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Consumer sector

SKV

Consumer
Công ty Cổ phần Nước Giải khát Yến sào Khánh Hòa
Thực phẩm và đồ uống/Bia và đồ uốngCT
25.900
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
77.198
Current
25.900
Gap
+198.1%
ModelFCF DCF

Valuation Breakdown

CTThực phẩm và đồ uốngConsumer
Classified as consumer because ICB sector "Thực phẩm và đồ uống" maps to the consumer group
ModelFCF-Based DCF
Value = Sum of [FCF / (1+WACC)^t] + Terminal Value / (1+WACC)^n

A classic Discounted Cash Flow model built on Free Cash Flow (FCF), the actual cash a business generates after all operating expenses and capital expenditures. Future FCF is projected for 10 years with gradually decaying growth, then discounted back to today's value using WACC. This is the gold standard of intrinsic valuation: it values the company based on what it can actually deliver to shareholders, independent of market sentiment.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
0.800
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
10.10%
Ke
10.10%
x
E/(D+E)
46.00%
+
Kd(1-t)
6.33%
x
D/(D+E)
54.00%
=
WACC
10.00%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend5.15%
Growth decays 10%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
Base FCF100.92B
Projection years10
4
Valuation
Base FCF
100.92B
Growth Rate
5.15%
WACC
10.00%
Terminal Growth
4.00%
DCF Value
77.198
Value Decomposition
43%
57%
Explicit period (43%)Terminal value (57%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — SKV

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

76
Good
Accrual Quality
60
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
94
Revenue Quality
11

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-3.50
Low Risk
DSRI
0.182
GMI
1.158
AQI
1.372
SGI
0.867
DEPI
0.936
SGAI
0.722
TATA
-0.101
LVGI
0.853

SKV exhibits a Beneish M-Score of -3.5012, indicating a low likelihood of earnings manipulation. However, the earnings quality metrics reveal significant weaknesses, particularly in revenue recognition, which could pose risks to financial stability.

Red Flags
  • Earnings Quality Score of 75.8/100 is solid, but the eq_revenue score of 11.4/100 indicates potential issues with revenue recognition.
  • The DSRI of 0.1824 suggests that accounts receivable are significantly lower than sales, which may indicate aggressive revenue recognition practices.
Positive Signals
  • The cash conversion score of 100.0/100 indicates that the company is effectively converting earnings into cash, which is a strong positive signal.
  • The GMI of 1.1582 suggests that gross margins are stable and potentially improving.
Ownership Risk

The majority ownership by a state-owned enterprise (51.0%) may lead to potential conflicts of interest and governance issues, but it also provides a level of stability and support.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor revenue recognition practices and consider conducting further due diligence on management's integrity. Given the strong cash conversion, a cautious investment approach may be warranted.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
5/9
Neutral
Z-Score
3.81
Safe Zone
Sharpe
-0.58
Negative
Composite
67
Fair
Price Risk
Momentum
-6.7%
Volatility
19.0%
Max Drawdown
-16.4%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
8.52P/E
P/B1.46
P/S0.43
ROE17.6%
ROA8.7%
EPS2961.24
BVPS17230.21
Gross Margin18.2%
Net Margin5.1%
D/E0.85
Current Ratio1.66
Rev Growth-13.3%
Profit Growth9.1%
EV/EBITDA5.41
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
23.0M
Charter Capital
230.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Thực phẩm và đồ uống
Industry (ICB L3)
Bia và đồ uống
Sub-industry
Đồ uống & giải khát
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for SKV — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Công ty TNHH Nhà nước MTV Yến Sào Khánh Hòa
Inst
51.0%
11.7 trieu
Đinh Viết Thuận
Indiv
0.3%
69.040
Trần Văn Ngân
Indiv
0.3%
57.800
Công ty CP Du Lịch Thương Mại Nha Trang
Inst
0.1%
32.270
Board & Management
Đặng Minh Thích
Phó Giám đốc
Phan Thị Giang
Phó Giám đốc
Nguyễn Khoa Bảo
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Giám đốc
Phạm Quốc Hùng
Phó Giám đốc
Huỳnh Đức Trọng
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Phó Giám đốc Kinh doanh
Trịnh Thị Hồng Vân
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Phạm Thị Lành
Kế toán trưởng
Phạm Duy Hưng
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Vũ Trần Nguyên Minh
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Vương Phạm Phương Thanh
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Hồ Hải
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Lê Hồng Thuận
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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