysis of cash flow statements and management's strategic direction before making investment decisions.
Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.
Quantitative Scores
Key Ratios
Company Overview
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