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Consumer sector

BNA

Consumer
Công ty Cổ phần Tập đoàn Đầu tư Bảo Ngọc
Thực phẩm và đồ uống/Sản xuất thực phẩmCT
6.000
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Medium
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
57.909
Current
6.000
Gap
+500.0%
ModelFCF DCF

Valuation Breakdown

CTThực phẩm và đồ uốngConsumer
Classified as consumer because ICB sector "Thực phẩm và đồ uống" maps to the consumer group
ModelFCF-Based DCF
Value = Sum of [FCF / (1+WACC)^t] + Terminal Value / (1+WACC)^n

A classic Discounted Cash Flow model built on Free Cash Flow (FCF), the actual cash a business generates after all operating expenses and capital expenditures. Future FCF is projected for 10 years with gradually decaying growth, then discounted back to today's value using WACC. This is the gold standard of intrinsic valuation: it values the company based on what it can actually deliver to shareholders, independent of market sentiment.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
0.800
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
10.10%
Ke
10.10%
x
E/(D+E)
38.80%
+
Kd(1-t)
6.07%
x
D/(D+E)
61.20%
=
WACC
10.00%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend5.57%
Growth decays 10%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
Base FCF139.67B
Projection years10
4
Valuation
Base FCF
139.67B
Growth Rate
5.57%
WACC
10.00%
Terminal Growth
4.00%
DCF Value
57.909
Value Decomposition
43%
57%
Explicit period (43%)Terminal value (57%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — BNA

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

67
Fair
Accrual Quality
75
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
7
Margin Stability
96
Revenue Quality
49

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-2.30
Moderate
DSRI
1.024
GMI
0.860
AQI
2.074
SGI
1.125
DEPI
0.679
SGAI
1.089
TATA
-0.062
LVGI
0.918

BNA exhibits a Beneish M-Score of -2.3028, indicating a low likelihood of earnings manipulation, as it is well below the threshold of -1.78. However, the earnings quality metrics show significant variability, particularly in receivables and revenue recognition, which warrant further scrutiny.

Red Flags
  • Earnings Quality Score of 67.0/100 indicates potential concerns, especially with a low receivables score of 7.1/100, suggesting possible issues in revenue collection.
  • The SGI of 1.1248 indicates a growth rate that may not be sustainable, raising concerns about the company's ability to maintain its revenue growth.
Positive Signals
  • The cash conversion score of 100.0/100 suggests strong cash flow generation relative to earnings, which is a positive indicator for operational efficiency.
  • A Beneish M-Score of -2.3028 is significantly below the manipulation threshold, suggesting a lower risk of accounting fraud.
Ownership Risk

The ownership structure is heavily concentrated, with Lê Đức Thuận holding 36.0%, which can lead to potential governance risks and lack of minority shareholder protection.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor BNA's revenue recognition practices and receivables management. It may be prudent to engage with management regarding their growth strategies and ensure that growth is supported by sustainable cash flows.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
7/9
Strong
Z-Score
2.01
Grey Zone
Sharpe
-0.87
Negative
Composite
61
Fair
Price Risk
Momentum
-20.0%
Volatility
41.0%
Max Drawdown
-30.4%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
3.86P/E
P/B0.33
P/S0.10
ROE8.9%
ROA3.1%
EPS1556.40
BVPS18175.56
Gross Margin12.4%
Net Margin2.5%
D/E1.58
Current Ratio1.35
Rev Growth12.6%
Profit Growth-8.6%
EV/EBITDA5.26
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
31.2M
Charter Capital
312.5B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Thực phẩm và đồ uống
Industry (ICB L3)
Sản xuất thực phẩm
Sub-industry
Thực phẩm
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for BNA — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Lê Đức Thuận
Indiv
36.0%
11.3 trieu
Lê Đức Tùng
Indiv
3.3%
264.800
Trần Xuân Vinh
Indiv
1.3%
390.625
Công ty Cổ phần Đầu tư Homeconstruct
Inst
0.8%
62.800
Board & Management
Lê Đức Thuấn36.0%
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Trần Xuân Vinh1.3%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Xuân Trưởng
Kế toán trưởng
Nguyễn Thị Thu Quyên
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Trung Hiếu
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Phạm Thế Hưng
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
VŨ ĐỨC LỢI
Tổng Giám đốc
Lê Thị Thanh Huyền
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Đặng Minh Quang
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Khổng Thị Oanh
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Top connections
Computed 12/04/2026
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