CBI
CyclicalsValuation Breakdown
Cyclical companies (chemicals, oil & gas, basic resources) have earnings that swing dramatically with commodity prices and economic cycles. Valuing them on a single year's earnings is misleading: they look cheap at peaks and expensive at troughs. This model uses 7-year median EBITDA ("mid-cycle" earnings) and a 7-year median EV/EBITDA multiple to estimate what the firm is worth at a normal point in the cycle.
Valuation Track Record
Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — CBI
Earnings Quality
Fiscal year 2025
Financial Forensics
Beneish M-Score · 2023
The Beneish M-Score of -2.2851 indicates a low likelihood of earnings manipulation, as it is below the threshold of -1.78. However, the high SGI of 1.2277 and low earnings quality metrics raise concerns about revenue growth sustainability and margin quality.
- SGI of 1.2277 suggests aggressive revenue growth that may not be sustainable.
- Earnings Quality Score of 71.1/100 is decent, but eq_margin and eq_revenue scores of 0.0/100 indicate significant issues with profitability and revenue recognition.
- Cash conversion rate of 100.0/100 indicates strong cash flow relative to earnings.
- Low DSRI of 1.0193 suggests that inventory levels are well managed relative to sales.
The top shareholders are institutional entities holding a combined 87.3% stake, which may provide stability but also raises concerns about potential lack of minority shareholder influence.
Monitor revenue growth closely due to elevated SGI and low margin metrics; consider a cautious investment approach until further clarity on profitability emerges.
Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.
Quantitative Scores
Key Ratios
Company Overview
// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK
> mapping common ownership for CBI — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate