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Công ty Cổ phần Procimex Việt Nam

VietnamConsumerThực phẩm và đồ uốngSản xuất thực phẩmUPCOMCT
6.500
VND · Last close

Calibrated intrinsic value vs last close

Illustrative estimate
Comparison requires review
+16.8%Calibrated value vs last close
Last close (VND)
6.500
Calibrated intrinsic value (VND)
7.590

Last close × (1 + calibrated gap / 100)

Earnings-capitalised value

Not available: the company reported a loss last year or its shares have too short a price history.

How it is calculated

  1. 1
    Measure the gap

    Between the model and the last close.

  2. 2
    Check the record2015–2024

    What gaps of that size went on to earn over the following year.

  3. 3
    Apply to the close

    That return is applied to the last close.

Keep in mind

  • For illustration only: not a validated forecast.
  • No uncertainty range: the estimate is a single figure.
  • Older record: it has not been re-measured on the current data.

Why it needs review

  • Trading liquidity is below the comparison threshold.

Also note

  • A release of working capital contributes to cash flow.
  • Net cash exceeds the market value of the company; the step from enterprise value to equity needs a check.

This estimate remains visible for checking its calculation. Its inputs require review before using it in a stock comparison. The model comparison behind this value needs review. The estimate does not remove the data limitations listed above.

Model reliability
Low
Model fitInput stabilityRisk checks
High requires the model’s diagnostic criteria to be met.
Probability of outperforming peers
Not assessed
A separate peer-outperformance probability is unavailable for this valuation.
Assessed 30 Oct 2026Not updated with daily prices

These assessments address different questions. Neither establishes that the displayed valuation is correct or guarantees a future return.

Valuation Breakdown

CT→Thực phẩm và đồ uống→Consumer
Classified as consumer because ICB sector “Thực phẩm và đồ uống” maps to the consumer group.
ModelFCF-Based DCF
Intrinsic = 70% x DCF Value + 30% x (Fair P/E x EPS)

A Discounted Cash Flow model built on Free Cash Flow (FCF), the cash a business generates after operating expenses and capital expenditures. Future FCF is projected for 10 years with gradually decaying growth, then discounted to today's value using WACC. The DCF value is blended 70/30 with a value from the company's own historical P/E.

Technical details
Why this model

Consumer staples/retail generate steady, predictable free cash flows, making them ideal for DCF. The time value of money principle means a dollar today is worth more than a dollar tomorrow. DCF captures this by discounting future cash flows at a rate reflecting the investment's risk (WACC).

How it works

Takes 3-year median FCF as the base. Estimates growth via ROIC x reinvestment rate (Damodaran framework), falling back to historical revenue growth. Projects 10 years with decay toward the sector's long-run growth rate. Discounts at CAPM-derived WACC. Blends 70% of the DCF value with 30% of a P/E value: the company's 5-year median P/E, held between 5x and 25x, times EPS.

Best for

Stable consumer businesses (food, beverage, retail, healthcare) with predictable, positive free cash flows.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.36%
+
Betasector default
0.910
x
ERP
4.38%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
11.10%
Ke
11.10%
x
E/(D+E)
96.37%
+
Kd(1-t)
3.60%
x
D/(D+E)
3.63%
=
WACC
10.82%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend8.00%
Growth decays 10%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
Base FCF→2.51B
Projection years→10
4
Valuation

We take the model’s gap to the last close, read what gaps of that size went on to earn over the following year in our 2015 to 2024 record, and apply that to the last close.

Last close (VND)→6.500
Calibrated value vs last close→+16.8%

Last close × (1 + calibrated gap / 100)

Calibrated intrinsic value (VND)
7.590
What feeds each step— click a source to highlight it in the statements
Discount rate (WACC)10.82%
Growth rate8.00%growth method: fundamental firm blend
Base cash flow2.5 tỷone off strip ratio: 0

DCF Sensitivity

Illustrative calibrated values from the standalone DCF scenarios below, anchored to the same last close. These scenarios leave out the other parts of a blended model and do not reproduce the headline value.

WACC \ Growth5.0%6.5%8.0%9.5%11.0%
8.8%7.9817.9818.1128.2418.241
9.8%7.9817.9817.9817.9818.112
10.8%7.7717.9817.9817.9817.981
11.8%7.5907.5907.5907.9817.981
12.8%7.5907.5907.5907.5907.590
Above market priceBelow market priceCurrent estimate
Feeds valuation:Cost of capitalGrowthModel inputsFinal calculation
Line item20262025202420232022202120202019201820172016201520142013
CURRENT ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·22212423242122201716223133
Cash and cash equivalents (Bn. VND)Net debt bridge
·210.91512137139180.62
Short-term investments (Bn. VND)Net debt bridge
·01800000001000
Accounts receivable (Bn. VND)
·0.50.38101014211780.8142419
Prepayments to suppliers (Bn. VND)
·0.40.330.40.40.40.70.50.60.70.060.20.1
Net Inventories
·020.07000000.05130.2611
Inventories, Net (Bn. VND)
·020.07000000.05130.2714
Other current assets
·0.20.40.70.080.070.060.050.040.050.030.000.91
Other current assets (Bn. VND)
·000000000000.50.6
LONG-TERM ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·29313128272727342135251717
Long-term trade receivables (Bn. VND)
·00000.010.030.030.0913311900
Other long-term receivables (Bn. VND)
·99999992538382500
Fixed assets (Bn. VND)
·778655676441415
Tangible fixed assets
·778655676441313
Intagible fixed assets
·0000000000.000.020.30.6
Long-term investments (Bn. VND)
·2020202020191927000.922
Investments in associate companies
·202020202019192700222
Other long-term assets (Bn. VND)
·0000000000−100
Other non-current assets
·1221.01111.010.30.910.6
Long-term prepayments (Bn. VND)
·0.9220.30.40.70.30.30.30.30.910.6
TOTAL ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·51535451504849543751474851
LIABILITIES (Bn. VND)
·475333422954812
Current liabilities (Bn. VND)
·44422223554811
Short-term borrowings (Bn. VND)Discount rate (WACC) +1
·0.40.50.6000000000.94
Advances from customers (Bn. VND)
·000000000000.30
Long-term liabilities (Bn. VND)
·0.4310.50.80.621940001
Long-term borrowings (Bn. VND)Discount rate (WACC) +1
·0.4310.5000000000
OWNER'S EQUITY(Bn.VND)Discount rate (WACC)
·47464948474645322846434039
Capital and reserves (Bn. VND)
·47464948474645322846434039
Paid-in capital (Bn. VND)
·30303030303030303030303030
Investment and development funds (Bn. VND)
·121277777777766
Undistributed earnings (Bn. VND)
·5412111198−5−99632
TOTAL RESOURCES (Bn. VND)
·51535451504849543751474851
Common shares (Bn. VND)
·30303030303030303030303030
◆vnvalue Research Note
Full equity analysis · PDF · Updated 30 Oct 2026

Dated original report: includes the model’s unadjusted figures; the website shows calibrated values.

Download

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025
59
Fair
Accrual Quality
100
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
2
Margin Stability
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025
Remainder
M −2.43 · 42nd pctile vs VN companies
YoY ▲ +0.29
Conservative vs VN peersUnusual accounting movement
Compare across the whole market

Ranked vs Vietnamese peers. The −1.78 Beneish cutoff is US-calibrated; ~28% of VN stocks exceed it.

DSRI
1.288
GMI
0.495
AQI
0.951
SGI
1.278
DEPI
1.250
SGAI
0.566
TATA
−0.085
LVGI
0.640

Checks measured on Vietnamese companies · FY2025

Receivables outside the trade cyclePrepayments to suppliers, loans and other long-term receivables / total assets
18.6%90th pctile
Accumulated losses / paid-in capitalUndistributed earnings below zero
None
Consecutive years of net lossProfit after tax of the parent
0
Owner's equityWithout the non-controlling interest
Positive

Percentiles rank each fiscal year against Vietnamese non-financial companies (0 lowest, 100 highest). Over FY2015-2024, low cash conversion and a large share of receivables outside the trade cycle came before more listing trouble and more net losses the next year.

Statutory loss tests (Decree 155/2020/NĐ-CP, Art. 120(1)(e), amended by Decree 245/2025/NĐ-CP): a HOSE or HNX listing is cancelled when the audited annual statements show net losses in each of the latest 3 years, accumulated losses above the paid-in charter capital, or negative owner's equity. Read here from the annual statements as the data vendor publishes them. The company trades on UPCoM, where these tests do not apply.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
9/9
Strong
Z-Score
5.86
Safe Zone
Sharpe
0.31
Positive
Composite
39
30 to 49
Piotroski F-Score Breakdown
✓Net Income > 0
✓Operating CF > 0
✓ROA Rising
✓OCF > Net Income
✓Lower Leverage
✓Better Liquidity
✓No Dilution
✓Margin Up
✓Turnover Up
DuPont Decomposition
Tax Burden0.98×Interest Burden0.97×Op. Margin0.03×Turnover0.76×Leverage1.09=ROE2.3%
Price Risk
Momentum
+53.7%
Volatility
168.6%
Max Drawdown
−75.9%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
17.73P/E
P/B
0.42
P/S
0.50
ROE
2.4%
ROA
2.1%
EPS
367
BVPS
15.622
Gross Margin
12.0%
Net Margin
2.8%
D/E
0.02
Current Ratio
5.58
EV/EBITDA
—
Div Yield
—

Company Overview

Shares outstanding
3.0M
Charter Capital
30.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Thực phẩm và đồ uống
Industry (ICB L3)
Sản xuất thực phẩm
Sub-industry
Thực phẩm
Company Type
CT
Computed 30/10/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a stock research tool. Its results are calculated from public financial data with published formulas. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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