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Consumer sector

NTF

Consumer
Công ty Cổ phần Dược - Vật tư y tế Nghệ An
Y tế/Dược phẩmCT
16.000
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
17.812
Current
16.000
Gap
+11.3%
ModelFCF DCF

Valuation Breakdown

CTY tếConsumer
Classified as consumer because ICB sector "Y tế" maps to the consumer group
ModelFCF-Based DCF
Value = Sum of [FCF / (1+WACC)^t] + Terminal Value / (1+WACC)^n

A classic Discounted Cash Flow model built on Free Cash Flow (FCF), the actual cash a business generates after all operating expenses and capital expenditures. Future FCF is projected for 10 years with gradually decaying growth, then discounted back to today's value using WACC. This is the gold standard of intrinsic valuation: it values the company based on what it can actually deliver to shareholders, independent of market sentiment.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
0.800
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
10.10%
Ke
10.10%
x
E/(D+E)
67.75%
+
Kd(1-t)
6.14%
x
D/(D+E)
32.25%
=
WACC
10.00%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend2.58%
Growth decays 10%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
Base FCF5.56B
Projection years10
4
Valuation
Base FCF
5.56B
Growth Rate
2.58%
WACC
10.00%
Terminal Growth
4.00%
DCF Value
17.812
Value Decomposition
43%
57%
Explicit period (43%)Terminal value (57%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — NTF

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2024

49
Weak
Accrual Quality
76
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
0
Margin Stability
15
Revenue Quality
21

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2024

-2.72
Low Risk
DSRI
1.151
GMI
0.901
AQI
1.138
SGI
0.881
DEPI
0.889
SGAI
1.077
TATA
-0.060
LVGI
0.910

The Beneish M-Score of -2.7193 indicates a low likelihood of earnings manipulation, as it is well below the threshold of -1.78. However, the earnings quality score of 49.4/100, particularly low scores in revenue and margin quality, raises concerns about the sustainability of earnings.

Red Flags
  • Earnings Quality Score of 49.4/100, with particularly low revenue (21.2/100) and margin (14.9/100) quality metrics indicating potential issues with revenue recognition and profitability.
Positive Signals
  • Beneish M-Score of -2.7193 suggests low likelihood of earnings manipulation, indicating a more transparent financial reporting environment.
Ownership Risk

The ownership structure is highly concentrated, with the top four institutional shareholders holding over 95% of the shares. This concentration may lead to governance risks and potential conflicts of interest.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor the company's earnings quality metrics and consider diversifying their holdings to mitigate risks associated with concentrated ownership.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
8/9
Strong
Z-Score
2.45
Grey Zone
Sharpe
0.10
Positive
Composite
60
Fair
Price Risk
Momentum
+54.3%
Volatility
84.8%
Max Drawdown
-39.6%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2024
58.83P/E
P/B1.56
P/S0.80
ROE2.6%
ROA1.8%
EPS390.99
BVPS14733.16
Gross Margin23.9%
Net Margin1.4%
D/E0.42
Current Ratio2.24
Rev Growth-12.1%
Profit Growth-3.0%
EV/EBITDA27.35
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
6.0M
Charter Capital
150.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Y tế
Industry (ICB L3)
Dược phẩm
Sub-industry
Dược phẩm
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for NTF — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Công Ty TNHH Thung Lũng Vua
Inst
24.9%
3.7 trieu
Công ty Cổ Phần Đầu Tư Tài Chính Và Thương Mại Phúc Khang
Inst
24.7%
3.7 trieu
Công ty Cổ Phần Thương Mại Và Dịch Vụ Vang Thăng Long
Inst
23.3%
3.5 trieu
Công ty TNHH Thương Mại Và Sản Xuất Hồng Ngân
Inst
22.7%
3.4 trieu
Đặng Trần Lạc
Indiv
6.5%
258.450
Trần Quốc An
Indiv
3.8%
129.940
Trần Thị Út
Indiv
2.6%
156.862
Cao Thị Anh
Indiv
1.4%
56.140
Huỳnh Đào Lân
Indiv
1.4%
56.280
Nguyễn Thị Thu Thủy
Indiv
1.1%
34.720
Nguyễn Văn Sơn
Indiv
0.9%
33.820
Hoàng Quang Tuyến
Indiv
0.1%
6.180
Board & Management
Hoàng Quang Tuyên0.1%
Trưởng phòng Kinh doanh
Nguyễn Thị Bích Đào
Phó chủ tịch công đoàn
Mai Trọng Minh
Tổng Giám đốc
Khúc Thị Quỳnh Lâm
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Phan Văn Vỹ
Phụ trách Công bố thông tin
Cao Thanh Hương
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Bùi Thị Thuận
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Lang Văn Hiệu
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Trương Thị Hoài Anh
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Phạm Tuấn Linh
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Đặng Việt Trung
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Trần Thị Nguyệt
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Phan Sỹ Hùng
Kế toán trưởng
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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