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Consumer sector

MQN

Consumer
Công ty Cổ phần Môi trường đô thị Quảng Ngãi
Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp/Tư vấn & Hỗ trợ Kinh doanhCT
18.700
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
83.277
Current
18.700
Gap
+345.3%
ModelFCF DCF

Valuation Breakdown

CTHàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệpConsumer
Classified as consumer because ICB sector "Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp" maps to the consumer group
ModelFCF-Based DCF
Value = Sum of [FCF / (1+WACC)^t] + Terminal Value / (1+WACC)^n

A classic Discounted Cash Flow model built on Free Cash Flow (FCF), the actual cash a business generates after all operating expenses and capital expenditures. Future FCF is projected for 10 years with gradually decaying growth, then discounted back to today's value using WACC. This is the gold standard of intrinsic valuation: it values the company based on what it can actually deliver to shareholders, independent of market sentiment.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
1.000
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
11.50%
Ke
11.50%
x
E/(D+E)
51.30%
+
Kd(1-t)
6.19%
x
D/(D+E)
48.70%
=
WACC
10.00%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend9.28%
Growth decays 10%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
Base FCF38.05B
Projection years10
4
Valuation
Base FCF
38.05B
Growth Rate
9.28%
WACC
10.00%
Terminal Growth
4.00%
DCF Value
83.277
Value Decomposition
42%
58%
Explicit period (42%)Terminal value (58%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — MQN

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2024

66
Fair
Accrual Quality
87
Cash Conversion
43
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
75
Revenue Quality
17

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2024

-2.53
Low Risk
DSRI
0.863
GMI
0.860
AQI
1.122
SGI
1.039
DEPI
0.807
SGAI
1.377
TATA
0.033
LVGI
1.006

The Beneish M-Score of -2.5281 indicates that MQN is not likely engaging in earnings manipulation, as it is below the threshold of -1.78. However, the earnings quality metrics reveal significant weaknesses, particularly in revenue recognition, which could pose risks in financial reporting.

Red Flags
  • Earnings Quality Score of 66.3/100 indicates moderate quality, but a concerning eq_revenue score of 17.1/100 suggests potential issues in revenue recognition.
  • SGAI of 1.3767 is notably high, indicating aggressive selling, which may signal potential inventory issues or declining demand.
Positive Signals
  • The DSRI of 0.8627 suggests that accounts receivable are well-managed relative to sales, which is a positive indicator for cash flow.
  • The eq_accrual score of 86.6/100 indicates strong accrual management, reflecting a positive aspect of earnings quality.
Ownership Risk

The significant state ownership at 17.3% may imply government influence over strategic decisions, which can introduce both stability and unpredictability in governance. The presence of individual shareholders also suggests a diverse ownership structure, which can mitigate risks associated with concentrated ownership.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor MQN's revenue recognition practices and overall earnings quality metrics. Consider a cautious approach, potentially waiting for improved earnings quality indicators before making significant investments.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
4/9
Neutral
Z-Score
2.20
Grey Zone
Sharpe
0.08
Positive
Composite
70
Strong
Price Risk
Momentum
+1.6%
Volatility
53.2%
Max Drawdown
-24.4%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2024
4.00P/E
P/B0.53
P/S0.20
ROE15.6%
ROA7.8%
EPS5451.56
BVPS32866.40
Gross Margin18.2%
Net Margin6.4%
D/E0.96
Current Ratio1.82
Rev Growth3.9%
Profit Growth1.0%
EV/EBITDA3.05
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
8.2M
Charter Capital
82.1B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp
Industry (ICB L3)
Tư vấn & Hỗ trợ Kinh doanh
Sub-industry
Chất thải & Môi trường
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for MQN — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Công ty Cổ Phần Tổng Công ty Đầu Tư Hợp Nghĩa
State
17.3%
1.0 trieu
Trần Nguyễn Hà My
Indiv
14.0%
980.444
Công ty Cổ phần Đầu tư Mầm Xanh
Inst
9.7%
677.339
Trần Thị Thanh Nga
Indiv
5.2%
301.755
Tống Sơn Giang
Indiv
5.1%
294.685
Võ Văn Tâm
Indiv
1.4%
22.911
Trần Thị Thu Cúc
Indiv
1.0%
15.833
Lê Hồng Sơn
Indiv
0.5%
16.329
Trần Nhật Liên
Indiv
0.3%
5.234
Trần Thị Mỹ Nữ
Indiv
0.3%
4.053
Hồ Tấn Hóa
Indiv
0.1%
5.282
Board & Management
Trần Thị Thanh Nga5.2%
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Hồ Tấn Hóa0.1%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Phạm Tấn Vũ
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Thị Anh Tuyến
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
PHẠM ĐỨC CƯỜNG
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
ĐOÀN NHẬT LINH
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Vương Hùng Vân
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Thị Thu Dung
Phụ trách Công bố thông tin/Phó Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị/Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Lê Đăng Triều
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Trương Minh Khương
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Võ Văn Hưng
Kế toán trưởng
Phạm Thị Bích Lai
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Top connections
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

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All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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