NAU
ConsumerValuation Breakdown
A classic Discounted Cash Flow model built on Free Cash Flow (FCF), the actual cash a business generates after all operating expenses and capital expenditures. Future FCF is projected for 10 years with gradually decaying growth, then discounted back to today's value using WACC. This is the gold standard of intrinsic valuation: it values the company based on what it can actually deliver to shareholders, independent of market sentiment.
Valuation Track Record
Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — NAU
Earnings Quality
Fiscal year 2024
Financial Forensics
Beneish M-Score · 2024
The Beneish M-Score of -2.0209 indicates a low likelihood of earnings manipulation, as it is below the threshold of -1.78. However, the earnings quality score of 44.6/100, particularly low cash conversion and receivables metrics, raises concerns about the sustainability of reported earnings.
- Earnings Quality Score of 44.6/100 suggests significant issues with cash conversion (0.0/100) and receivables (22.7/100), indicating potential liquidity risks.
- GMI of 1.2975 indicates a growing concern about gross margin deterioration, which could signal future profitability challenges.
- Beneish M-Score of -2.0209 suggests a lower likelihood of earnings manipulation compared to the threshold.
- High eq_margin score of 99.2/100 indicates strong profitability relative to revenues.
The majority ownership by the state (80.8%) suggests a stable governance structure, but it may also lead to potential inefficiencies or lack of accountability in decision-making.
Investors should closely monitor cash flow and receivables management, and consider diversifying exposure due to elevated risks associated with earnings quality. A deeper analysis of operational performance and market conditions is advisable.
Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.
Quantitative Scores
Key Ratios
Company Overview
// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK
> mapping common ownership for NAU — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate