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Ngân hàng Thương mại Cổ phần Đầu tư và Phát triển Việt Nam

VietnamBanksNgân hàngHOSENH
31.700
VND · Close 3 Nov 2026

Calibrated intrinsic value vs last close

Illustrative estimate
Close below calibrated value
+15.8%Calibrated value vs last close
At last close+500%
Last close (VND)
31.700
Calibrated intrinsic value (VND)
36.700

Last close × (1 + calibrated gap / 100)

Earnings-capitalised value

Not available: the company reported a loss last year or its shares have too short a price history.

How it is calculated

  1. 1
    Measure the gap

    Between the model and the last close.

  2. 2
    Check the record2015–2024

    What gaps of that size went on to earn over the following year.

  3. 3
    Apply to the close

    That return is applied to the last close.

Keep in mind

  • For illustration only: not a validated forecast.
  • No uncertainty range: the estimate is a single figure.
  • Older record: it has not been re-measured on the current data.
Model reliability
Medium
Model fitInput stabilityRisk checks
High requires the model’s diagnostic criteria to be met.
Probability of outperforming peers
53.5%
12 monthsHistorical calibration
Chance the return beats the median return of its sector peers.
Assessed 30 Oct 2026Not updated with daily prices

These assessments address different questions. Neither establishes that the displayed valuation is correct or guarantees a future return.

12-month sector-relative outlook

−0.3percentage points
Banks12 monthsBack-test 2015–2024

Median 12-month return difference versus Banks peers, for model gaps like this one.

  • Not an absolute return forecast.
  • Not a price target.
  • A stock can underperform its sector and still rise.
Computed 30 Oct 2026Not updated with daily prices
Sector calibration span · percentage points
−9.5+8.4
  • The sector’s historical range, not a prediction interval for this stock.
  • Actual returns can fall outside it.

Valuation Breakdown

NH→Bank
Classified as bank because company type is NH (commercial bank).
ModelP/B x ROE Regression
Intrinsic Value = Fair P/B x Book Value Per Share

Estimates a fair price-to-book (P/B) multiple from how the market prices listed peer banks on their book value and returns. ROE, asset size, a bad-loan indicator and credit growth are weighed together to place this bank among its peers.

Technical details
Why this model

A bank's free cash flow does not mean what it means for an ordinary company. Book value, ROE and asset quality give a better frame of reference for valuing a bank.

How it works

A robust (Huber) multivariate regression estimates P/B from 3-year average ROE, log total assets, a bad-loan indicator and 3-year credit growth, after limiting extreme observations. Only banks the market prices on their earnings enter the fit (positive ROE, P/B at most 3.0×). The fitted P/B is multiplied by book value per share. A weak fit (R² below 0.4), a fit where higher ROE does not mean a higher P/B, and large state-owned banks use the peer median P/B adjusted for ROE.

Best for

Commercial banks where book value represents real economic assets and ROE reflects sustainable profitability.

1
Model Inputs
Avg ROE→19.12%
Valuation method
ROE-adjusted peer median
Bank peer-model fit (R²)
N/A
Peers used
3

This valuation uses an ROE-adjusted peer median. R² does not apply to this method.

2
Valuation

We take the model’s gap to the last close, read what gaps of that size went on to earn over the following year in our 2015 to 2024 record, and apply that to the last close.

Last close (VND)→31.700
Calibrated value vs last close→+15.8%

Last close × (1 + calibrated gap / 100)

Calibrated intrinsic value (VND)
36.700
What feeds each step— click a source to highlight it in the statements
Profitability & book value19.12%regression type: soe peer median tiltfallback used: yes
Cross-sectional featuresr squared: 0n obs: 3
Feeds valuation:Model inputsFinal calculation
Line item20262025202420232022202120202019201820172016201520142013
Cash and cash equivalents (Bn. VND)
·13,07510,77311,02913,74512,66112,29414,11710,5088,2037,1076,5895,3933,863
Fixed assets (Bn. VND)
·13,12312,16511,09610,53910,74110,42210,60510,72910,3499,7808,5356,6725,201
Tangible fixed assets
·7,5416,8446,4016,1036,3386,1626,2956,4155,9495,4304,5553,4582,683
Leased assets
·000000000000241
Intagible fixed assets
·5,5825,3214,6954,4364,4034,2604,3104,3144,3994,3493,9803,2142,278
Long-term investments (Bn. VND)
·4,3743,4243,1132,9682,8482,7612,7382,6122,5804,3285,2514,7834,393
Investment in joint ventures
·0000000000003,286
Investments in associate companies
·4,2953,3493,0122,8722,7302,6432,6262,5232,4103,9944,8714,300516
Other long-term assets (Bn. VND)
·183183215215216215215213253457539622919
Less: Provision for diminuation in value of long term investments
·−104−108−114−118−98−98−103−124−83−124−160−139−328
TOTAL ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·3,330,8262,760,9072,300,8692,120,6771,761,6961,516,6861,489,9571,312,8661,202,2841,006,378850,507650,340548,386
LIABILITIES (Bn. VND)
·3,157,2732,615,9232,178,0022,016,5581,675,3671,437,0391,412,3041,258,3771,153,450962,266808,171616,734516,094
OWNER'S EQUITY(Bn.VND)
·173,553144,984122,867104,11986,32979,64777,65354,49048,83444,11242,33533,60632,040
Paid-in capital (Bn. VND)
·70,21468,97557,00450,58550,58540,22040,22034,18734,18734,18734,18728,11228,112
Other Reserves
·1,000453346268268268268179152875400
Foreign Currency Difference reserve
·−597−701−804−760−3685013015754−112−43−45−57
Undistributed earnings (Bn. VND)
·44,78636,26530,33121,5048,67313,51713,85712,2717,0924,9384,2573,5173,576
TOTAL RESOURCES (Bn. VND)
·3,330,8262,760,9072,300,8692,120,6771,761,6961,516,6861,489,9571,312,8661,202,2841,006,378850,507650,340548,386
MINORITY INTERESTS
·5,5645,2354,9664,7233,1943,2353,1303,0482,8731,6041,386335253
Balances with the SBV
·123,63092,34151,616111,41868,85149,432135,25550,18529,41936,71121,71923,09812,835
Placements with and loans to other credit institutions
·457,353279,972211,812221,178135,94085,34854,290104,113118,35561,86567,09850,06247,656
Trading Securities, net
·30,15212,7346,9721,7016,06910,1706,3466749,61410,0168,8738,4311,558
Trading Securities
·30,18412,7737,0041,7496,08310,1846,3807909,70810,0868,9048,4611,590
Provision for diminution in value of Trading Securities
·−31−39−31−47−14−15−34−117−94−70−31−30−32
Derivatives and other financial liabilities
·066301,038192168928019401020240
Loans and advances to customers, net
·2,338,0102,018,1121,737,1961,484,1691,325,5291,195,2401,102,366976,334855,536713,633590,917439,070384,890
Loans and advances to customers
·2,372,9552,056,0821,777,6651,522,2221,354,6331,214,2961,116,998988,739866,885723,697598,434445,693391,035
Less: Provision for losses on loans and advances to customers
·−34,946−37,970−40,469−38,053−29,104−19,056−14,632−12,404−11,350−10,065−7,517−6,623−6,145
Investment Securities
·285,463277,838222,393235,636177,089125,115138,284133,188146,477144,413121,56591,81768,072
Available-for Sales Securities
·171,882157,919127,572162,283111,675112,192121,819111,419118,098113,65787,42173,99356,842
Held-to-Maturity Securities
·113,629121,12095,72273,73565,71113,50123,26229,84838,38636,82436,84919,52811,565
Less: Provision for diminution in value of investment securities
·−49−1,201−902−381−298−579−6,797−8,079−10,006−6,068−2,705−1,704−335
Other Assets
·65,64652,88645,64138,28221,77625,73625,86424,44321,55918,52619,85921,01419,678
Due to Gov and borrowings from SBV
·218,826168,38935,896152,75325,34017,223108,760105,29777,53543,39245,40220,12116,496
Deposits and borrowings from other credit institutions
·417,965232,954181,831177,22198,00782,26176,68379,19891,97992,49979,75886,18647,799
Deposits from customers
·2,222,9921,953,1651,704,6901,473,5981,380,3981,226,6741,114,163989,671859,985726,022564,693440,472338,902
Derivatives and other financial liabilities
·23103280000001030750
Funds received from Gov, international and other institutions
·12,04311,98112,20813,23814,35012,85312,38612,29611,72311,36235,29535,44567,245
Convertible bonds/CDs and other valuable papers issued
·225,408198,900189,487157,052123,68263,23762,77239,99183,73866,64265,54220,07733,254
Other liabilities
·59,80950,53353,56242,69733,59034,79237,54031,92228,48922,24517,48114,35812,397
Capital
·90,08984,78972,71166,20465,14554,78054,78034,39734,37034,30534,27228,14228,142
Reserves
·33,71119,39715,66212,4489,6858,0645,7554,6184,4463,3772,4641,657380

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025
50
Fair
Margin Stability
100
Revenue Quality
0

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
4/9
Neutral
Sharpe
−0.18
Negative
Composite
63
50 to 69
Piotroski F-Score Breakdown
✓Net Income > 0
✓Operating CF > 0
✗ROA Rising
✓OCF > Net Income
✗Lower Leverage
✗Better Liquidity
✗No Dilution
✓Margin Up
✗Turnover Up
Price Risk
Momentum
+4.3%
Volatility
22.6%
Max Drawdown
−36.2%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
1.55P/B
P/E
8.69
ROE
19.1%
ROA
1.0%
EPS
4.108
BVPS
23.075
Net Margin
33.4%
Rev Growth
+12.1%
Profit Growth
+19.2%
Div Yield
1.3%

Company Overview

Shares outstanding
7,778M
Charter Capital
77,782B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Ngân hàng
Industry (ICB L3)
Ngân hàng
Sub-industry
Ngân hàng
Company Type
NH
Computed 30/10/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a stock research tool. Its results are calculated from public financial data with published formulas. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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