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Construction sector

BDT

Construction
Công ty Cổ phần Xây lắp và Vật liệu xây dựng Đồng Tháp
Xây dựng và Vật liệuCT
9.200
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Medium
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
42.743
Current
9.200
Gap
+364.6%
ModelEV EBITDA DCF BLEND

Valuation Breakdown

CTXây dựng và Vật liệuConstruction
Classified as construction because ICB sector "Xây dựng và Vật liệu" maps to the construction group
ModelEV/EBITDA + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 50% x EV/EBITDA Value + 50% x DCF Value

Construction and industrial firms have characteristics of both cyclical businesses (lumpy project-based revenue) and growth companies (expanding order books). This model blends two approaches 50/50: EV/EBITDA valuation (captures current earning power relative to peers) and FCF-based DCF (captures future cash generation potential). If EV/EBITDA produces a negative value (debt exceeds enterprise value), only DCF is used.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
1.100
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
12.20%
Ke
12.20%
x
E/(D+E)
49.24%
+
Kd(1-t)
6.38%
x
D/(D+E)
50.76%
=
WACC
10.00%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend3.00%
Growth decays 12%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
4
Valuation
50%EV/EBITDA Value
37.757
50%DCF Value
47.730
Blended Intrinsic
42.743
Value Decomposition
35%
65%
Explicit period (35%)Terminal value (65%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — BDT

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

56
Fair
Accrual Quality
45
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
0
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-3.09
Low Risk
DSRI
0.859
GMI
1.022
AQI
1.036
SGI
1.210
DEPI
0.954
SGAI
0.838
TATA
-0.155
LVGI
0.965

BDT exhibits a Beneish M-Score of -3.0878, indicating a low likelihood of earnings manipulation. However, the earnings quality score of 56.3/100 reveals significant weaknesses in revenue and margin recognition, which could pose risks to financial stability.

Red Flags
  • Earnings quality score of 0.0/100 for eq_margin and eq_revenue suggests potential issues in revenue recognition and profit margins.
  • SGI of 1.2103 indicates aggressive sales growth, which may not be sustainable.
Positive Signals
  • Beneish M-Score of -3.0878 is well below the manipulation threshold of -1.78, signaling a lower risk of earnings manipulation.
  • High cash conversion and receivables scores (100.0/100) indicate strong cash flow management.
Ownership Risk

The majority ownership by the state (51.0%) may provide stability but also raises concerns about potential political influence and lack of transparency in decision-making.

Recommendation

Investors should monitor revenue recognition practices closely and assess the sustainability of growth rates. Consider a cautious approach until further clarity on earnings quality is established.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
6/9
Neutral
Z-Score
0.61
Distress Zone
Sharpe
0.17
Positive
Composite
71
Strong
Price Risk
Momentum
+15.5%
Volatility
24.2%
Max Drawdown
-28.6%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
44.79P/E
P/B0.65
P/S1.55
ROE1.5%
ROA0.7%
EPS204.27
BVPS13969.78
Gross Margin27.9%
Net Margin3.5%
D/E0.96
Current Ratio0.93
Rev Growth21.1%
Profit Growth153.7%
EV/EBITDA18.33
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
38.6M
Charter Capital
386.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Industry (ICB L3)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Sub-industry
Vật liệu xây dựng & Nội thất
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for BDT — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Ủy Ban Nhân Dân Tỉnh Đồng Tháp
State
51.0%
19.7 trieu
Ngô Thành Nguyên
Indiv
7.2%
2.8 trieu
Lương Văn Quang
Indiv
4.8%
1.9 trieu
Huỳnh Thị Kiêm Cương
Indiv
1.4%
540.000
Nguyễn Trung Ân
Indiv
0.8%
300.000
Board & Management
Nguyễn Hữu Phước
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Hoàng Anh
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Võ Đinh Quốc Huy
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Phạm Minh Nghĩa
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Trần Thị Thúy Hằng
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Phan Trọng Toàn
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Thành Trung
Kế toán trưởng
Đặng Thanh Hồng
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Thị Thanh An
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

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All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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