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Cyclicals sector

SAL

Cyclicals
Công ty Cổ phần Trục vớt Cứu hộ Việt Nam
Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp/Công nghiệp nặngCT
2.300
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
5.812
Current
2.300
Gap
+152.7%
ModelEV EBITDA MIDCYCLE

Valuation Breakdown

CTHàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệpCyclical
Classified as cyclical because ICB sector "Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp" maps to the cyclical group
ModelEV/EBITDA Mid-Cycle
Equity Value = Mid-Cycle EBITDA x Fair EV/EBITDA - Net Debt

Cyclical companies (chemicals, oil & gas, basic resources) have earnings that swing dramatically with commodity prices and economic cycles. Valuing them on a single year's earnings is misleading: they look cheap at peaks and expensive at troughs. This model uses 7-year median EBITDA ("mid-cycle" earnings) and a 7-year median EV/EBITDA multiple to estimate what the firm is worth at a normal point in the cycle.

1
Model Inputs
Mid-Cycle EBITDA6.30B
Fair EV/EBITDA5.0x
Years of data7
2
Valuation
Mid-Cycle EBITDA
6.30B
x
Fair EV/EBITDA
5.0x
-
Net Debt
-16.78B
=
Equity Value
5.812
Years of data7

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — SAL

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2024

83
Good
Accrual Quality
100
Cash Conversion
79
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
92
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2019

-2.82
Low Risk
DSRI
0.706
GMI
1.200
AQI
0.907
SGI
0.982
DEPI
0.000
SGAI
0.937
TATA
0.009
LVGI
1.186

The Beneish M-Score of -2.8195 indicates that SAL is not likely to be manipulating earnings, as it is below the threshold of -1.78. However, the earnings quality metrics reveal significant weaknesses, particularly in revenue recognition and profit margins, which could pose risks to financial stability.

Red Flags
  • Low revenue quality score of 4.9/100 suggests potential issues in revenue recognition.
  • Earnings margin score of 0.0/100 indicates no profitability, raising concerns about operational efficiency.
Positive Signals
  • Strong accrual quality score of 96.3/100 indicates effective management of accruals.
  • DSRI of 0.7064 suggests that the company's receivables are not growing faster than sales, which is a positive sign.
Ownership Risk

The significant state ownership of 49.0% may lead to potential conflicts of interest and influence over financial reporting, impacting transparency. Institutional ownership is also substantial, which could provide some stability but may limit shareholder activism.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor SAL's revenue recognition practices and operational efficiency. It may be prudent to adopt a cautious approach and consider diversifying investments until clearer signals of financial health emerge.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
5/9
Neutral
Z-Score
2.31
Grey Zone
Sharpe
0.94
Positive
Composite
86
Strong
Price Risk
Momentum
+40.0%
Volatility
56.1%
Max Drawdown
0.0%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2024
3.09P/E
P/B0.16
P/S0.13
ROE5.1%
ROA4.2%
EPS550.23
BVPS10756.23
Gross Margin18.2%
Net Margin4.1%
D/E0.21
Current Ratio5.24
Rev Growth11.3%
Profit Growth4.7%
EV/EBITDA-0.62
Div Yield25.9%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
8.3M
Charter Capital
83.1B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp
Industry (ICB L3)
Công nghiệp nặng
Sub-industry
Xe tải & Đóng tàu
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for SAL — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Tổng Công ty Bảo Đảm An Toàn Hàng Hải Miền Nam
State
49.0%
4.1 trieu
Công ty Cổ Phần Hàng Hải-dầu Khí Hải Âu
Inst
14.9%
1.2 trieu
Công Ty Cổ Phần Hàng Hải Dầu Khí Hải Dương
Inst
13.0%
1.1 trieu
Công Ty Trách Nhiệm Hữu Hạn Hàng Hải Sao Mai
Inst
9.1%
757.082
Trần Hữu Thọ
Indiv
3.7%
304.319
Nguyễn Văn Bê
Indiv
2.5%
206.200
Board & Management
Trần Hữu Thọ3.7%
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị/Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Văn Bê2.5%
Tổng Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Văn Trang
Kế toán trưởng
Bùi Đức Cường
Người phụ trách quản trị công ty
Đậu Thị Tý
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Thị Hồng Quyên
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Thị Hồng Phước
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Phạm Xuân Thắng
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị độc lập
Vũ Đăng Hùng
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
TRẦN PHONG LAN
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị độc lập
Đoàn Hải Âu
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Top connections
Computed 12/04/2026
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