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Construction sector

SDN

Construction
Công ty Cổ phần Sơn Đồng Nai
Xây dựng và Vật liệuCT
20.700
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
34.436
Current
20.700
Gap
+66.4%
ModelEV EBITDA DCF BLEND

Valuation Breakdown

CTXây dựng và Vật liệuConstruction
Classified as construction because ICB sector "Xây dựng và Vật liệu" maps to the construction group
ModelEV/EBITDA + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 50% x EV/EBITDA Value + 50% x DCF Value

Construction and industrial firms have characteristics of both cyclical businesses (lumpy project-based revenue) and growth companies (expanding order books). This model blends two approaches 50/50: EV/EBITDA valuation (captures current earning power relative to peers) and FCF-based DCF (captures future cash generation potential). If EV/EBITDA produces a negative value (debt exceeds enterprise value), only DCF is used.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
1.100
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
12.20%
Ke
12.20%
x
E/(D+E)
61.22%
+
Kd(1-t)
6.21%
x
D/(D+E)
38.78%
=
WACC
10.00%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend3.11%
Growth decays 12%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
4
Valuation
50%EV/EBITDA Value
19.749
50%DCF Value
49.123
Blended Intrinsic
34.436
Value Decomposition
35%
65%
Explicit period (35%)Terminal value (65%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — SDN

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

59
Fair
Accrual Quality
88
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
47
Margin Stability
14
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2024

-2.08
Moderate
DSRI
1.185
GMI
0.946
AQI
0.955
SGI
1.082
DEPI
1.101
SGAI
1.130
TATA
0.045
LVGI
0.998

The Beneish M-Score of -2.081 indicates a low likelihood of earnings manipulation, as it is below the threshold of -1.78. However, the earnings quality score of 49.5/100, particularly low cash conversion and revenue metrics, raises concerns about the sustainability of reported earnings.

Red Flags
  • Earnings Quality Score of 49.5/100, with eq_cash_conv at 35.2/100 indicating poor cash conversion efficiency.
  • Revenue quality score of 0.0/100 suggests potential issues with revenue recognition or sustainability.
Positive Signals
  • Beneish M-Score of -2.081 indicates a lower risk of manipulation compared to the threshold of -1.78.
  • DSRI of 1.1847 suggests inventory levels are in line with sales growth, which can indicate operational stability.
Ownership Risk

The top shareholders include significant institutional ownership (40.8%), which can provide stability, but the presence of individual shareholders with smaller stakes may lead to potential governance issues.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor cash flow metrics and revenue recognition practices, while considering a cautious approach to investment due to the elevated risk level.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
5/9
Neutral
Z-Score
2.77
Grey Zone
Sharpe
-0.68
Negative
Composite
52
Fair
Price Risk
Momentum
-8.9%
Volatility
41.3%
Max Drawdown
-38.2%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
10.22P/E
P/B1.02
P/S0.61
ROE10.0%
ROA6.2%
EPS2202.26
BVPS22005.85
Gross Margin27.4%
Net Margin6.0%
D/E0.59
Current Ratio1.31
Rev Growth-5.8%
Profit Growth-24.4%
EV/EBITDA6.61
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
3.0M
Charter Capital
30.4B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Industry (ICB L3)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Sub-industry
Vật liệu xây dựng & Nội thất
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for SDN — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Tổng Công ty Cổ phần Phát triển Khu Công nghiệp
Inst
30.0%
911.088
Công ty Cổ phần Xuất nhập khẩu Petrolimex
Inst
10.8%
330.380
Nguyễn Phú Thưởng
Indiv
6.0%
90.100
Chen Miao Lien
Indiv
5.0%
76.064
Đào Đình Đề
Indiv
4.9%
149.168
Liu Chien Hung
Indiv
4.9%
148.353
Vũ Đức Đan
Indiv
4.4%
66.333
nguyen-phi-hung
Indiv
2.5%
37.508
Liu Cheng Min
Indiv
2.0%
31.001
Nguyễn Thị Dung
Indiv
1.5%
22.000
Đỗ Thị Thu Hà
Indiv
0.9%
14.400
Vương Thị Bích Quyên
Indiv
0.9%
12.919
Huỳnh Ngọc Hiếu
Indiv
0.8%
11.823
Nguyễn Đức Nhiễn
Indiv
0.4%
13.200
Trịnh Minh Trương
Indiv
0.4%
5.394
Nguyễn Phạm Thuyên
Indiv
0.3%
8.000
Hoàng Thuyền
Indiv
0.2%
3.566
Board & Management
Đào Đình Đề4.9%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Liu Chien Hung4.9%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Đức Nhiễn0.4%
Tổng Giám đốc/Phó Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Phạm Thuyên0.3%
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị/Phó Tổng Giám đốc Kỹ thuật
Bùi Thị Thùy Liên
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Trần Trung Kiên
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
HUỲNH NGUYỄN THANH UYÊN
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Huỳnh Thị Thanh Hương
Kế toán trưởng
Nguyễn Văn Linh
Phụ trách Công bố thông tin
Đặng Lê Bích Phượng
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Trịnh Thị Ngọc Hương
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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