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Utilities sector

PCG

Utilities
Công ty Cổ phần Đầu tư Phát triển Gas Đô thị
Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt/Nước & Khí đốtCT
3.100
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
3.738
Current
3.100
Gap
+20.6%
ModelDDM 3STAGE

Valuation Breakdown

CTĐiện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốtUtility
Classified as utility because ICB sector "Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt" maps to the utility group
Model3-Stage DDM
Value = Sum of [DPS x (1+g)^t / (1+Ke)^t] + Terminal Dividend / (Ke - g_terminal)

The Dividend Discount Model values a stock based on its future dividend payments, discounted to present value. The 3-stage variant captures three phases of a company's life: high growth (years 1-3), a transition period where growth declines linearly (years 4-6), and a terminal stage of stable, perpetual growth (year 7+). As John D. Rockefeller said: "The only thing that gives me pleasure is to see my dividends coming in."

Distressed Valuation
No Dividends Or Earnings
BVPS
7.477
x
Discount
50%
=
Floor Value
7.477

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — PCG

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

13
Poor
Accrual Quality
66
Cash Conversion
1
Receivables
0
Margin Stability
0
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2018

-1.49
Elevated
DSRI
1.587
GMI
1.057
AQI
1.248
SGI
1.050
DEPI
0.688
SGAI
1.336
TATA
0.084
LVGI
1.088

PCG exhibits several concerning financial metrics that suggest potential earnings manipulation, particularly indicated by a Beneish M-Score of -1.4928, which is above the manipulation threshold. Additionally, the earnings quality score of 42.3/100 reflects significant weaknesses in cash conversion and revenue recognition.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of -1.4928 indicates potential manipulation, as it is above the threshold of -1.78.
  • Earnings Quality Score of 42.3/100, with particularly low scores in eq_margin (0.0/100) and eq_revenue (5.1/100), suggests poor revenue quality and margin sustainability.
Positive Signals
  • Receivables quality is strong at 100.0/100, indicating effective management of receivables.
  • The DSRI of 1.5866 suggests that inventory growth is not excessively outpacing revenue growth, which could indicate reasonable inventory management.
Ownership Risk

The ownership structure is highly concentrated, with the top four shareholders holding over 72% of the shares, which may lead to governance risks and potential conflicts of interest.

Recommendation

Investors should exercise caution and conduct further due diligence, particularly regarding revenue recognition practices and cash flow management before making investment decisions.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
4/9
Neutral
Z-Score
1.29
Distress Zone
Sharpe
-1.03
Negative
Composite
20
Poor
Price Risk
Momentum
-69.1%
Volatility
101.6%
Max Drawdown
-75.9%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
-3.36P/E
P/B0.41
P/S0.24
ROE-11.6%
ROA-7.3%
EPS-923.08
BVPS7476.68
Gross Margin5.2%
Net Margin-7.0%
D/E0.45
Current Ratio1.85
Rev Growth-28.5%
Profit Growth-121.1%
EV/EBITDA-3.42
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
18.9M
Charter Capital
188.7B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt
Industry (ICB L3)
Nước & Khí đốt
Sub-industry
Phân phối xăng dầu & khí đốt
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for PCG — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
nguyen-thanh-tu
Indiv
37.4%
7.1 trieu
Zhu Zhilin
Indiv
21.7%
4.1 trieu
Cheng Quing Huang
Indiv
9.3%
1.8 trieu
Yang Xiao Dong
Indiv
4.1%
767.500
Yang XiaoDong
Indiv
4.0%
767.500
Zhou Hao
Indiv
3.2%
600.000
Tổng Công ty Xây dựng Hà Nội
Inst
1.2%
218.100
Nguyễn Nhật Dương
Indiv
0.1%
23.300
Board & Management
Nguyễn Thanh Tú37.4%
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Zhu Zhilin21.7%
Giám đốc
Nguyễn Thị Huệ
Phụ trách Công bố thông tin
Phan Ngọc Lan
Trưởng phòng Tài chính - Kế toán
Yoon Kwan Seok
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Yang Xing Qiong
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Wu Zhijun
Phó Giám đốc
Giang Nhược Trì
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Thị Thu Hương
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Cheung Yip Sang
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Zhao HaiChi
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Computed 12/04/2026
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