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Construction sector

CCM

Construction
Công ty Cổ phần Khoáng sản và Xi măng Cần Thơ
Xây dựng và Vật liệuCT
38.100
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
94.007
Current
38.100
Gap
+146.7%
ModelEV EBITDA DCF BLEND

Valuation Breakdown

CTXây dựng và Vật liệuConstruction
Classified as construction because ICB sector "Xây dựng và Vật liệu" maps to the construction group
ModelEV/EBITDA + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 50% x EV/EBITDA Value + 50% x DCF Value

Construction and industrial firms have characteristics of both cyclical businesses (lumpy project-based revenue) and growth companies (expanding order books). This model blends two approaches 50/50: EV/EBITDA valuation (captures current earning power relative to peers) and FCF-based DCF (captures future cash generation potential). If EV/EBITDA produces a negative value (debt exceeds enterprise value), only DCF is used.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
1.100
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
12.20%
Ke
12.20%
x
E/(D+E)
61.43%
+
Kd(1-t)
6.95%
x
D/(D+E)
38.57%
=
WACC
10.17%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend4.45%
Growth decays 12%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
4
Valuation
50%EV/EBITDA Value
73.501
50%DCF Value
114.513
Blended Intrinsic
94.007
Value Decomposition
35%
65%
Explicit period (35%)Terminal value (65%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — CCM

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2024

58
Fair
Accrual Quality
85
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
4
Margin Stability
71
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2016

-3.04
Low Risk
DSRI
0.727
GMI
0.855
AQI
0.739
SGI
1.124
DEPI
1.508
SGAI
0.894
TATA
-0.058
LVGI
1.131

CCM exhibits a Beneish M-Score of -3.0428, indicating a low likelihood of earnings manipulation. However, the high ownership concentration among a few individuals and the presence of a significant institutional investor may pose governance risks.

Red Flags
  • High ownership concentration: Top 5 shareholders hold 92.2% of shares, which may lead to governance issues and lack of minority shareholder protection.
Positive Signals
  • Earnings Quality Score of 79.2/100 indicates strong overall earnings quality, particularly with a perfect cash conversion rate of 100.0/100.
Ownership Risk

The significant concentration of ownership among a few individuals raises concerns about potential conflicts of interest and limited oversight, which could negatively impact minority shareholders.

Recommendation

Investors should monitor governance practices closely and consider engaging with management to ensure transparency, while also recognizing the strong earnings quality metrics as a positive factor.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
4/9
Neutral
Z-Score
3.52
Safe Zone
Sharpe
-0.22
Negative
Composite
56
Fair
Price Risk
Momentum
-7.3%
Volatility
84.4%
Max Drawdown
-36.4%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2024
4.94P/E
P/B0.47
P/S0.25
ROE11.0%
ROA7.0%
EPS8706.04
BVPS82430.61
Gross Margin11.9%
Net Margin5.5%
D/E0.49
Current Ratio4.36
Rev Growth-7.2%
Profit Growth-20.1%
EV/EBITDA3.26
Div Yield5.1%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
6.2M
Charter Capital
62.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Industry (ICB L3)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Sub-industry
Vật liệu xây dựng & Nội thất
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for CCM — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Công Ty Tnhh Thái Hưng
Inst
26.8%
1.7 trieu
Thái Minh Thuyết
Indiv
18.4%
1.1 trieu
Nguyễn Thị Út Em
Indiv
16.5%
1.0 trieu
nguyen-thi-ut
Indiv
16.3%
747.500
Thái Vân Thanh
Indiv
14.3%
884.375
Thái Châu
Indiv
10.0%
620.000
Thái Hoàng Tước
Indiv
10.0%
620.000
nguyen-kim-hoang
Indiv
6.0%
275.000
Nguyễn Thị Hồng Nguyên
Indiv
6.0%
275.000
nguyen-phan-ngoc-dung
Indiv
5.0%
229.900
Võ Hữu Nhưỡng
Indiv
4.3%
197.400
Trần Văn Hòa
Indiv
4.1%
190.000
Nguyễn Thế Xuân ý
Indiv
1.7%
77.000
Board & Management
Thái Minh Thuyết18.4%
Tổng Giám đốc/Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Thị Út Em16.5%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Thái Hoàng Tước10.0%
Phó Tổng Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Thái Châu10.0%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Trần Minh Quang
Phó Tổng Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Thái Thanh Phong
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Lê Hoàng Kha
Giám đốc Tài chính/Kế toán trưởng
Tạ Thanh Hùng
Giám đốc Kế hoạch và Phát triển sản xuất kinh doanh
Tống Duy Can
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Lê Thị Bích Thủy
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Top connections
Computed 12/04/2026
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