VNVALUEVNVALUE
Updated weekly
Back to Dashboard
Consumer sector

HKB

Consumer
Công ty Cổ phần Nông nghiệp và Thực phẩm Hà Nội - Kinh Bắc
Thực phẩm và đồ uống/Sản xuất thực phẩmCT
500
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Overvalued
Very Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
275
Current
500
Gap
-45.0%
ModelFCF DCF

Valuation Breakdown

CTThực phẩm và đồ uốngConsumer
Classified as consumer because ICB sector "Thực phẩm và đồ uống" maps to the consumer group
ModelFCF-Based DCF
Value = Sum of [FCF / (1+WACC)^t] + Terminal Value / (1+WACC)^n

A classic Discounted Cash Flow model built on Free Cash Flow (FCF), the actual cash a business generates after all operating expenses and capital expenditures. Future FCF is projected for 10 years with gradually decaying growth, then discounted back to today's value using WACC. This is the gold standard of intrinsic valuation: it values the company based on what it can actually deliver to shareholders, independent of market sentiment.

Distressed Valuation
Negative Intrinsic Value
BVPS
550
x
Discount
50%
=
Floor Value
550

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — HKB

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

40
Weak
Accrual Quality
17
Cash Conversion
3
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
100
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-3.97
Low Risk
DSRI
0.951
GMI
0.920
AQI
0.798
SGI
1.063
DEPI
0.964
SGAI
0.933
TATA
-0.277
LVGI
1.287

HKB exhibits a Beneish M-Score of -3.9731, indicating a low likelihood of earnings manipulation. However, the earnings quality metrics reveal significant weaknesses, particularly in cash conversion and revenue recognition, suggesting potential operational inefficiencies.

Red Flags
  • Earnings Quality Score of 39.8/100, with eq_cash_conv at only 2.7/100, indicating severe issues in converting earnings to cash.
  • Revenue recognition score of 0.0/100, raising concerns about the reliability of reported revenues.
Positive Signals
  • Beneish M-Score of -3.9731, well below the manipulation threshold of -1.78, suggesting a lower risk of earnings manipulation.
  • Strong receivables score of 100.0/100, indicating effective management of accounts receivable.
Ownership Risk

The ownership structure is relatively concentrated, with the largest shareholder holding 18.5%. This could lead to potential governance risks if the interests of minority shareholders are overlooked.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor cash flow performance and revenue recognition practices. It may be prudent to adopt a cautious approach until improvements in earnings quality are observed.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
5/9
Neutral
Z-Score
-4.63
Distress Zone
Sharpe
-0.30
Negative
Composite
19
Poor
Price Risk
Momentum
-28.6%
Volatility
148.9%
Max Drawdown
-44.4%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
-0.48P/E
P/B0.99
P/S4.42
ROE-101.4%
ROA-24.0%
EPS-1132.21
BVPS550.15
Gross Margin39.1%
Net Margin-920.2%
D/E6.56
Current Ratio0.32
Rev Growth7.3%
Profit Growth0.4%
EV/EBITDA-2.93
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
51.6M
Charter Capital
516.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Thực phẩm và đồ uống
Industry (ICB L3)
Sản xuất thực phẩm
Sub-industry
Thực phẩm
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for HKB — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Dương Quang Lư
Indiv
18.5%
9.5 trieu
Uông Huy Đông
Indiv
4.4%
2.3 trieu
Công ty Cổ phần Quản Lý Quỹ Việt Cát
Inst
2.7%
535.370
Uông Huy Giang
Indiv
2.6%
1.4 trieu
Board & Management
Dương Quang Lư18.5%
Tổng Giám đốc/Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Uông Huy Đông4.4%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Đỗ Thị Thanh Hiền
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Huy Hoàng
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
BÙI THÙY ANH
Phụ trách Công bố thông tin/Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Ngô Đức Thanh
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Đỗ Dương Thông
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
TRƯƠNG DANH HÙNG
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Dương Danh Quân
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Trần Đình Dũng
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Lê Văn Quang
Kế toán trưởng
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

By using vnvalue you accept the Terms of Service and Privacy Policy. Full disclaimer →