VNVALUEVNVALUE
Updated weekly
Back to Dashboard
Real Estate sector

CKG

Real Estate
Công ty Cổ phần Tập đoàn CIC
Bất động sảnCT
9.120
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Overvalued
Medium
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
7.721
Current
9.120
Gap
-15.3%
ModelDCF LEVERAGE SCREEN

Valuation Breakdown

CTBất động sảnReal Estate
Classified as real estate because ICB sector "Bất động sản" maps to the real estate group
ModelRNAV + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 40% x (BVPS x 1.5) + 60% x DCF Value

Real estate developers in Vietnam report land banks at historical acquisition cost (Vietnamese Accounting Standards don't allow revaluation). This means book value severely understates true asset value. This model blends two approaches: an RNAV proxy (revalued net asset value, applying a 1.5x factor to book value) weighted 40%, and a DCF on normalized cash flows weighted 60%. Highly leveraged firms receive a +2% WACC penalty.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
1.300
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
13.60%
Ke
13.60%
x
E/(D+E)
29.43%
+
Kd(1-t)
6.30%
x
D/(D+E)
70.57%
=
WACC
10.00%
+2% WACC penalty (high leverage)
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend4.10%
Growth decays 10%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
4
Valuation
40%RNAV Proxy
15.442
60%DCF Value
-495
Blended Intrinsic
7.721
Value Decomposition
33%
67%
Explicit period (33%)Terminal value (67%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — CKG

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

36
Weak
Accrual Quality
82
Cash Conversion
0
Receivables
0
Margin Stability
100
Revenue Quality
3

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-2.80
Low Risk
DSRI
0.815
GMI
0.791
AQI
1.111
SGI
0.661
DEPI
0.891
SGAI
1.186
TATA
0.045
LVGI
0.831

CKG exhibits several concerning financial metrics, particularly its Beneish M-Score of -2.7972, which indicates a low likelihood of earnings manipulation. However, the earnings quality score of 35.9/100, especially the extremely low cash conversion and receivables metrics, raises significant red flags regarding the sustainability of reported earnings.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of -2.7972, indicating potential earnings manipulation risk as it is well below the threshold of -1.78.
  • Earnings Quality Score of 35.9/100, with cash conversion at 0.0/100 and receivables at 0.0/100, suggesting poor earnings quality and potential liquidity issues.
Positive Signals
  • DSRI of 0.8154 indicates that inventory levels are well-managed relative to sales, which is a positive sign in the context of the Vietnamese market.
Ownership Risk

The ownership structure is highly fragmented, with the largest shareholder holding only 9.6%, which may lead to governance challenges and lack of strategic direction.

Recommendation

Investors should approach CKG with caution, focusing on improving cash flow and receivables management. A thorough review of operational practices is recommended before considering any investment.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
4/9
Neutral
Z-Score
1.21
Distress Zone
Sharpe
-1.47
Negative
Composite
25
Poor
Price Risk
Momentum
-35.8%
Volatility
31.1%
Max Drawdown
-45.3%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
16.27P/E
P/B0.74
P/S1.73
ROE5.3%
ROA1.8%
EPS560.46
BVPS12353.86
Gross Margin34.3%
Net Margin10.6%
D/E1.42
Current Ratio2.26
Rev Growth-33.7%
Profit Growth-26.1%
EV/EBITDA17.71
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
161.8M
Charter Capital
1618.1B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Bất động sản
Industry (ICB L3)
Bất động sản
Sub-industry
Bất động sản
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for CKG — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
nguyen-xuan-dung
Indiv
9.6%
15.6 trieu
Đinh Thanh Tâm
Indiv
5.6%
9.1 trieu
Nguyễn Ngọc Tiền
Indiv
2.3%
1.2 trieu
Công ty TNHH MTV Phương Nam Kiên Giang
Inst
0.9%
1.5 trieu
Công ty Cổ phần Phát triển Đô thị Kiên Giang
Inst
0.8%
1.3 trieu
Công Ty TNHH Kiến Trúc A.t.a
Inst
0.7%
632.500
Công ty TNHH MTV Cấp Thoát Nước Kiên Giang
Inst
0.6%
545.735
Nguyễn Đức Hiển
Indiv
0.5%
246.033
Lê Trọng Ngọc
Indiv
0.4%
692.581
Phạm Thị Như Phượng
Indiv
0.4%
578.246
Quảng Trọng Sang
Indiv
0.3%
500.000
Trần Thị Mai Hương
Indiv
0.3%
422.762
Hà Duy Nghiêm
Indiv
0.2%
220.000
Trần Quốc Trưởng
Indiv
0.2%
378.435
Công ty Cổ Phần Đầu Tư Và Xây Dựng Tvb
Inst
0.2%
337.569
Nguyễn Thị Hoa Lệ
Indiv
0.2%
200.000
Trần Quang Vũ
Indiv
0.2%
309.733
nguyen-hoang-son
Indiv
0.2%
80.000
Đinh Thanh Thảo
Indiv
0.2%
250.000
Võ Mai Trang
Indiv
0.2%
250.000
Trần Ngọc Hạnh
Indiv
0.1%
230.098
Phạm Văn Lợi
Indiv
0.1%
60.952
Kha Thị Mỹ Ngọc
Indiv
0.1%
188.232
Board & Management
Trần Thọ Thắng6.1%
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Lê Trọng Ngọc0.4%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Phạm Thị Như Phượng0.4%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Tổng Giám đốc
Quảng Trọng Sang0.3%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Trần Thị Mai Hương0.3%
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Trần Quốc Trưởng0.2%
Người phụ trách quản trị công ty/Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Hà Duy Nghiêm0.2%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Thị Hoa Lệ0.2%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Hoàng Sơn0.2%
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Trần Ngọc Hạnh0.1%
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Kha Thị Mỹ Ngọc0.1%
Kế toán trưởng
Hà Minh Tuân
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Thanh Hồng
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Thị Diệu Trâm
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Thanh Lâm
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Mã Hồng Phương
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Bích Nghĩa
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Lê Trọng Tú
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

By using vnvalue you accept the Terms of Service and Privacy Policy. Full disclaimer →