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Utilities sector

BWS

Utilities
Công ty Cổ phần Cấp Nước Bà Rịa - Vũng Tàu
Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt/Nước & Khí đốtCT
33.100
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
35.101
Current
33.100
Gap
+6.0%
ModelDDM 3STAGE

Valuation Breakdown

CTĐiện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốtUtility
Classified as utility because ICB sector "Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt" maps to the utility group
Model3-Stage DDM
Value = Sum of [DPS x (1+g)^t / (1+Ke)^t] + Terminal Dividend / (Ke - g_terminal)

The Dividend Discount Model values a stock based on its future dividend payments, discounted to present value. The 3-stage variant captures three phases of a company's life: high growth (years 1-3), a transition period where growth declines linearly (years 4-6), and a terminal stage of stable, perpetual growth (year 7+). As John D. Rockefeller said: "The only thing that gives me pleasure is to see my dividends coming in."

1
Cost of Equity (Ke)
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
0.600
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
8.70%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental equity blend6.24%
3
Model Inputs
DPS source:Actual dividends
DPS1.600
Payout ratio62.0%
4
Valuation
Dividends Per Share
1.600
Base Growth
6.24%
Cost of Equity
8.70%
Terminal Growth
3.50%
DDM Value
35.101
Value Decomposition
25%
75%
Explicit period (25%)Terminal value (75%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — BWS

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

57
Fair
Accrual Quality
88
Cash Conversion
94
Receivables
3
Margin Stability
100
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-1.92
Moderate
DSRI
1.613
GMI
1.020
AQI
1.141
SGI
1.011
DEPI
1.031
SGAI
1.134
TATA
-0.030
LVGI
0.771

BWS exhibits several red flags indicating potential earnings manipulation, particularly with a Beneish M-Score of -1.924, which is below the manipulation threshold. Despite a decent earnings quality score of 57.0/100, the low score in receivables (2.6/100) raises concerns about revenue recognition practices.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of -1.924 indicates potential earnings manipulation as it is below the threshold of -1.78.
  • DSRI of 1.6127 suggests significant increases in receivables relative to sales, indicating potential revenue recognition issues.
  • EQ revenue score of 0.0/100 highlights a complete lack of quality in revenue recognition.
Positive Signals
  • Earnings Quality Score of 57.0/100 reflects reasonable overall earnings quality.
  • High accrual score of 88.0/100 and cash conversion score of 94.2/100 suggest strong cash flow management.
Ownership Risk

The significant state ownership (36.2%) may lead to potential conflicts of interest and lack of accountability, which is common in Vietnamese SOEs. The presence of local government entities in ownership could also influence operational decisions.

Recommendation

Investors should proceed with caution and consider conducting further due diligence, particularly on revenue recognition practices. Monitoring future earnings reports and cash flow statements will be crucial to assess the sustainability of BWS's financial performance.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
7/9
Strong
Z-Score
15.26
Safe Zone
Sharpe
0.00
Positive
Composite
52
Fair
Price Risk
Momentum
+4.6%
Volatility
31.9%
Max Drawdown
-18.4%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
12.76P/E
P/B3.05
P/S4.43
ROE24.2%
ROA20.9%
EPS2612.71
BVPS10937.04
Gross Margin57.4%
Net Margin34.7%
D/E0.13
Current Ratio2.24
Rev Growth1.1%
Profit Growth2.6%
EV/EBITDA10.09
Div Yield6.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
100.0M
Charter Capital
1000.1B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt
Industry (ICB L3)
Nước & Khí đốt
Sub-industry
Nước
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for BWS — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Ủy Ban Nhân Dân Tỉnh Bà Rịa - Vũng Tàu
State
36.3%
32.6 trieu
Tỉnh Ủy Tỉnh Bà Rịa - Vũng Tàu
Indiv
10.5%
9.5 trieu
Công ty Cổ phần Cấp Nước Phú Mỹ
Inst
5.1%
5.1 trieu
Lê Thị Thanh Thủy
Indiv
1.6%
1.6 trieu
Công ty Tnhh Một Thành Viên Thương Mại Dịch Vụ Kỹ Thuật D&B
Inst
1.3%
1.1 trieu
Võ Văn Bình
Indiv
1.3%
1.3 trieu
nguyen-nhu-ha
Indiv
1.1%
509.812
Đinh Chí Đức
Indiv
0.7%
661.571
Đinh Thị Khánh Linh
Indiv
0.6%
643.088
nguyen-luong-dien
Indiv
0.6%
631.841
Nguyễn Tiến Lạng
Indiv
0.6%
608.738
Nguyễn Thị Kim Chi
Indiv
0.5%
530.166
nguyen-canh-tung
Indiv
0.5%
477.108
Nguyễn Quốc Huy
Indiv
0.4%
397.804
Võ Thị Khánh Vân
Indiv
0.4%
391.596
Phan Khắc Vinh
Indiv
0.4%
173.291
Đinh Mai Trang
Indiv
0.3%
304.078
Võ Thị Thuận
Indiv
0.3%
300.380
Võ Hiền Hiếu
Indiv
0.3%
304.233
Lê Minh Đức
Indiv
0.3%
291.377
Ngô Việt Hưng
Indiv
0.2%
244.635
Phạm Tấn Luận
Indiv
0.2%
237.593
Trần Khánh Linh
Indiv
0.2%
212.282
nguyen-thi-hanh
Indiv
0.2%
176.117
Võ Thị Nhã
Indiv
0.2%
198.004
Đặng Thị Liên
Indiv
0.2%
164.050
nguyen-le-minh-anh
Indiv
0.2%
164.751
Nguyễn Thị Hoàng Ngọc
Indiv
0.1%
148.988
Nguyễn Thị Cúc
Indiv
0.1%
135.201
Nguyễn Ý Minh
Indiv
0.1%
128.680
nguyen-chien-thang
Indiv
0.1%
59.735
Phạm Thị Thanh Tâm
Indiv
0.1%
123.169
Nguyễn Thị Nhung
Indiv
0.1%
101.596
Board & Management
Lê Thị Thanh Thủy1.6%
Người phụ trách quản trị công ty
Võ Văn Bình1.3%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Đinh Chí Đức0.7%
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Lương Điền0.6%
Tổng Giám đốc/Phó Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Tiến Lạng0.6%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Cảnh Tùng0.5%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Quốc Huy0.4%
Kế toán trưởng/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Lê Minh Đức0.3%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Phạm Tấn Luận0.2%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Thị Hạnh0.2%
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Võ Thị Nhã0.2%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Thị Hoàng Ngọc0.1%
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Ý Minh0.1%
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

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