VNVALUEVNVALUE
Updated weekly
Back to Dashboard
Consumer sector

MLC

Consumer
Công ty Cổ phần Môi trường Đô thị Tỉnh Lào Cai
Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp/Tư vấn & Hỗ trợ Kinh doanhCT
20.400
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
52.451
Current
20.400
Gap
+157.1%
ModelFCF DCF

Valuation Breakdown

CTHàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệpConsumer
Classified as consumer because ICB sector "Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp" maps to the consumer group
ModelFCF-Based DCF
Value = Sum of [FCF / (1+WACC)^t] + Terminal Value / (1+WACC)^n

A classic Discounted Cash Flow model built on Free Cash Flow (FCF), the actual cash a business generates after all operating expenses and capital expenditures. Future FCF is projected for 10 years with gradually decaying growth, then discounted back to today's value using WACC. This is the gold standard of intrinsic valuation: it values the company based on what it can actually deliver to shareholders, independent of market sentiment.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
1.000
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
11.50%
Ke
11.50%
x
E/(D+E)
62.38%
+
Kd(1-t)
6.87%
x
D/(D+E)
37.62%
=
WACC
10.00%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend3.82%
Growth decays 10%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
Base FCF10.44B
Projection years10
4
Valuation
Base FCF
10.44B
Growth Rate
3.82%
WACC
10.00%
Terminal Growth
4.00%
DCF Value
52.451
Value Decomposition
43%
57%
Explicit period (43%)Terminal value (57%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — MLC

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2024

75
Good
Accrual Quality
76
Cash Conversion
54
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
55
Revenue Quality
92

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2024

-2.21
Moderate
DSRI
1.212
GMI
0.867
AQI
0.278
SGI
1.151
DEPI
1.009
SGAI
0.915
TATA
0.060
LVGI
0.986

The Beneish M-Score of -2.2096 indicates a lower likelihood of earnings manipulation, as it is below the threshold of -1.78. However, the earnings quality metrics reveal weaknesses in cash conversion and margin, which could pose risks in financial reporting.

Red Flags
  • Earnings Quality Score of 74.6/100 indicates potential concerns, particularly with cash conversion at 54.4/100, suggesting reliance on accruals rather than cash flow.
  • The SGI of 1.1511 indicates above-average sales growth, which may not be sustainable and could lead to future earnings adjustments.
Positive Signals
  • The DSRI of 1.2115 is above 1, indicating that the company's inventory growth is in line with sales, which is a positive sign.
  • A strong receivables score of 100.0/100 suggests effective collection practices and minimal risk of bad debts.
Ownership Risk

The majority ownership by the local government (51.0%) could lead to potential conflicts of interest and influence on corporate governance, impacting decision-making and transparency.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor cash flow metrics and consider the implications of government ownership on operational independence. A cautious approach is advised until improvements in earnings quality are evident.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
6/9
Neutral
Z-Score
3.83
Safe Zone
Sharpe
0.85
Positive
Composite
83
Strong
Price Risk
Momentum
+38.4%
Volatility
55.0%
Max Drawdown
-12.0%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2024
6.35P/E
P/B1.16
P/S0.47
ROE33.0%
ROA20.7%
EPS5301.77
BVPS17654.26
Gross Margin17.7%
Net Margin12.2%
D/E0.59
Current Ratio2.21
Rev Growth15.1%
Profit Growth75.4%
EV/EBITDA1.93
Div Yield8.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
4.2M
Charter Capital
41.7B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp
Industry (ICB L3)
Tư vấn & Hỗ trợ Kinh doanh
Sub-industry
Chất thải & Môi trường
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for MLC — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Ủy Ban Nhân Dân Tỉnh Lào Cai
Indiv
51.0%
2.1 trieu
Công ty Cổ phần Tập Đoàn Ô Tô Hiệp Hòa
Inst
7.0%
291.982
Phạm Văn Tân
Indiv
0.9%
36.000
Cao Xuân Hoàng
Indiv
0.5%
20.016
Ngô Văn Trường
Indiv
0.4%
16.900
Đặng Văn Giáp
Indiv
0.4%
16.544
Bùi Văn Tốt
Indiv
0.4%
16.200
Hoàng Văn Phượng
Indiv
0.4%
15.744
Lê Thị Kim Oanh
Indiv
0.3%
11.800
Trần Quang Toàn
Indiv
0.3%
11.400
Đào Thị Minh Thủy
Indiv
0.2%
9.000
Phạm Văn Tiến
Indiv
0.2%
8.844
Đặng Anh Tuấn
Indiv
0.2%
7.944
Lê Thị Thuận
Indiv
0.1%
5.400
Trần Thị Thủy
Indiv
0.1%
4.514
Board & Management
Phạm Văn Tân0.9%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Cao Xuân Hoàng0.5%
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Ngô Văn Trường0.4%
Giám đốc/Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị/Phụ trách Công bố thông tin
Đặng Văn Giáp0.4%
Kế toán trưởng/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Bùi Văn Tốt0.4%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Hoàng Văn Phượng0.4%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Phó Giám đốc
Trần Quang Toàn0.3%
Phó Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Đào Thị Minh Thủy0.2%
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Phạm Văn Tiên0.2%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Phó Giám đốc
Đặng Anh Tuấn0.2%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Người phụ trách quản trị công ty
Lê Thị Thuận0.1%
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

By using vnvalue you accept the Terms of Service and Privacy Policy. Full disclaimer →