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Construction sector

TCD

Construction
Công ty cổ phần Tập đoàn Xây dựng Tracodi
Xây dựng và Vật liệuCT
1.890
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Medium
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
5.579
Current
1.890
Gap
+195.2%
ModelEV EBITDA DCF BLEND

Valuation Breakdown

CTXây dựng và Vật liệuConstruction
Classified as construction because ICB sector "Xây dựng và Vật liệu" maps to the construction group
ModelEV/EBITDA + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 50% x EV/EBITDA Value + 50% x DCF Value

Construction and industrial firms have characteristics of both cyclical businesses (lumpy project-based revenue) and growth companies (expanding order books). This model blends two approaches 50/50: EV/EBITDA valuation (captures current earning power relative to peers) and FCF-based DCF (captures future cash generation potential). If EV/EBITDA produces a negative value (debt exceeds enterprise value), only DCF is used.

Distressed Valuation
Negative Enterprise Value
BVPS
11.157
x
Discount
50%
=
Floor Value
11.157

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — TCD

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2024

35
Weak
Accrual Quality
85
Cash Conversion
0
Receivables
0
Margin Stability
54
Revenue Quality
40

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2024

-2.23
Moderate
DSRI
1.464
GMI
0.892
AQI
1.193
SGI
0.650
DEPI
0.830
SGAI
1.283
TATA
0.039
LVGI
0.991

TCD exhibits several concerning indicators suggesting potential financial manipulation, particularly with a Beneish M-Score of -2.2286, which is below the manipulation threshold. The earnings quality score of 35.2/100, especially the zero scores in cash conversion and receivables, raises significant red flags about the sustainability of reported earnings.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of -2.2286 indicates potential earnings manipulation, significantly below the threshold of -1.78.
  • Earnings Quality Score of 35.2/100, with eq_cash_conv and eq_receivables both at 0.0/100, suggests severe issues in cash flow and revenue recognition.
Positive Signals
  • DSRI of 1.4640 indicates a moderate increase in inventory relative to sales, which could suggest growth, but requires further scrutiny.
Ownership Risk

The top shareholder, Bamboo Capital, holds a substantial 43.9% stake, which may lead to concentrated decision-making risks and potential conflicts of interest. However, the presence of multiple institutional investors may provide some level of oversight.

Recommendation

Investors should exercise caution and conduct further due diligence on TCD, particularly focusing on cash flow and revenue recognition practices before considering any investment.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
2/9
Weak
Z-Score
0.56
Distress Zone
Sharpe
-2.08
Negative
Composite
36
Weak
Price Risk
Momentum
-48.3%
Volatility
57.5%
Max Drawdown
-66.7%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2024
8.92P/E
P/B0.17
P/S0.55
ROE1.9%
ROA0.8%
EPS211.78
BVPS11157.40
Gross Margin20.5%
Net Margin6.1%
D/E1.40
Current Ratio1.37
Rev Growth-35.0%
Profit Growth-41.5%
EV/EBITDA38.36
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
335.8M
Charter Capital
3358.2B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Industry (ICB L3)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Sub-industry
Xây dựng
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for TCD — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Công ty Cổ phần Tập đoàn Bamboo Capital
Inst
43.9%
147.4 trieu
Mirae Asset Daewoo Co., Ltd.
Inst
5.0%
2.1 trieu
Công ty Cổ phần Chứng khoán Tiên Phong
Inst
4.7%
10.5 trieu
Công ty Cổ phần Chứng khoán Sài Gòn - Hà Nội
Inst
4.5%
10.0 trieu
Công ty Cổ phần Đầu tư và Dịch vụ Helios
Inst
3.9%
9.5 trieu
Nguyễn Hồ Nam
Indiv
3.7%
10.5 trieu
Lê Thị Mai Loan
Indiv
2.0%
4.9 trieu
Công ty Cổ phần Quản Lý Quỹ Việt Cát
Inst
1.8%
4.0 trieu
nguyen-thanh-hung
Indiv
1.7%
5.9 trieu
Huỳnh Thị Kim Tuyến
Indiv
0.4%
1.2 trieu
Nguyễn Thế Tài
Indiv
0.3%
646.232
nguyen-thi-anh-tuyet
Indiv
0.3%
881.379
Đinh Hoài Châu
Indiv
0.1%
50.000
Đặng Trung Kiên
Indiv
0.1%
58.300
Bùi Thành Lâm
Indiv
0.1%
348.768
Nguyễn Thị Thùy Linh
Indiv
0.1%
116.550
Board & Management
Nguyễn Hồ Nam3.7%
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Thanh Hùng1.7%
Phó Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Bùi Thiện Phương Đông0.4%
Tổng Giám đốc
Huỳnh Thị Kim Tuyến0.4%
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Thế Tài0.3%
Phó Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Thị Ánh Tuyết0.3%
Người phụ trách quản trị công ty
Đinh Hoài Châu0.1%
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Bùi Thành Lâm0.1%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
THÂN THẾ HANH
Phụ trách Công bố thông tin/Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Đức Thái
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Tan Bo Quan, Andy
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị độc lập
Nguyễn Văn Bắc
Kế toán trưởng
Tomas Sven Jaehnig
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị độc lập
Morishima Kenji
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị độc lập
Nguyễn Đăng Hải
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Viết Cương
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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