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Consumer sector

VLP

Consumer
Công ty Cổ phần Công trình Công cộng Vĩnh Long
Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp/Tư vấn & Hỗ trợ Kinh doanhCT
900
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Very Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
25.848
Current
900
Gap
+500.0%
ModelFCF DCF

Valuation Breakdown

CTHàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệpConsumer
Classified as consumer because ICB sector "Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp" maps to the consumer group
ModelFCF-Based DCF
Value = Sum of [FCF / (1+WACC)^t] + Terminal Value / (1+WACC)^n

A classic Discounted Cash Flow model built on Free Cash Flow (FCF), the actual cash a business generates after all operating expenses and capital expenditures. Future FCF is projected for 10 years with gradually decaying growth, then discounted back to today's value using WACC. This is the gold standard of intrinsic valuation: it values the company based on what it can actually deliver to shareholders, independent of market sentiment.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
1.000
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
11.50%
Ke
11.50%
x
E/(D+E)
74.89%
+
Kd(1-t)
6.52%
x
D/(D+E)
25.11%
=
WACC
10.25%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend5.53%
Growth decays 10%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
Base FCF4.84B
Projection years10
4
Valuation
Base FCF
4.84B
Growth Rate
5.53%
WACC
10.25%
Terminal Growth
4.00%
DCF Value
25.848
Value Decomposition
44%
56%
Explicit period (44%)Terminal value (56%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — VLP

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2024

11
Poor
Accrual Quality
10
Cash Conversion
0
Receivables
0
Margin Stability
57
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2024

-0.31
High Risk
DSRI
1.903
GMI
1.079
AQI
0.679
SGI
0.665
DEPI
0.940
SGAI
1.090
TATA
0.327
LVGI
0.342

The forensic assessment of VLP indicates significant risks associated with earnings manipulation and poor earnings quality. The Beneish M-Score of -0.3141, coupled with an alarming earnings quality score of 11.0/100, suggests potential financial misreporting and a lack of transparency in financial practices.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of -0.3141, indicating potential earnings manipulation as it is above the threshold of -1.78.
  • Earnings Quality Score of 11.0/100, with eq_cash_conv and eq_receivables both at 0.0/100, highlighting severe issues in cash conversion and receivables management.
Positive Signals
  • The SGI of 0.6654 suggests a decline in sales growth, which may indicate a cautious approach to expansion amidst potential market challenges.
Ownership Risk

The overwhelming state ownership at 81.2% by the Ủy Ban Nhân Dân Tỉnh Vĩnh Long raises concerns about governance and accountability, potentially leading to misalignment of interests between the state and minority shareholders.

Recommendation

Investors should exercise caution and conduct further due diligence before considering an investment in VLP, focusing on the company's financial reporting practices and governance structure.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
3/9
Weak
Z-Score
2.36
Grey Zone
Sharpe
0.00
Negative
Composite
50
Fair
Price Risk
Momentum
+0.0%
Volatility
0.0%
Max Drawdown
-0.0%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2024
2.86P/E
P/B0.06
P/S0.06
ROE4.1%
ROA3.3%
EPS588.20
BVPS14269.66
Gross Margin19.9%
Net Margin3.9%
D/E0.09
Current Ratio8.75
Rev Growth-36.0%
Profit Growth-57.1%
EV/EBITDA-1.18
Div Yield22.2%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
3.5M
Charter Capital
35.4B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp
Industry (ICB L3)
Tư vấn & Hỗ trợ Kinh doanh
Sub-industry
Chất thải & Môi trường
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for VLP — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Ủy Ban Nhân Dân Tỉnh Vĩnh Long
State
81.2%
2.9 trieu
Ngô Thành Thía
Indiv
0.6%
22.200
Lê Thị Thanh Nhàn
Indiv
0.6%
21.500
Đào Thanh Liêm
Indiv
0.6%
20.800
Nguyễn Thị Quý
Indiv
0.3%
10.000
Phan Thanh Hiền
Indiv
0.3%
9.400
Trần Thị Kim Dung
Indiv
0.2%
6.900
Nguyễn Khắc Yên Đan
Indiv
0.1%
4.300
Cù Minh Sương
Indiv
0.1%
3.800
Mạc Kiều Trâm
Indiv
0.1%
3.800
Board & Management
Ngô Thành Thía0.6%
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Lê Thị Thanh Nhàn0.6%
Phó Giám đốc
Trần Thị Kim Dung0.2%
Kế toán trưởng
Nguyễn Văn Thuần
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Giám đốc
Phạm Công Hiền
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Phạm Thị Phương Loan
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Trương Tấn Đạt
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Top connections
Computed 12/04/2026
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