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Construction sector

MES

Construction
Công ty Cổ phần Cơ điện Công trình
Xây dựng và Vật liệuCT
10.000
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Overvalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
127
Current
10.000
Gap
-98.7%
ModelEV EBITDA DCF BLEND

Valuation Breakdown

CTXây dựng và Vật liệuConstruction
Classified as construction because ICB sector "Xây dựng và Vật liệu" maps to the construction group
ModelEV/EBITDA + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 50% x EV/EBITDA Value + 50% x DCF Value

Construction and industrial firms have characteristics of both cyclical businesses (lumpy project-based revenue) and growth companies (expanding order books). This model blends two approaches 50/50: EV/EBITDA valuation (captures current earning power relative to peers) and FCF-based DCF (captures future cash generation potential). If EV/EBITDA produces a negative value (debt exceeds enterprise value), only DCF is used.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
1.100
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
12.20%
Ke
12.20%
x
E/(D+E)
96.83%
+
Kd(1-t)
6.40%
x
D/(D+E)
3.17%
=
WACC
12.02%
2
Growth Estimate
Sector Default3.00%
Growth decays 12%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
4
Valuation
50%EV/EBITDA Value
50%DCF Value
127
Blended Intrinsic
127
Value Decomposition
43%
57%
Explicit period (43%)Terminal value (57%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — MES

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

23
Poor
Accrual Quality
93
Cash Conversion
0
Receivables
0
Margin Stability
0
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-2.91
Low Risk
DSRI
1.398
GMI
0.653
AQI
1.002
SGI
0.603
DEPI
0.992
SGAI
3.050
TATA
0.018
LVGI
0.987

The forensic assessment of MES reveals significant red flags indicating potential earnings manipulation, particularly given its Beneish M-Score of -2.9139, which is well below the manipulation threshold of -1.78. Additionally, the company's earnings quality score of 23.2/100, coupled with alarming metrics such as 0.0/100 in cash conversion and revenue quality, raises serious concerns about the reliability of reported earnings.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of -2.9139 indicates potential earnings manipulation, significantly below the threshold of -1.78.
  • Earnings Quality Score of 23.2/100, with 0.0/100 in cash conversion and revenue quality, suggests poor earnings sustainability.
Positive Signals
  • DSRI of 1.3978 indicates that the company is managing its receivables relative to sales, but this is overshadowed by other negative metrics.
Ownership Risk

With 98.9% of shares held by the state (Ủy Ban Nhân Dân Thành Phố Hà Nội), there is a lack of independent oversight, which can exacerbate risks related to governance and transparency.

Recommendation

Investors should exercise caution and consider avoiding MES until there is clear evidence of improved earnings quality and transparency in financial reporting.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
5/9
Neutral
Z-Score
21.23
Safe Zone
Sharpe
0.00
Negative
Composite
20
Poor
Price Risk
Momentum
+0.0%
Volatility
0.0%
Max Drawdown
0.0%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
786.58P/E
P/B1.14
P/S91.59
ROE0.1%
ROA0.1%
EPS12.71
BVPS8774.45
Gross Margin39.8%
Net Margin11.6%
D/E0.03
Current Ratio7.40
Rev Growth-39.7%
Profit Growth131.3%
EV/EBITDA-43.82
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
18.6M
Charter Capital
186.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Industry (ICB L3)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Sub-industry
Xây dựng
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for MES — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Ủy Ban Nhân Dân Thành Phố Hà Nội
State
98.9%
18.4 trieu
Board & Management
Nguyễn Trung Thành
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Kim Cương
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Tổng Giám đốc
Trần Minh Đức
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Cẩm Tú
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Tô Hữu Chung
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Cao Tiến Dũng
Phó Tổng Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Trần Phương Lan
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Kế toán trưởng
Nguyễn Duy Hưng
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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