TDM
UtilitiesValuation Breakdown
The Dividend Discount Model values a stock based on its future dividend payments, discounted to present value. The 3-stage variant captures three phases of a company's life: high growth (years 1-3), a transition period where growth declines linearly (years 4-6), and a terminal stage of stable, perpetual growth (year 7+). As John D. Rockefeller said: "The only thing that gives me pleasure is to see my dividends coming in."
Valuation Track Record
Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — TDM
Earnings Quality
Fiscal year 2025
Financial Forensics
Beneish M-Score · 2025
The Beneish M-Score of -1.3944 suggests that TDM is not currently exhibiting strong signs of earnings manipulation, as it is below the threshold of -1.78. However, the elevated DSRI and GMI indicate potential concerns regarding inventory management and gross margin deterioration, which could affect future profitability.
- DSRI of 1.8318 indicates a significant increase in inventory relative to sales, suggesting potential overstocking or demand issues.
- GMI of 1.6574 shows a declining gross margin, which could indicate pricing pressures or rising costs that may affect profitability.
- Earnings Quality Score of 38.5/100 indicates that while there are concerns, the accrual component is strong at 91.7/100, suggesting that reported earnings are backed by actual cash flows.
- SGI of 0.9297 indicates that sales growth is in line with industry expectations, which may reflect stable demand.
The top shareholders include several institutional investors, which may provide some stability; however, the largest shareholder holds only 14%, indicating a fragmented ownership structure that could lead to governance challenges.
Investors should closely monitor inventory levels and gross margins while considering a cautious approach to investment in TDM. A deeper analysis of cash flow and operational efficiency is recommended before making significant investment decisions.
Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.
Quantitative Scores
Key Ratios
Company Overview
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