VNVALUEVNVALUE
Updated weekly
Back to Dashboard
Cyclicals sector

GLC

Cyclicals
Công ty Cổ phần Vàng Lào Cai
Tài nguyên Cơ bản/Khai khoángCT
6.000
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Overvalued
Very Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
392
Current
6.000
Gap
-93.5%
ModelEV EBITDA MIDCYCLE

Valuation Breakdown

CTTài nguyên Cơ bảnCyclical
Classified as cyclical because ICB sector "Tài nguyên Cơ bản" maps to the cyclical group
ModelEV/EBITDA Mid-Cycle
Equity Value = Mid-Cycle EBITDA x Fair EV/EBITDA - Net Debt

Cyclical companies (chemicals, oil & gas, basic resources) have earnings that swing dramatically with commodity prices and economic cycles. Valuing them on a single year's earnings is misleading: they look cheap at peaks and expensive at troughs. This model uses 7-year median EBITDA ("mid-cycle" earnings) and a 7-year median EV/EBITDA multiple to estimate what the firm is worth at a normal point in the cycle.

1
Model Inputs
Mid-Cycle EBITDA2.78B
Fair EV/EBITDA5.0x
Years of data7
2
Valuation
Mid-Cycle EBITDA
2.78B
x
Fair EV/EBITDA
5.0x
-
Net Debt
9.79B
=
Equity Value
392
Years of data7

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — GLC

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2024

33
Weak
Accrual Quality
54
Cash Conversion
12

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2019

-3.75
Low Risk
DSRI
0.283
GMI
6.702
AQI
1.311
SGI
0.101
DEPI
0.927
SGAI
14.181
TATA
-0.175
LVGI
0.554

GLC exhibits significant red flags indicating potential earnings manipulation, as evidenced by a Beneish M-Score of -3.752, well below the manipulation threshold of -1.78. The low Earnings Quality Score of 19.3/100 further highlights concerns regarding the company's financial integrity and the quality of its earnings.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of -3.752 indicates a high likelihood of earnings manipulation.
  • Earnings Quality Score of 19.3/100 suggests poor earnings quality, particularly with eq_receivables, eq_margin, and eq_revenue all at 0.0/100.
Positive Signals
  • DSRI of 0.2834 indicates a lower risk of inventory manipulation compared to industry norms.
  • DEPI of 0.9270 suggests that the company is not aggressively recognizing revenue prematurely.
Ownership Risk

The concentrated ownership structure with top shareholders holding over 23% each raises concerns about potential governance issues and lack of independent oversight, which could exacerbate risks of financial misreporting.

Recommendation

Investors should exercise caution and closely monitor GLC's financial disclosures and governance practices. A thorough review of the company's financial statements and potential engagement with management may be warranted before making investment decisions.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
6/9
Neutral
Z-Score
-6.77
Distress Zone
Sharpe
-1.09
Negative
Composite
23
Poor
Price Risk
Momentum
+0.0%
Volatility
85.0%
Max Drawdown
-40.0%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2024
-30.03P/E
P/B0.00
P/S3.30
ROE22.8%
ROA-11.7%
EPS-199.78
BVPS0.00
Gross Margin-0.1%
Net Margin-11.0%
D/E-2.93
Current Ratio0.44
Profit Growth84.9%
EV/EBITDA12.88
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
10.5M
Charter Capital
105.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Tài nguyên Cơ bản
Industry (ICB L3)
Khai khoáng
Sub-industry
Khai thác vàng
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for GLC — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
nguyen-thu-thao
Indiv
23.8%
2.5 trieu
Nguyễn Tiến Đạt
Indiv
23.8%
2.5 trieu
Uông Huy Giang
Indiv
22.9%
2.4 trieu
Trần Quang Đặng
Indiv
19.2%
2.0 trieu
nguyen-tien-hai
Indiv
11.4%
1.2 trieu
Công Ty TNHH Một Thành Viên Khoáng Sản Bitexco
Inst
6.4%
675.000
Phạm Thị Thu Nguyệt
Indiv
4.8%
500.000
Board & Management
Mạc Văn Tiến
Phó Giám đốc
Phạm Hồng Thịnh
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Minh Thanh
Kế toán trưởng
Đoàn Thị Yến Châu
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Bùi Thị Phúc
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Phạm Thị Hải An
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Phạm Thị Oanh
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Hoàng Thị Quế
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Giám đốc
Trần Đình Dũng
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

By using vnvalue you accept the Terms of Service and Privacy Policy. Full disclaimer →