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Utilities sector

DNH

Utilities
Công ty Cổ phần Thủy điện Đa Nhim - Hàm Thuận - Đa Mi
Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt/Sản xuất & Phân phối ĐiệnCT
42.700
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Overvalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
28.980
Current
42.700
Gap
-32.1%
ModelDDM 3STAGE

Valuation Breakdown

CTĐiện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốtUtility
Classified as utility because ICB sector "Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt" maps to the utility group
Model3-Stage DDM
Value = Sum of [DPS x (1+g)^t / (1+Ke)^t] + Terminal Dividend / (Ke - g_terminal)

The Dividend Discount Model values a stock based on its future dividend payments, discounted to present value. The 3-stage variant captures three phases of a company's life: high growth (years 1-3), a transition period where growth declines linearly (years 4-6), and a terminal stage of stable, perpetual growth (year 7+). As John D. Rockefeller said: "The only thing that gives me pleasure is to see my dividends coming in."

1
Cost of Equity (Ke)
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
0.600
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
8.70%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental equity blend4.60%
3
Model Inputs
DPS source:Actual dividends
DPS1.400
Payout ratio59.8%
4
Valuation
Dividends Per Share
1.400
Base Growth
4.60%
Cost of Equity
8.70%
Terminal Growth
3.50%
DDM Value
28.980
Value Decomposition
25%
75%
Explicit period (25%)Terminal value (75%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — DNH

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

75
Good
Accrual Quality
94
Cash Conversion
92
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
87
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-2.66
Low Risk
DSRI
0.750
GMI
0.974
AQI
0.841
SGI
1.098
DEPI
0.926
SGAI
0.748
TATA
-0.016
LVGI
0.741

The Beneish M-Score of -2.6552 indicates that DNH is unlikely to be involved in earnings manipulation, as it is well below the threshold of -1.78. However, the earnings quality metrics reveal a concerning score of 0.0 for revenue recognition, which may suggest issues with revenue reporting.

Red Flags
  • Earnings Quality Score of 0.0 for eq_revenue indicates potential revenue recognition issues.
  • High concentration of ownership with 99.9% held by Tổng Công ty Phát điện 1 raises concerns about governance and minority shareholder rights.
Positive Signals
  • Strong earnings quality metrics with an eq_accrual of 93.7/100 and eq_cash_conv of 92.4/100 suggest that the company's earnings are largely cash-based and of high quality.
Ownership Risk

The overwhelming ownership by a single state-owned enterprise (SOE) could lead to governance issues and limit the influence of minority shareholders, posing a risk to independent oversight.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor revenue reporting practices and consider advocating for improved transparency and governance structures to protect minority interests.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
8/9
Strong
Z-Score
9.09
Safe Zone
Sharpe
0.55
Positive
Composite
58
Fair
Price Risk
Momentum
+12.7%
Volatility
81.0%
Max Drawdown
-35.7%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
25.20P/E
P/B4.13
P/S10.37
ROE17.2%
ROA12.6%
EPS2226.62
BVPS13575.06
Gross Margin53.6%
Net Margin41.2%
D/E0.28
Current Ratio6.28
Rev Growth9.8%
Profit Growth4.2%
EV/EBITDA15.69
Div Yield2.5%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
422.4M
Charter Capital
4224.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt
Industry (ICB L3)
Sản xuất & Phân phối Điện
Sub-industry
Sản xuất & Phân phối Điện
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for DNH — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Tổng Công ty Phát điện 1
Inst
99.9%
422.1 trieu
Board & Management
Đỗ Minh Lộc
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Phạm Thị Hồng Hà
Kế toán trưởng
Lê Văn Quang
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Đình Chiến
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Trọng Oánh
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Hoàng Văn Long
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Trịnh Quang Tiến Phước
Phụ trách Công bố thông tin
Computed 12/04/2026
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