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Consumer sector

THS

Consumer
Công ty Cổ phần Thanh Hoa Sông Đà
Bán lẻCT
9.900
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Overvalued
Very Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
6.276
Current
9.900
Gap
-36.6%
ModelFCF DCF

Valuation Breakdown

CTBán lẻConsumer
Classified as consumer because ICB sector "Bán lẻ" maps to the consumer group
ModelFCF-Based DCF
Value = Sum of [FCF / (1+WACC)^t] + Terminal Value / (1+WACC)^n

A classic Discounted Cash Flow model built on Free Cash Flow (FCF), the actual cash a business generates after all operating expenses and capital expenditures. Future FCF is projected for 10 years with gradually decaying growth, then discounted back to today's value using WACC. This is the gold standard of intrinsic valuation: it values the company based on what it can actually deliver to shareholders, independent of market sentiment.

Distressed Valuation
Negative Intrinsic Value
BVPS
12.553
x
Discount
50%
=
Floor Value
12.553

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — THS

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

30
Weak
Accrual Quality
41
Cash Conversion
0
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
0
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-1.98
Moderate
DSRI
0.383
GMI
1.133
AQI
0.887
SGI
1.314
DEPI
0.836
SGAI
0.849
TATA
0.171
LVGI
1.138

The Beneish M-Score of -1.9798 indicates a potential risk of earnings manipulation, as it exceeds the threshold of -1.78. Additionally, the earnings quality score of 30.3/100 reveals significant weaknesses in cash conversion and revenue recognition, which are critical in assessing the reliability of reported earnings.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of -1.9798 indicates potential earnings manipulation.
  • Earnings Quality Score of 30.3/100, with cash conversion at 0.0/100, raises concerns about the sustainability of earnings.
  • SGI of 1.3145 suggests aggressive growth that may not be supported by actual sales.
Positive Signals
  • DSRI of 0.3831 indicates that accounts receivable are not growing faster than sales, which is a positive sign.
  • Receivables score of 100.0/100 suggests effective management of receivables.
Ownership Risk

The concentrated ownership structure, with Lê Anh Tuấn holding 79.0%, poses a risk as it may lead to decisions that prioritize personal interests over minority shareholders. This lack of diversity in ownership can limit accountability.

Recommendation

Investors should approach THS with caution, considering the elevated risk of earnings manipulation and low earnings quality. It may be prudent to monitor future earnings reports closely and assess any changes in ownership dynamics.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
3/9
Weak
Z-Score
2.46
Grey Zone
Sharpe
-0.15
Negative
Composite
38
Weak
Price Risk
Momentum
+23.6%
Volatility
66.4%
Max Drawdown
-51.1%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
58.37P/E
P/B0.79
P/S0.08
ROE1.3%
ROA0.4%
EPS169.61
BVPS12552.89
Gross Margin5.7%
Net Margin0.1%
D/E3.23
Current Ratio1.05
Rev Growth31.3%
Profit Growth-53.3%
EV/EBITDA17.36
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
3.0M
Charter Capital
30.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Bán lẻ
Industry (ICB L3)
Bán lẻ
Sub-industry
Bán lẻ phức hợp
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for THS — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Lê Anh Tuấn
Indiv
79.0%
2.1 trieu
nguyen-thi-huong
Indiv
10.8%
292.000
Hoàng Thị Tâm
Indiv
5.5%
149.360
nguyen-xuan-bac
Indiv
5.0%
134.484
Dương Trọng Chính
Indiv
1.0%
26.070
nguyen-thi-lai
Indiv
0.7%
20.000
Phạm Thị Nhung
Indiv
0.4%
10.000
Lê Minh Thông
Indiv
0.4%
10.000
Nguyễn Thị Hiền
Indiv
0.3%
8.000
Vũ Thị Lý
Indiv
0.2%
4.130
Board & Management
Nguyễn Thị Lài0.7%
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Vũ Thị Lý0.2%
Kế toán trưởng
Nguyễn Thanh Hải
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Tổng Giám đốc
Đỗ Văn Thái
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Chu Thị Hòa
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Phạm Văn Lợi
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Lê Mạnh Chiến
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Lê Văn Tường
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Trương Vạn Thành
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

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