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Consumer sector

VDN

Consumer
Công ty Cổ phần Vinatex Đà Nẵng
Hàng cá nhân & Gia dụng/Hàng cá nhânCT
26.000
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Overvalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
11.392
Current
26.000
Gap
-56.2%
ModelFCF DCF

Valuation Breakdown

CTHàng cá nhân & Gia dụngConsumer
Classified as consumer because ICB sector "Hàng cá nhân & Gia dụng" maps to the consumer group
ModelFCF-Based DCF
Value = Sum of [FCF / (1+WACC)^t] + Terminal Value / (1+WACC)^n

A classic Discounted Cash Flow model built on Free Cash Flow (FCF), the actual cash a business generates after all operating expenses and capital expenditures. Future FCF is projected for 10 years with gradually decaying growth, then discounted back to today's value using WACC. This is the gold standard of intrinsic valuation: it values the company based on what it can actually deliver to shareholders, independent of market sentiment.

Distressed Valuation
Negative Intrinsic Value
BVPS
22.784
x
Discount
50%
=
Floor Value
22.784

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — VDN

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2024

69
Fair
Accrual Quality
92
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
5
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2024

-2.02
Moderate
DSRI
1.047
GMI
1.270
AQI
1.636
SGI
1.114
DEPI
1.025
SGAI
0.897
TATA
-0.020
LVGI
1.028

The Beneish M-Score of -2.0162 indicates a low likelihood of earnings manipulation, as it is below the manipulation threshold of -1.78. However, the earnings quality score of 68.7 suggests some concerns, particularly in revenue recognition and margin quality, which may warrant further scrutiny.

Red Flags
  • Earnings quality margin score is only 4.6/100, indicating significant issues with profit margins.
  • Revenue quality score is 0.0/100, suggesting potential overstatement or aggressive revenue recognition practices.
Positive Signals
  • High accrual score of 92.2/100 and cash conversion score of 100.0/100 indicate strong cash management and low reliance on accruals.
  • Institutional ownership is substantial at 49.1%, which may provide some level of governance and oversight.
Ownership Risk

The top shareholders include significant institutional ownership, which can mitigate risks associated with individual shareholders. However, the presence of multiple individual shareholders may lead to potential conflicts of interest.

Recommendation

Conduct a deeper analysis of revenue recognition practices and margin sustainability. Monitor upcoming financial reports closely for any signs of improvement in earnings quality metrics.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
6/9
Neutral
Z-Score
1.52
Distress Zone
Sharpe
0.68
Positive
Composite
57
Fair
Price Risk
Momentum
+34.7%
Volatility
131.6%
Max Drawdown
-42.2%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2024
24.83P/E
P/B1.62
P/S0.17
ROE7.8%
ROA1.3%
EPS1758.06
BVPS22784.46
Gross Margin7.8%
Net Margin0.8%
D/E5.67
Current Ratio0.89
Rev Growth11.4%
Profit Growth47.3%
EV/EBITDA18.19
Div Yield5.4%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
3.3M
Charter Capital
33.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Hàng cá nhân & Gia dụng
Industry (ICB L3)
Hàng cá nhân
Sub-industry
Hàng May mặc
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for VDN — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Tập đoàn Dệt May Việt Nam
Inst
27.3%
900.000
Công ty Cổ Phần 4M
Inst
21.8%
717.865
nguyen-van-ton
Indiv
15.7%
491.850
Lê Thúc Đức
Indiv
14.8%
489.910
Lâm Quang Thái
Indiv
12.8%
256.000
Công ty Cổ Phần Len Hà Đông
Inst
7.5%
245.925
Trần Linh Trang
Indiv
7.4%
245.925
Vũ Thị Minh Khoa
Indiv
4.5%
90.000
Trần Đỗ Nghĩa
Indiv
4.4%
87.540
Nguyễn Ngọc Trí
Indiv
2.6%
52.690
Nguyễn Thị Ngọc Dung
Indiv
2.0%
39.610
Hồ Hải
Indiv
1.6%
50.000
Lương Chương
Indiv
1.1%
35.690
Văn Hữu Thành
Indiv
1.1%
34.755
Trần Văn Tiến
Indiv
0.9%
28.910
Đặng Trọng Tâm
Indiv
0.8%
25.400
Lê Đình Bích Hợp
Indiv
0.8%
24.090
Phạm Vũ Bằng
Indiv
0.6%
19.000
Nguyễn Thị Phương Mai
Indiv
0.6%
12.000
Lê Hồng Chiến
Indiv
0.6%
11.760
nguyen-thanh-an
Indiv
0.5%
16.100
Huỳnh Thị Hoa
Indiv
0.2%
5.325
Board & Management
Hồ Hai1.6%
Tổng Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Lương Chương1.1%
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Văn Hữu Thành1.1%
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Trần Văn Tiến0.9%
Giám đốc
Đặng Trọng Tâm0.8%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Lê Đình Bích Hợp0.8%
Kế toán trưởng
Phạm Vũ Bằng0.6%
Giám đốc/Giám đốc điều hành/Giám đốc khối
Nguyễn Thành An0.5%
Giám đốc
Huỳnh Tấn Long
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Thị Tịnh Tâm
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Thăng Long
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Xuân Đông
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Phạm Phú Cường
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

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All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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