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Công ty Cổ phần Điện nước An Giang

VietnamUtilitiesĐiện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốtNước & Khí đốtUPCOMCT
24.000
VND · Last close

Calibrated intrinsic value vs last close

Illustrative estimate
Comparison requires review
+16.2%Calibrated value vs last close
Last close (VND)
24.000
Calibrated intrinsic value (VND)
27.898

Last close × (1 + calibrated gap / 100)

Earnings-capitalised value

Not available: the company reported a loss last year or its shares have too short a price history.

How it is calculated

  1. 1
    Measure the gap

    Between the model and the last close.

  2. 2
    Check the record2015–2024

    What gaps of that size went on to earn over the following year.

  3. 3
    Apply to the close

    That return is applied to the last close.

Keep in mind

  • For illustration only: not a validated forecast.
  • No uncertainty range: the estimate is a single figure.
  • Older record: it has not been re-measured on the current data.

Why it needs review

  • Trading liquidity is below the comparison threshold.

This estimate remains visible for checking its calculation. Its inputs require review before using it in a stock comparison. The model comparison behind this value needs review. The estimate does not remove the data limitations listed above.

Model reliability
Low
Model fitInput stabilityRisk checks
High requires the model’s diagnostic criteria to be met.
Probability of outperforming peers
Not assessed
A separate peer-outperformance probability is unavailable for this valuation.
Assessed 30 Oct 2026Not updated with daily prices

These assessments address different questions. Neither establishes that the displayed valuation is correct or guarantees a future return.

Valuation Breakdown

CT→Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt→Utility
Classified as utility because ICB sector “Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt” maps to the utility group.
Model3-Stage DDM
Value = Sum of [DPS x (1+g)^t / (1+Ke)^t] + Terminal Dividend / (Ke - g_terminal)

The Dividend Discount Model values a stock based on its future dividend payments, discounted to present value. The 3-stage variant captures three phases of a company's life: high growth (years 1-3), a transition period where growth declines linearly (years 4-6), and a terminal stage of stable, perpetual growth (year 7+).

Technical details
Why this model

Regulated utilities have capped growth but high, stable dividend payouts. DDM is the canonical valuation method when dividends are the primary return to shareholders. Many utilities follow stated or regulated payout policies, so actual dividends are a direct input.

How it works

Uses the median cash dividend of the last 3 years from corporate events; a company with no dividend record gets 50% of its median EPS. 3 stages: high growth (3yr at estimated rate), transition (3yr linear decay), terminal (perpetual at the sector's long-run growth rate). Discounts at cost of equity (CAPM). A payout above 40% of earnings is needed for high model reliability.

Best for

Regulated utilities, power companies, and water suppliers with stable, predictable dividend policies.

1
Cost of Equity (Ke)
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.36%
+
Betasector default
0.820
x
ERP
4.38%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
10.70%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental equity blend8.70%
3
Model Inputs
DPS source:Actual dividends
DPS→1.500
Payout ratio→53.6%
4
Valuation

We take the model’s gap to the last close, read what gaps of that size went on to earn over the following year in our 2015 to 2024 record, and apply that to the last close.

Last close (VND)→24.000
Calibrated value vs last close→+16.2%

Last close × (1 + calibrated gap / 100)

Calibrated intrinsic value (VND)
27.898
What feeds each step— click a source to highlight it in the statements
Growth rate8.70%growth method: fundamental equity blend
Dividend per share1.500dps source: eventspayout ratio: 53.63
Feeds valuation:GrowthModel inputs
Line item20262025202420232022202120202019201820172016201520142013
CURRENT ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·500414388349350353395308272324314367376
Cash and cash equivalents (Bn. VND)
·16246141737112369152017135
Short-term investments (Bn. VND)
·354545454444432251117116110128
Accounts receivable (Bn. VND)
·232256272232238177175165145123123176172
Prepayments to suppliers (Bn. VND)
·50.91923212815130.070.010.010.030.03
Net Inventories
·44404140474244425053535564
Inventories, Net (Bn. VND)
·44404140474244425053535564
Other current assets
·272616151820111111106137
Other current assets (Bn. VND)
·0000000000032
LONG-TERM ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·1,1531,1381,1331,1491,1851,1182,0312,2832,0381,6011,406979841
Long-term trade receivables (Bn. VND)
·000000001122833360.20.2
Other long-term receivables (Bn. VND)
·0000000011228333500
Fixed assets (Bn. VND)
·9769839829901,015776766788805822836965831
Tangible fixed assets
·959966965973998759749771784800816749672
Intagible fixed assets
·17171717171717172121202020
Long-term investments (Bn. VND)
·4665642210.50.080.080.08
Other long-term assets (Bn. VND)
·0.080.080.080.080.080.080.080.080.080.080.080.080.08
Other non-current assets
·1421251001261251068993672921410
Long-term prepayments (Bn. VND)
·1421251001261251068993672721310
TOTAL ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·1,6531,5511,5211,4981,5351,4722,4262,5922,3101,9241,7201,3461,217
LIABILITIES (Bn. VND)
·788705688668712680663644627453442419374
Current liabilities (Bn. VND)
·478408377272282260358319311180144109106
Short-term borrowings (Bn. VND)
·979212054515965747410562
Advances from customers (Bn. VND)
·0.30.220.20.662861218120.20.2
Long-term liabilities (Bn. VND)
·309297311396430420305324316273297310267
Long-term borrowings (Bn. VND)
·186132151248284283171195195267292304263
OWNER'S EQUITY(Bn.VND)
·8658468338298227921,7631,9481,6831,4721,279927843
Capital and reserves (Bn. VND)
·8658468338298227921,7631,9481,6831,4721,279927843
Paid-in capital (Bn. VND)
·563563563563563536511487487487487487487
Other Reserves
·000000000841662319242
Investment and development funds (Bn. VND)
·1811551171039691776451463633
Other Reserves
·0000000000022
Undistributed earnings (Bn. VND)
·1211271271241251181111029998949189
TOTAL RESOURCES (Bn. VND)
·1,6531,5511,5211,4981,5351,4722,4262,5922,3101,9241,7201,3461,217
Common shares (Bn. VND)
·563563563563563536511487487487487487487
MINORITY INTERESTS
·00000001,2951,0460000
◆vnvalue Research Note
Full equity analysis · PDF · Updated 30 Oct 2026

Dated original report: includes the model’s unadjusted figures; the website shows calibrated values.

Download

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025
92
Good
Accrual Quality
100
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
99
Revenue Quality
62

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025
Remainder
M −2.89 · 19th pctile vs VN companies
YoY ▲ +0.01
Conservative vs VN peersUnusual accounting movement
Compare across the whole market

Ranked vs Vietnamese peers. The −1.78 Beneish cutoff is US-calibrated; ~28% of VN stocks exceed it.

DSRI
0.868
GMI
1.029
AQI
1.073
SGI
1.046
DEPI
0.955
SGAI
0.968
TATA
−0.069
LVGI
1.155

Checks measured on Vietnamese companies · FY2025

Cash conversion, 3 yearsOperating cash flow / net profit
1.6969th pctile
Receivables outside the trade cyclePrepayments to suppliers, loans and other long-term receivables / total assets
0.3%18th pctile
Accumulated losses / paid-in capitalUndistributed earnings below zero
None
Consecutive years of net lossProfit after tax of the parent
0
Owner's equityWithout the non-controlling interest
Positive

Percentiles rank each fiscal year against Vietnamese non-financial companies (0 lowest, 100 highest). Over FY2015-2024, low cash conversion and a large share of receivables outside the trade cycle came before more listing trouble and more net losses the next year.

Statutory loss tests (Decree 155/2020/NĐ-CP, Art. 120(1)(e), amended by Decree 245/2025/NĐ-CP): a HOSE or HNX listing is cancelled when the audited annual statements show net losses in each of the latest 3 years, accumulated losses above the paid-in charter capital, or negative owner's equity. Read here from the annual statements as the data vendor publishes them. The company trades on UPCoM, where these tests do not apply.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
6/9
Neutral
Z-Score
3.31
Safe Zone
Sharpe
0.04
Positive
Composite
46
30 to 49
Piotroski F-Score Breakdown
✓Net Income > 0
✓Operating CF > 0
✗ROA Rising
✓OCF > Net Income
✓Lower Leverage
✓Better Liquidity
✓No Dilution
✗Margin Up
✗Turnover Up
DuPont Decomposition
Tax Burden0.80×Interest Burden1.06×Op. Margin0.07×Turnover1.66×Leverage1.91=ROE18.9%
Price Risk
Momentum
−1.7%
Volatility
71.5%
Max Drawdown
−43.4%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
8.27P/E
P/B
1.56
P/S
0.49
ROE
19.1%
ROA
10.2%
EPS
2.902
BVPS
15.364
Gross Margin
19.1%
Net Margin
5.9%
D/E
0.33
Current Ratio
1.05
Rev Growth
+4.6%
Profit Growth
+3.8%
EV/EBITDA
4.52
Div Yield
6.3%

Company Overview

Shares outstanding
56.3M
Charter Capital
563B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt
Industry (ICB L3)
Nước & Khí đốt
Sub-industry
Nước
Company Type
CT
Computed 30/10/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

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All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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