VNVALUEVNVALUE
Updated weekly
Back to Dashboard
Cyclicals sector

SEP

Cyclicals
Công ty Cổ phần Tổng Công ty Thương mại Quảng Trị
Hóa chấtCT
19.300
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Overvalued
Very Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
7.693
Current
19.300
Gap
-60.1%
ModelEV EBITDA MIDCYCLE

Valuation Breakdown

CTHóa chấtCyclical
Classified as cyclical because ICB sector "Hóa chất" maps to the cyclical group
ModelEV/EBITDA Mid-Cycle
Equity Value = Mid-Cycle EBITDA x Fair EV/EBITDA - Net Debt

Cyclical companies (chemicals, oil & gas, basic resources) have earnings that swing dramatically with commodity prices and economic cycles. Valuing them on a single year's earnings is misleading: they look cheap at peaks and expensive at troughs. This model uses 7-year median EBITDA ("mid-cycle" earnings) and a 7-year median EV/EBITDA multiple to estimate what the firm is worth at a normal point in the cycle.

Distressed Valuation
Negative Equity Value Bvps Floor
BVPS
10.990
x
Discount
70%
=
Floor Value
10.990

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — SEP

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

39
Weak
Accrual Quality
71
Cash Conversion
0
Margin Stability
0
Revenue Quality
100

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-2.32
Moderate
DSRI
1.091
GMI
0.915
AQI
0.477
SGI
1.046
DEPI
0.885
SGAI
1.192
TATA
0.074
LVGI
1.017

The Beneish M-Score of -2.319 indicates that SEP is unlikely to be engaging in earnings manipulation, as it is well below the threshold of -1.78. However, the low Earnings Quality Score of 39.0/100, particularly the zero scores in cash conversion and margin metrics, raises concerns about the sustainability of reported earnings.

Red Flags
  • Earnings Quality Score of 39.0/100 indicates poor earnings quality, with eq_cash_conv and eq_margin both at 0.0/100, suggesting potential issues with cash flow and profit margins.
Positive Signals
  • Beneish M-Score of -2.319 suggests a lower likelihood of earnings manipulation, which is a positive signal for investors.
Ownership Risk

The ownership structure is heavily influenced by state and individual shareholders, with the largest shareholder being a state entity (22.6%). This could lead to potential conflicts of interest and influence over corporate governance.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor cash flow metrics and earnings sustainability before making significant investments in SEP, given the elevated risk profile. It may be prudent to wait for improvements in earnings quality before increasing exposure.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
4/9
Neutral
Z-Score
2.28
Grey Zone
Sharpe
-0.07
Negative
Composite
36
Weak
Price Risk
Momentum
+16.4%
Volatility
135.2%
Max Drawdown
-41.5%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
ROE0.0%
ROA0.0%
Gross Margin10.1%
Net Margin0.3%
D/E0.00
Current Ratio0.00
Rev Growth4.6%
Profit Growth-0.2%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
8.4M
Charter Capital
84.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Hóa chất
Industry (ICB L3)
Hóa chất
Sub-industry
Nhựa, cao su & sợi
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for SEP — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Ủy Ban Nhân Dân Tỉnh Quảng Trị
State
22.6%
1.9 trieu
Hồ Xuân Hiếu
Indiv
22.3%
1.9 trieu
Phạm Thị Xuân Thủy
Indiv
10.0%
839.800
Lê Quang Nhật
Indiv
7.7%
648.020
Trần Thị Mỹ Anh
Indiv
5.4%
450.000
Phan Văn Sinh
Indiv
4.7%
354.200
nguyen-ba-tai
Indiv
1.8%
151.071
Lê Văn Thể
Indiv
0.8%
65.416
Lê Văn Tuyển
Indiv
0.7%
62.565
nguyen-thi-hanh-nguyen
Indiv
0.6%
51.295
Nguyễn Thị Hải Châu
Indiv
0.5%
44.583
Phan Chí Ngang
Indiv
0.5%
41.098
Lê Ngọc Sáng
Indiv
0.5%
41.293
Nguyễn Thanh Kiều Oanh
Indiv
0.3%
24.394
Mai Chiếm Hùng
Indiv
0.3%
22.095
Nguyễn Thị Tiến Lợi
Indiv
0.3%
21.148
Nguyễn Ngọc Lam
Indiv
0.3%
21.038
Trần Hoàng Đạo
Indiv
0.2%
19.184
Lê Thị Ngọc Hiền
Indiv
0.1%
11.600
Nguyễn Đức Hải
Indiv
0.1%
10.612
Mai Quốc Toàn
Indiv
0.1%
9.086
Board & Management
Hồ Xuân Hiếu22.3%
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Lê Quang Nhật7.7%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Phụ trách Công bố thông tin/Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Thị Hải Châu1.1%
Người phụ trách quản trị công ty
Lê Văn Thể0.8%
Phó Tổng Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Lê Văn Tuyển0.7%
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Thị Hạnh Nguyên0.6%
Kế toán trưởng
Mai Chiếm Hùng0.3%
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Thị Tiến Lợi0.3%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Lê Thị Ngọc Hiền0.1%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Trần Thị Thanh Phương
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Tùng Hưng
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

By using vnvalue you accept the Terms of Service and Privacy Policy. Full disclaimer →