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Utilities sector

BWA

Utilities
Công ty Cổ phần Cấp thoát nước và Xây dựng Bảo Lộc
Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt/Nước & Khí đốtCT
16.900
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Overvalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
8.486
Current
16.900
Gap
-49.8%
ModelDDM 3STAGE

Valuation Breakdown

CTĐiện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốtUtility
Classified as utility because ICB sector "Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt" maps to the utility group
Model3-Stage DDM
Value = Sum of [DPS x (1+g)^t / (1+Ke)^t] + Terminal Dividend / (Ke - g_terminal)

The Dividend Discount Model values a stock based on its future dividend payments, discounted to present value. The 3-stage variant captures three phases of a company's life: high growth (years 1-3), a transition period where growth declines linearly (years 4-6), and a terminal stage of stable, perpetual growth (year 7+). As John D. Rockefeller said: "The only thing that gives me pleasure is to see my dividends coming in."

1
Cost of Equity (Ke)
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
0.600
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
8.70%
2
Growth Estimate
Sector Default2.00%
3
Model Inputs
DPS source:Actual dividends
DPS450
Payout ratio237.3%
4
Valuation
Dividends Per Share
450
Base Growth
2.00%
Cost of Equity
8.70%
Terminal Growth
3.50%
DDM Value
8.486
Value Decomposition
26%
74%
Explicit period (26%)Terminal value (74%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — BWA

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

21
Poor
Accrual Quality
56
Cash Conversion
40
Receivables
11
Margin Stability
0
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-4.08
Low Risk
DSRI
0.264
GMI
0.922
AQI
0.977
SGI
0.888
DEPI
2.110
SGAI
1.104
TATA
-0.115
LVGI
2.056

BWA exhibits significant red flags indicating potential financial manipulation, as evidenced by a Beneish M-Score of -4.0797, well below the threshold of -1.78. The earnings quality score of 21.3/100, particularly low metrics in revenue and margin quality, further exacerbate concerns regarding the company's financial integrity.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of -4.0797 indicates a high likelihood of earnings manipulation.
  • Earnings Quality Score of 21.3/100, with revenue quality at 0.0/100 and margin quality at 0.0/100, suggests severe issues in financial reporting.
Positive Signals
  • DSRI of 0.2639 indicates a lower risk of revenue manipulation as it suggests that accounts receivable are growing slower than sales.
Ownership Risk

The ownership structure is heavily concentrated, with 75.9% held by the state through Ủy Ban Nhân Dân Tỉnh Lâm Đồng, which may lead to potential conflicts of interest and reduced accountability in financial reporting.

Recommendation

Investors should exercise caution and conduct further due diligence before considering an investment in BWA, particularly focusing on governance practices and the transparency of financial reporting.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
4/9
Neutral
Z-Score
0.62
Distress Zone
Sharpe
0.82
Positive
Composite
31
Weak
Price Risk
Momentum
+17.8%
Volatility
105.9%
Max Drawdown
-27.9%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
-190.70P/E
P/B1.39
P/S1.39
ROE-0.7%
ROA-0.3%
EPS-88.62
BVPS12193.95
Gross Margin32.0%
Net Margin-0.7%
D/E2.35
Current Ratio0.85
Rev Growth-11.2%
Profit Growth-124.4%
EV/EBITDA20.76
Div Yield2.7%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
2.7M
Charter Capital
27.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt
Industry (ICB L3)
Nước & Khí đốt
Sub-industry
Nước
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for BWA — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Ủy Ban Nhân Dân Tỉnh Lâm Đồng
State
75.9%
2.1 trieu
nguyen-van-do
Indiv
2.2%
59.600
Nguyễn Thị Diễm Loan
Indiv
1.3%
34.700
Nguyễn Trọng Hiếu
Indiv
1.2%
31.700
Nguyễn Hữu Kiên
Indiv
0.4%
11.900
Võ Thành Y
Indiv
0.4%
10.900
Trần Thị Đoàn Sinh
Indiv
0.4%
10.000
Võ Thành Nam
Indiv
0.3%
7.300
Võ Thị Thái Thanh
Indiv
0.3%
7.000
Nguyễn Quốc Tuyến
Indiv
0.2%
5.000
Phan Thị Trầm
Indiv
0.2%
5.400
Nguyễn Văn Tiến
Indiv
0.2%
5.000
Nguyễn Khắc Khánh
Indiv
0.2%
5.000
Võ Quốc Trang
Indiv
0.2%
5.000
Vũ Văn Hoàng
Indiv
0.2%
4.600
Hà Duy Hưng
Indiv
0.1%
3.800
Nguyễn Thị Thư Trúc
Indiv
0.1%
3.400
Dương Thị Hoa
Indiv
0.1%
3.000
Board & Management
Nguyễn Trọng Hiếu1.2%
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Hữu Kiên0.4%
Phó Giám đốc
Võ Thành Y0.4%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Quốc Tuyến0.2%
Phó Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị/Giám đốc
Hà Duy Hưng0.1%
Other
Nguyễn Thị Thư Trúc0.1%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Kế toán trưởng
Trần Thị Nga
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Lê Ngọc Vân
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Diễm Thùy Dung
Phụ trách Công bố thông tin/Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Đồng Anh Khoa
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

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