BTU
Công ty Cổ phần Công trình Đô thị Bến Tre
Calibrated intrinsic value vs last close
Illustrative estimate- Last close (VND)
- 13.100
- Calibrated intrinsic value (VND)
- 13.992
Last close × (1 + calibrated gap / 100)
Earnings-capitalised value
Not available: the company reported a loss last year or its shares have too short a price history.
How it is calculated
- 1Measure the gap
Between the model and the last close.
- 2Check the record2015–2024
What gaps of that size went on to earn over the following year.
- 3Apply to the close
That return is applied to the last close.
Keep in mind
- For illustration only: not a validated forecast.
- No uncertainty range: the estimate is a single figure.
- Older record: it has not been re-measured on the current data.
Why it needs review
- Trading liquidity is below the comparison threshold.
- The latest cash flow is zero or negative.
This estimate remains visible for checking its calculation. Its inputs require review before using it in a stock comparison. The model comparison behind this value needs review. The estimate does not remove the data limitations listed above.
Comparison assessed 4 Nov 2026Valid through 29 Nov 2026
- Model reliability
- Low
- Model fitInput stabilityRisk checks
- High requires the model’s diagnostic criteria to be met.
- Probability of outperforming peers
- Not assessed
- A separate peer-outperformance probability is unavailable for this valuation.
These assessments address different questions. Neither establishes that the displayed valuation is correct or guarantees a future return.
Valuation Breakdown
A Discounted Cash Flow model built on Free Cash Flow (FCF), the cash a business generates after operating expenses and capital expenditures. Future FCF is projected for 10 years with gradually decaying growth, then discounted to today's value using WACC. The DCF value is blended 70/30 with a value from the company's own historical P/E.
Technical details
Consumer staples/retail generate steady, predictable free cash flows, making them ideal for DCF. The time value of money principle means a dollar today is worth more than a dollar tomorrow. DCF captures this by discounting future cash flows at a rate reflecting the investment's risk (WACC).
Takes 3-year median FCF as the base. Estimates growth via ROIC x reinvestment rate (Damodaran framework), falling back to historical revenue growth. Projects 10 years with decay toward the sector's long-run growth rate. Discounts at CAPM-derived WACC. Blends 70% of the DCF value with 30% of a P/E value: the company's 5-year median P/E, held between 5x and 25x, times EPS.
Stable consumer businesses (food, beverage, retail, healthcare) with predictable, positive free cash flows.
We take the model’s gap to the last close, read what gaps of that size went on to earn over the following year in our 2015 to 2024 record, and apply that to the last close.
Last close × (1 + calibrated gap / 100)
DCF Sensitivity
Illustrative calibrated values from the standalone DCF scenarios below, anchored to the same last close. These scenarios leave out the other parts of a blended model and do not reproduce the headline value.
Earnings Quality
Financial Forensics
Ranked vs Vietnamese peers. The −1.78 Beneish cutoff is US-calibrated; ~28% of VN stocks exceed it.
Checks measured on Vietnamese companies · FY2025
- Cash conversion, 3 yearsOperating cash flow / net profit
- 0.4530th pctile
- Receivables outside the trade cyclePrepayments to suppliers, loans and other long-term receivables / total assets
- 0.7%30th pctile
- Accumulated losses / paid-in capitalUndistributed earnings below zero
- None
- Consecutive years of net lossProfit after tax of the parent
- 0
- Owner's equityWithout the non-controlling interest
- Positive
Percentiles rank each fiscal year against Vietnamese non-financial companies (0 lowest, 100 highest). Over FY2015-2024, low cash conversion and a large share of receivables outside the trade cycle came before more listing trouble and more net losses the next year.
Statutory loss tests (Decree 155/2020/NĐ-CP, Art. 120(1)(e), amended by Decree 245/2025/NĐ-CP): a HOSE or HNX listing is cancelled when the audited annual statements show net losses in each of the latest 3 years, accumulated losses above the paid-in charter capital, or negative owner's equity. Read here from the annual statements as the data vendor publishes them. The company trades on UPCoM, where these tests do not apply.
The company’s Beneish M-Score is -1.5121 (79th percentile vs Vietnamese peers) with a year-over-year rise of +0.82, signalling more aggressive accounting relative to most Vietnamese peers and a recent shift in the score. Earnings-quality components show a very weak cash-conversion metric (cash conversion 1.2/100; three-year operating cash flow / net profit = 0.45, 30th percentile) alongside a high accruals-related concern (AQI = 1.6307) and a modest discretionary accruals signal (TATA = 0.1215). Offsetting signals include very low non‑trade receivables (0.7% of total assets, 30th percentile) and a neutral Piotroski F-Score of 6/9; the Altman Z-Score of 2.93 places the company in the ‘grey zone’ for bankruptcy distance.
- Beneish M-Score = -1.5121 (79th percentile vs Vietnamese peers) and YoY change +0.82 — the absolute score is above the US -1.78 cutoff but that cutoff is US-calibrated; the peer percentile and the +0.82 rise indicate relatively more aggressive accounting behavior vs local peers and a recent move.
- AQI (asset quality index) = 1.6307 — this component measures the change in non‑current assets and other items that can indicate capitalization or reclassification of expenses into assets; a value >1 suggests rising asset-based adjustments.
- Cash conversion (Earnings-Quality score component) = 1.2/100 and three-year operating cash flow / net profit = 0.45 (30th percentile) — profit is not converting into cash at a level typical for Vietnamese peers.
- TATA (total accruals to total assets) = 0.1215 — positive discretionary accruals measure that can indicate earnings managed through accruals.
- Altman Z-Score = 2.93 (grey zone) — the distance-to-bankruptcy metric is neither clearly safe nor clearly distressed, indicating moderate financial stress or limited cushion.
- Receivables outside the trade cycle = 0.7% of total assets (30th percentile) and Receivables quality = 100.0/100 — very low non‑trade receivables and top receivables-quality score reduce concern about off-cycle related-party loans or large prepayments.
- DSRI = 0.9515 and SGAI = 0.8529 — days-sales-receivable index under 1 and selling/administrative expense index below 1 suggest no recent abnormal growth in receivables relative to sales or in SG&A relative to sales.
- Piotroski F-Score = 6/9 — indicates neutral-to-moderate fundamental health across profitability, leverage/liquidity and operational efficiency checks.
- No accumulated losses and 0 years of parent net loss up to FY2025; owner's equity (excluding minority interest) is positive — the statutory statement-level indicators show retained earnings and equity are not eroded.
The largest shareholder is the Bến Tre Provincial People’s Committee (Ủy Ban Nhân Dân Tỉnh Bến Tre) with 60.0% (state ownership), giving very high ownership concentration and likely control. Three individual insiders hold material stakes (14.7%, 5.0%, 1.4% and 1.4%). Director-deal registrations from 2025-10-30 to 2026-10-30 show 2 sale registrations (1,059,400 shares) and 2 purchase registrations (1,059,400 shares) and net registered volume 0.00% of shares outstanding; these are registered intentions disclosed to the exchange, not executed trades.
- Compare the FY2025 note on property, plant and equipment and other non-current assets with the AQI components to see whether reclassifications, capitalized expenses or impairments explain AQI = 1.6307.
- Reconcile operating cash flow and net profit in the cash flow statement and management discussion to explain the three-year operating cash flow / net profit = 0.45 and the Earnings-Quality cash-conversion score of 1.2/100.
- Inspect the related-party transactions and loan/receivable schedules for FY2025 to confirm that receivables outside the trade cycle equal 0.7% of total assets and to identify any large prepayments or long-term receivables.
- Review the statement of changes in equity and parent-company profit note to confirm there are no accumulated losses and to check components of owner’s equity excluding minority interest.
Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.
Quantitative Scores
Key Ratios
- P/B
- 0.73
- P/S
- 0.38
- ROE
- 22.0%
- ROA
- 12.4%
- EPS
- 3.930
- BVPS
- 18.055
- Gross Margin
- 27.2%
- Net Margin
- 11.4%
- D/E
- 0.00
- Current Ratio
- 2.05
- EV/EBITDA
- 1.08
- Div Yield
- 15.3%
Company Overview
- Shares outstanding
- 3.6M
- Charter Capital
- 36.0B VND
- Sector (ICB L2)
- Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp
- Industry (ICB L3)
- Tư vấn & Hỗ trợ Kinh doanh
- Sub-industry
- Chất thải & Môi trường
- Company Type
- CT