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Utilities sector

DWS

Utilities
Công ty Cổ phần Cấp nước và Môi trường Đô thị Đồng Tháp
Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt/Nước & Khí đốtCT
14.400
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Overvalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
13.195
Current
14.400
Gap
-8.4%
ModelDDM 3STAGE

Valuation Breakdown

CTĐiện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốtUtility
Classified as utility because ICB sector "Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt" maps to the utility group
Model3-Stage DDM
Value = Sum of [DPS x (1+g)^t / (1+Ke)^t] + Terminal Dividend / (Ke - g_terminal)

The Dividend Discount Model values a stock based on its future dividend payments, discounted to present value. The 3-stage variant captures three phases of a company's life: high growth (years 1-3), a transition period where growth declines linearly (years 4-6), and a terminal stage of stable, perpetual growth (year 7+). As John D. Rockefeller said: "The only thing that gives me pleasure is to see my dividends coming in."

1
Cost of Equity (Ke)
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
0.600
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
8.70%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental equity blend6.31%
3
Model Inputs
DPS source:Actual dividends
DPS600
Payout ratio32.5%
4
Valuation
Dividends Per Share
600
Base Growth
6.31%
Cost of Equity
8.70%
Terminal Growth
3.50%
DDM Value
13.195
Value Decomposition
25%
75%
Explicit period (25%)Terminal value (75%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — DWS

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

62
Fair
Accrual Quality
98
Cash Conversion
91
Receivables
29
Margin Stability
93
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2024

-2.02
Moderate
DSRI
1.526
GMI
1.021
AQI
0.955
SGI
1.079
DEPI
0.920
SGAI
0.905
TATA
-0.021
LVGI
0.970

DWS exhibits several concerning indicators that suggest potential earnings manipulation, particularly with a Beneish M-Score of -2.0151, which is below the manipulation threshold of -1.78. While the earnings quality score of 60.5 indicates moderate quality, the extremely low receivables score of 0.0 raises significant concerns about revenue recognition practices.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of -2.0151 indicates potential earnings manipulation, significantly below the threshold of -1.78.
  • Receivables quality score of 0.0/100 suggests aggressive revenue recognition practices that may not align with cash flows.
Positive Signals
  • Earnings quality score of 60.5/100 indicates overall moderate earnings quality, with strong cash conversion at 100.0/100.
  • The DSRI of 1.5259 indicates a potential increase in inventory, which could signify growth if managed properly.
Ownership Risk

The ownership structure is heavily dominated by the state with 85.6% held by Ủy Ban Nhân Dân Tỉnh Đồng Tháp, which may reduce the likelihood of aggressive management practices but could also lead to bureaucratic inefficiencies.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor DWS's earnings reports and cash flow statements for signs of revenue recognition issues. It may be prudent to adopt a cautious approach until clearer signals of financial stability and transparency are observed.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
6/9
Neutral
Z-Score
1.07
Distress Zone
Sharpe
0.05
Positive
Composite
44
Weak
Price Risk
Momentum
-8.4%
Volatility
45.2%
Max Drawdown
-31.4%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
8.09P/E
P/B1.07
P/S0.87
ROE13.6%
ROA4.8%
EPS1976.97
BVPS14905.91
Gross Margin32.1%
Net Margin10.8%
D/E1.78
Current Ratio1.38
Rev Growth-2.6%
Profit Growth3.6%
EV/EBITDA3.77
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
25.9M
Charter Capital
259.2B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt
Industry (ICB L3)
Nước & Khí đốt
Sub-industry
Nước
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for DWS — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Ủy Ban Nhân Dân Tỉnh Đồng Tháp
State
85.6%
22.2 trieu
PHAN ĐÌNH HÙNG
Indiv
0.4%
105.600
Nguyễn Anh Dũng
Indiv
0.4%
97.000
Nguyễn Văn Đệ
Indiv
0.2%
57.700
Nguyễn Thượng Vũ
Indiv
0.2%
52.600
Nguyễn Thị Minh Ngọc
Indiv
0.2%
50.000
Nguyễn Thị Mỹ Lệ
Indiv
0.2%
42.500
Nguyễn Thị Thu Trang
Indiv
0.1%
38.800
Phạm Chí Thức
Indiv
0.1%
33.900
Hoàng Quốc Hưng
Indiv
0.1%
31.900
Board & Management
Nguyễn Anh Dũng0.4%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Văn Để0.2%
Tổng Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Thượng Vũ0.2%
Phó Tổng Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Thị Thu Trang0.1%
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Hoàng Quốc Hưng0.1%
Kế toán trưởng
Nguyễn Thị Kim Dung
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Văn Hậu
Giám đốc
Nguyễn Thanh Hồng
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Lý Thu Cúc
Phụ trách Công bố thông tin
Computed 12/04/2026
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