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Construction sector

CQN

Construction
Công ty Cổ phần Cảng Quảng Ninh
Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp/Vận tảiCT
31.300
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
36.179
Current
31.300
Gap
+15.6%
ModelEV EBITDA DCF BLEND

Valuation Breakdown

CTHàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệpConstruction
Classified as construction because ICB sector "Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp" maps to the construction group
ModelEV/EBITDA + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 50% x EV/EBITDA Value + 50% x DCF Value

Construction and industrial firms have characteristics of both cyclical businesses (lumpy project-based revenue) and growth companies (expanding order books). This model blends two approaches 50/50: EV/EBITDA valuation (captures current earning power relative to peers) and FCF-based DCF (captures future cash generation potential). If EV/EBITDA produces a negative value (debt exceeds enterprise value), only DCF is used.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
1.100
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
12.20%
Ke
12.20%
x
E/(D+E)
86.10%
+
Kd(1-t)
6.38%
x
D/(D+E)
13.90%
=
WACC
11.39%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend3.39%
Growth decays 12%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
4
Valuation
50%EV/EBITDA Value
25.577
50%DCF Value
46.780
Blended Intrinsic
36.179
Value Decomposition
40%
60%
Explicit period (40%)Terminal value (60%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — CQN

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

70
Good
Accrual Quality
50
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
85
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2020

0.45
High Risk
DSRI
1.265
GMI
0.283
AQI
2.095
SGI
0.280
DEPI
0.962
SGAI
3.227
TATA
0.744
LVGI
0.484

CQN exhibits significant financial red flags, particularly with a Beneish M-Score of 0.4482, indicating potential earnings manipulation. The earnings quality score of 0.0/100 further underscores severe issues with accruals, cash conversion, and revenue recognition.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of 0.4482 exceeds the manipulation threshold of -1.78, suggesting potential earnings manipulation.
  • Earnings Quality Score of 0.0/100 indicates extremely poor earnings quality across all metrics, including accruals and cash conversion.
  • SGAI of 3.2271 suggests excessive selling, which may indicate distress or lack of demand for products.
Positive Signals
  • The presence of a dominant institutional shareholder, Công ty Cổ phần Tập đoàn T&T, holding 77.8% of shares, could imply stability in governance.
Ownership Risk

The high concentration of ownership by a single institution (77.8%) raises concerns about governance and accountability, as minority shareholders have limited influence.

Recommendation

Investors should approach CQN with caution, considering divestment or avoiding new investments until a clearer picture of financial health and governance emerges.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
5/9
Neutral
Z-Score
9.36
Safe Zone
Sharpe
-0.68
Negative
Composite
56
Fair
Price Risk
Momentum
-4.6%
Volatility
13.4%
Max Drawdown
-10.1%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
17.49P/E
P/B2.29
P/S3.34
ROE13.4%
ROA11.5%
EPS1789.53
BVPS13651.98
Gross Margin29.1%
Net Margin19.1%
D/E0.17
Current Ratio2.57
Rev Growth6.0%
Profit Growth12.7%
EV/EBITDA16.70
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
75.0M
Charter Capital
750.5B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp
Industry (ICB L3)
Vận tải
Sub-industry
Kho bãi, hậu cần và bảo dưỡng
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for CQN — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Công ty Cổ phần Tập đoàn T&T
Inst
77.8%
58.4 trieu
Board & Management
Bùi Quang Đạo
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Tổng Giám đốc
Đinh Anh Tuấn
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Quách Đình Phú
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Hoàng Trọng Tùng
Phụ trách Công bố thông tin/Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Đỗ Quang Hưng
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Tư Thịnh
Kế toán trưởng
Đỗ Ngọc Khanh
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Văn Mạnh
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Phạm Công Đoàn
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Mạnh Hùng
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Phú Quân
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Lương Thị Yến
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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