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Consumer sector

GTD

Consumer
Công ty Cổ phần Giầy Thượng Đình
Hàng cá nhân & Gia dụng/Hàng cá nhânCT
170.000
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Overvalued
Very Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
1.415
Current
170.000
Gap
-99.2%
ModelFCF DCF

Valuation Breakdown

CTHàng cá nhân & Gia dụngConsumer
Classified as consumer because ICB sector "Hàng cá nhân & Gia dụng" maps to the consumer group
ModelFCF-Based DCF
Value = Sum of [FCF / (1+WACC)^t] + Terminal Value / (1+WACC)^n

A classic Discounted Cash Flow model built on Free Cash Flow (FCF), the actual cash a business generates after all operating expenses and capital expenditures. Future FCF is projected for 10 years with gradually decaying growth, then discounted back to today's value using WACC. This is the gold standard of intrinsic valuation: it values the company based on what it can actually deliver to shareholders, independent of market sentiment.

Distressed Valuation
Negative Cash Flow
BVPS
2.829
x
Discount
50%
=
Floor Value
2.829

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — GTD

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2024

39
Weak
Accrual Quality
76
Cash Conversion
36
Receivables
57
Margin Stability
0
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2024

-2.82
Low Risk
DSRI
1.105
GMI
1.557
AQI
0.101
SGI
0.983
DEPI
0.950
SGAI
1.108
TATA
-0.060
LVGI
1.132

GTD exhibits several concerning financial indicators, particularly a Beneish M-Score of -2.8159, which suggests a low likelihood of earnings manipulation. However, the earnings quality score of 39.3/100, driven by poor revenue and margin metrics, raises red flags regarding the sustainability of reported earnings.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of -2.8159 indicates potential earnings manipulation risk, significantly below the threshold of -1.78.
  • Earnings quality score of 39.3/100, with revenue and margin metrics at 0.0/100, suggests severe issues in revenue recognition and profitability.
Positive Signals
  • DSRI of 1.1047 indicates that accounts receivable are growing in line with revenue, which is a positive sign of sales management.
Ownership Risk

The high concentration of ownership, with Mai Huyền Trang holding 68.7%, presents a risk of governance issues and potential conflicts of interest, limiting minority shareholder influence.

Recommendation

Investors should exercise caution and closely monitor GTD's financial disclosures and operational performance, particularly focusing on improving earnings quality metrics before considering an investment.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
3/9
Weak
Z-Score
-0.01
Distress Zone
Sharpe
1.82
Excellent
Composite
43
Weak
Price Risk
Momentum
+808.2%
Volatility
141.4%
Max Drawdown
-47.6%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2024
-61.81P/E
P/B30.46
P/S10.17
ROE-39.5%
ROA-10.5%
EPS-1394.11
BVPS2829.09
Gross Margin13.0%
Net Margin-16.5%
D/E3.57
Current Ratio0.83
Rev Growth-1.6%
Profit Growth-158.6%
EV/EBITDA-131.92
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
9.3M
Charter Capital
93.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Hàng cá nhân & Gia dụng
Industry (ICB L3)
Hàng cá nhân
Sub-industry
Giầy dép
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for GTD — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Mai Huyền Trang
Indiv
68.7%
6.4 trieu
Board & Management
Nguyễn Thế Huân
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Bùi Tất Thắng
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Trịnh Thị Thúy Mai
Kế toán trưởng
Lê Thị Thanh Thủy
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Bích Thủy
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Đoàn Anh Hải
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Vương Hải Long
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Trần Thị Giang Thủy
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Quốc Cương
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Thị Ngoan
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Duy Cường
Phụ trách Công bố thông tin
Nguyễn Văn Khiêm
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Tổng Giám đốc
Trần Thanh Tú
Phó Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Top connections
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

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All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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