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Consumer sector

DBC

Consumer
Công ty Cổ phần Tập đoàn Dabaco Việt Nam
Thực phẩm và đồ uống/Sản xuất thực phẩmCT
23.200
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Overvalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
10.482
Current
23.200
Gap
-54.8%
ModelFCF DCF

Valuation Breakdown

CTThực phẩm và đồ uốngConsumer
Classified as consumer because ICB sector "Thực phẩm và đồ uống" maps to the consumer group
ModelFCF-Based DCF
Value = Sum of [FCF / (1+WACC)^t] + Terminal Value / (1+WACC)^n

A classic Discounted Cash Flow model built on Free Cash Flow (FCF), the actual cash a business generates after all operating expenses and capital expenditures. Future FCF is projected for 10 years with gradually decaying growth, then discounted back to today's value using WACC. This is the gold standard of intrinsic valuation: it values the company based on what it can actually deliver to shareholders, independent of market sentiment.

Distressed Valuation
Negative Intrinsic Value
BVPS
20.963
x
Discount
50%
=
Floor Value
20.963

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — DBC

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

57
Fair
Accrual Quality
90
Cash Conversion
59
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
0
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-1.73
Elevated
DSRI
1.601
GMI
0.773
AQI
1.281
SGI
1.098
DEPI
0.901
SGAI
1.014
TATA
0.025
LVGI
0.950

DBC exhibits a moderate risk of earnings manipulation as indicated by its Beneish M-Score of -1.7261, which is close to the manipulation threshold of -1.78. While the earnings quality score of 57.2 suggests some strengths, significant weaknesses in revenue and margin metrics raise concerns.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of -1.7261 is close to the manipulation threshold of -1.78, indicating potential earnings manipulation.
  • Earnings Quality Score of 57.2 is dragged down by 0.0/100 in both eq_margin and eq_revenue, suggesting poor revenue recognition and profitability.
  • DSRI of 1.6013 indicates a significant increase in receivables relative to sales, which could signal aggressive revenue recognition practices.
Positive Signals
  • High eq_accrual score of 89.9/100 indicates strong accrual quality, suggesting that reported earnings may be reliable.
  • Top shareholder Nguyễn Như So holds a substantial 23.9% stake, indicating potential alignment of interests with minority shareholders.
Ownership Risk

The ownership structure is somewhat concentrated, with the top shareholder holding nearly a quarter of the company, which could lead to governance risks if their interests diverge from those of minority investors.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor DBC's revenue recognition practices and consider a cautious approach due to the elevated risk of earnings manipulation. Engaging with management regarding their revenue policies could provide further clarity.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
5/9
Neutral
Z-Score
2.40
Grey Zone
Sharpe
0.24
Positive
Composite
47
Weak
Price Risk
Momentum
+17.7%
Volatility
30.4%
Max Drawdown
-29.2%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
5.93P/E
P/B1.11
P/S0.60
ROE20.3%
ROA10.0%
EPS3915.04
BVPS20963.14
Gross Margin18.4%
Net Margin10.1%
D/E0.98
Current Ratio1.42
Rev Growth13.2%
Profit Growth95.9%
EV/EBITDA5.88
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
384.9M
Charter Capital
3848.7B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Thực phẩm và đồ uống
Industry (ICB L3)
Sản xuất thực phẩm
Sub-industry
Nuôi trồng nông & hải sản
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for DBC — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Nguyễn Như So
Indiv
23.9%
92.0 trieu
Vietnam Holding Ltd
Inst
6.2%
3.0 trieu
Công ty Cổ phần Chứng khoán SSI
Inst
5.0%
5.2 trieu
Vietnam Equity Holding
Inst
4.8%
3.0 trieu
Fraser Investment Holdings Private Limited
Inst
4.8%
5.0 trieu
andbanc investments sif-vietnam value and income portfolio
Inst
4.1%
3.4 trieu
Ssiam Sif - Vietnam Active Value Portfolio
Indiv
4.0%
3.6 trieu
Nguyễn Thị Ngọc Anh
Indiv
3.9%
3.0 trieu
PYN Elite Fund
Inst
3.6%
12.1 trieu
Nguyễn Thị Tân Hòa
Indiv
1.8%
6.7 trieu
nguyen-thu-hien
Indiv
1.1%
4.3 trieu
Nguyễn Thị Thu Hường
Indiv
1.1%
4.2 trieu
Nguyễn Thế Tường
Indiv
1.1%
4.1 trieu
Ssiam Ucits
Inst
1.0%
810.570
Nguyễn Khắc Thảo
Indiv
0.9%
3.6 trieu
Nguyễn Hà Chi
Indiv
0.9%
3.5 trieu
Trần Xuân Mạnh
Indiv
0.5%
444.312
Công ty TNHH Cao Nguyên
Inst
0.5%
300.000
Nguyễn Văn Quân
Indiv
0.4%
259.100
Nguyễn Thị Huệ Minh
Indiv
0.4%
1.4 trieu
Công ty TNHH Quản lý quỹ SSI
Inst
0.3%
257.279
Nguyễn Khoảng Cách
Indiv
0.1%
86.000
Board & Management
Nguyễn Như So23.9%
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Thị Thu Hương1.1%
Kế toán trưởng/Phó Tổng Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Thế Tường1.1%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Khắc Thảo0.9%
Tổng Giám đốc/Phó Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Thị Huệ Minh0.4%
Phụ trách Công bố thông tin/Người phụ trách quản trị công ty
Phạm Văn Học
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Hoàng Nguyên
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Văn Tuế
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Hoàng Văn Chung
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Thị Bích
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Hồ Sỹ Quý
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Đinh Thị Minh Thuận
Trưởng Ban Kiểm toán nội bộ
Nguyễn Thanh Hương
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Bùi Văn Hoan
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Hoàng Nguyên Học
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Thị Thu Hường
Thành viên Ban Kiểm toán nội bộ
Nguyễn Thế Chinh
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Sinh Anh
Thành viên Ban Kiểm toán nội bộ
Nguyễn Thị Bích
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Thanh Hà
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Computed 12/04/2026
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