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Cyclicals sector

TKU

Cyclicals
Công ty Cổ phần Công nghiệp Tung Kuang
Tài nguyên Cơ bản/Kim loạiCT
13.400
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
114.024
Current
13.400
Gap
+500.0%
ModelEV EBITDA MIDCYCLE

Valuation Breakdown

CTTài nguyên Cơ bảnCyclical
Classified as cyclical because ICB sector "Tài nguyên Cơ bản" maps to the cyclical group
ModelEV/EBITDA Mid-Cycle
Equity Value = Mid-Cycle EBITDA x Fair EV/EBITDA - Net Debt

Cyclical companies (chemicals, oil & gas, basic resources) have earnings that swing dramatically with commodity prices and economic cycles. Valuing them on a single year's earnings is misleading: they look cheap at peaks and expensive at troughs. This model uses 7-year median EBITDA ("mid-cycle" earnings) and a 7-year median EV/EBITDA multiple to estimate what the firm is worth at a normal point in the cycle.

1
Model Inputs
Mid-Cycle EBITDA97.26B
Fair EV/EBITDA8.5x
Years of data7
2
Valuation
Mid-Cycle EBITDA
97.26B
x
Fair EV/EBITDA
8.5x
-
Net Debt
-3.84B
=
Equity Value
114.024
Years of data7

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — TKU

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

59
Fair
Accrual Quality
94
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
0
Margin Stability
0
Revenue Quality
7

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-1.41
High Risk
DSRI
2.073
GMI
1.120
AQI
1.390
SGI
0.844
DEPI
0.941
SGAI
0.986
TATA
-0.014
LVGI
0.778

The Beneish M-Score of -1.4088 indicates a low likelihood of earnings manipulation, as it is above the threshold of -1.78. However, the high DSRI of 2.0731 and low scores in receivables and revenue quality raise concerns about revenue recognition practices and overall earnings quality.

Red Flags
  • DSRI of 2.0731 suggests significant growth in receivables relative to sales, indicating potential revenue recognition issues.
  • Earnings Quality Score of 59.0/100, particularly low scores in receivables (0.0/100) and revenue (7.2/100), signal potential concerns in revenue sustainability.
Positive Signals
  • Strong cash conversion score of 100.0/100 indicates effective cash flow management despite other weaknesses.
  • Beneish M-Score of -1.4088 suggests a lower risk of earnings manipulation compared to peers.
Ownership Risk

The ownership structure is highly concentrated, with Rich International Holding owning 84.5%, which may lead to governance risks and potential misalignment with minority shareholder interests.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor revenue recognition practices and consider conducting further due diligence on cash flow sustainability before making investment decisions.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
5/9
Neutral
Z-Score
1.57
Distress Zone
Sharpe
-0.09
Negative
Composite
59
Fair
Price Risk
Momentum
-14.4%
Volatility
83.5%
Max Drawdown
-30.9%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
19.38P/E
P/B1.14
P/S0.91
ROE5.9%
ROA3.3%
EPS691.31
BVPS11798.99
Gross Margin14.7%
Net Margin4.7%
D/E0.62
Current Ratio1.82
Rev Growth-15.6%
Profit Growth-38.4%
EV/EBITDA8.47
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
7.3M
Charter Capital
468.8B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Tài nguyên Cơ bản
Industry (ICB L3)
Kim loại
Sub-industry
Nhôm
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for TKU — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Rich International Holding Limited Liability Company
Inst
84.5%
39.6 trieu
Liu Chien Hung
Indiv
3.4%
1.6 trieu
Nguyễn Thị Ngọc Quyên
Indiv
2.9%
1.2 trieu
Ngô Thị Ngọc Quyên
Indiv
2.9%
1.4 trieu
Liu Cheng Min
Indiv
1.8%
849.085
Ma Chia Lung
Indiv
1.2%
554.765
Liu Chen Chin
Indiv
0.5%
246.484
Jan Chun Shion
Indiv
0.1%
44.256
Hsu Mei Hui
Indiv
0.1%
31.983
Board & Management
Liu Chien Hung3.4%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Tổng Giám đốc
Ngô Thị Ngọc Quyên2.9%
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Liu Cheng Min1.8%
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Ma Chia Lung1.2%
Phó Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Liu Chen Chin0.5%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Vũ Nguyễn Thị Hạnh
Kế toán trưởng
Trần Thị Ngọc Hoa
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Chan Hsun Kuo
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Chen Tsu
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Liu Ching Hua
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Liu Chien Lin
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Tsan Hsun Lin
Phó Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Ma Tao Hsin
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Hsu Chih Cheng
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Top connections
Computed 12/04/2026
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