VNVALUEVNVALUE
Updated weekly
Back to Dashboard
Construction sector

HC1

Construction
Công ty Cổ phần Xây dựng số 1 Hà Nội
Xây dựng và Vật liệuCT
13.300
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
43.106
Current
13.300
Gap
+224.1%
ModelEV EBITDA DCF BLEND

Valuation Breakdown

CTXây dựng và Vật liệuConstruction
Classified as construction because ICB sector "Xây dựng và Vật liệu" maps to the construction group
ModelEV/EBITDA + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 50% x EV/EBITDA Value + 50% x DCF Value

Construction and industrial firms have characteristics of both cyclical businesses (lumpy project-based revenue) and growth companies (expanding order books). This model blends two approaches 50/50: EV/EBITDA valuation (captures current earning power relative to peers) and FCF-based DCF (captures future cash generation potential). If EV/EBITDA produces a negative value (debt exceeds enterprise value), only DCF is used.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
1.100
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
12.20%
Ke
12.20%
x
E/(D+E)
19.49%
+
Kd(1-t)
6.23%
x
D/(D+E)
80.51%
=
WACC
10.00%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend2.82%
Growth decays 12%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
4
Valuation
50%EV/EBITDA Value
19.993
50%DCF Value
66.218
Blended Intrinsic
43.106
Value Decomposition
35%
65%
Explicit period (35%)Terminal value (65%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — HC1

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2024

53
Fair
Accrual Quality
88
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
0
Margin Stability
15
Revenue Quality
25

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2024

-2.21
Moderate
DSRI
2.298
GMI
0.681
AQI
0.899
SGI
0.474
DEPI
0.922
SGAI
1.513
TATA
-0.031
LVGI
1.006

HC1 exhibits several concerning indicators of potential financial manipulation, particularly with a Beneish M-Score of -2.2085, which is significantly below the manipulation threshold of -1.78. While the earnings quality score of 52.9 suggests some level of reliability, the low scores in revenue and margin quality raise significant concerns.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of -2.2085 indicates potential earnings manipulation, significantly below the threshold of -1.78.
  • Earnings Quality Score of 52.9, with particularly low metrics in eq_receivables (0.0/100) and eq_margin (15.3/100), suggests poor revenue recognition practices.
Positive Signals
  • High eq_accrual score of 87.6/100 and eq_cash_conv score of 100.0/100 indicate strong cash conversion and accrual quality.
Ownership Risk

The ownership structure is heavily concentrated, with Tổng Công ty Xây dựng Hà Nội holding 50.4%, which may lead to governance issues and reduced accountability for minority shareholders.

Recommendation

Investors should exercise caution and conduct further due diligence, particularly focusing on revenue recognition practices and the implications of concentrated ownership before making investment decisions.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
5/9
Neutral
Z-Score
0.53
Distress Zone
Sharpe
0.33
Positive
Composite
67
Fair
Price Risk
Momentum
+15.7%
Volatility
94.2%
Max Drawdown
-52.2%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2024
12.25P/E
P/B0.50
P/S0.37
ROE4.5%
ROA0.9%
EPS1179.04
BVPS26226.76
Gross Margin12.0%
Net Margin3.3%
D/E4.13
Current Ratio1.13
Rev Growth-52.6%
Profit Growth-21.4%
EV/EBITDA5.52
Div Yield7.7%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
8.0M
Charter Capital
80.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Industry (ICB L3)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Sub-industry
Xây dựng
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for HC1 — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Tổng Công ty Xây dựng Hà Nội
Inst
50.4%
4.0 trieu
Công ty Cổ phần Đầu Tư Và Kinh Doanh Thương Mại Phú Thịnh
Inst
9.6%
770.908
Công ty Cổ phần Bất Động Sản Brg
Inst
8.8%
703.906
Công Ty TNHH Thung Lũng Vua
Inst
5.2%
419.921
Vũ Tùng Dương
Indiv
0.7%
53.799
Tống Văn Định
Indiv
0.4%
31.054
Cấn Văn Tuấn
Indiv
0.2%
13.661
TRẦN ĐĂNG MẠNH
Indiv
0.1%
11.813
Board & Management
Vũ Tùng Dương0.7%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Tống Văn Định0.4%
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Cấn Văn Tuấn0.2%
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
TRẦN ĐĂNG MẠNH0.1%
Phó Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị/Tổng Giám đốc
Ninh Văn Nam
Phó Tổng Giám đốc/Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Trần Anh Tuấn
Phó Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Trần Thị Lan Nhung
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Trần Thị Nguyệt
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Phạm Thị Phương Thảo
Phụ trách Công bố thông tin
Tô Ngọc Sơn
Kế toán trưởng
Trịnh Việt Cường
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Hoàng Văn Hòa
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Trần Thị Hà
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

By using vnvalue you accept the Terms of Service and Privacy Policy. Full disclaimer →