CJC
CyclicalsValuation Breakdown
Cyclical companies (chemicals, oil & gas, basic resources) have earnings that swing dramatically with commodity prices and economic cycles. Valuing them on a single year's earnings is misleading: they look cheap at peaks and expensive at troughs. This model uses 7-year median EBITDA ("mid-cycle" earnings) and a 7-year median EV/EBITDA multiple to estimate what the firm is worth at a normal point in the cycle.
Valuation Track Record
Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — CJC
Earnings Quality
Fiscal year 2025
Financial Forensics
Beneish M-Score · 2017
CJC exhibits significant red flags indicating potential financial manipulation, as evidenced by a Beneish M-Score of 13.677, well above the threshold of -1.78. The earnings quality metrics further reveal severe weaknesses, particularly in cash conversion and revenue recognition, which could undermine investor confidence.
- Beneish M-Score of 13.677 indicates a high likelihood of earnings manipulation.
- Earnings Quality Score of 30.1/100 highlights poor cash conversion (0.0/100) and revenue recognition (0.0/100), suggesting potential issues with reported earnings.
- Institutional ownership of 37.5% by Công ty Cổ Phần Tập Đoàn Austdoor may provide some level of oversight and stability.
The ownership structure is heavily concentrated, with the top shareholder holding 37.5%, which could lead to governance risks and potential conflicts of interest in decision-making.
Investors should exercise caution and conduct further due diligence before considering any investment in CJC, particularly focusing on the company's cash flow and revenue recognition practices.
Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.
Quantitative Scores
Key Ratios
Company Overview
// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK
> mapping common ownership for CJC — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate