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Real Estate sector

DXS

Real Estate
Công ty Cổ phần Dịch vụ Bất động sản Đất Xanh
Bất động sảnCT
6.760
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Overvalued
Very Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
6.302
Current
6.760
Gap
-6.8%
ModelDCF LEVERAGE SCREEN

Valuation Breakdown

CTBất động sảnReal Estate
Classified as real estate because ICB sector "Bất động sản" maps to the real estate group
ModelRNAV + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 40% x (BVPS x 1.5) + 60% x DCF Value

Real estate developers in Vietnam report land banks at historical acquisition cost (Vietnamese Accounting Standards don't allow revaluation). This means book value severely understates true asset value. This model blends two approaches: an RNAV proxy (revalued net asset value, applying a 1.5x factor to book value) weighted 40%, and a DCF on normalized cash flows weighted 60%. Highly leveraged firms receive a +2% WACC penalty.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
1.300
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
13.60%
Ke
13.60%
x
E/(D+E)
52.42%
+
Kd(1-t)
6.03%
x
D/(D+E)
47.58%
=
WACC
10.00%
+2% WACC penalty (high leverage)
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend3.00%
Growth decays 10%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
4
Valuation
40%RNAV Proxy
13.662
60%DCF Value
1.396
Blended Intrinsic
6.302
Value Decomposition
33%
67%
Explicit period (33%)Terminal value (67%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — DXS

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

41
Weak
Accrual Quality
83
Cash Conversion
0
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
0
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-2.14
Moderate
DSRI
0.660
GMI
1.033
AQI
0.731
SGI
1.616
DEPI
1.158
SGAI
1.005
TATA
0.044
LVGI
1.070

DXS exhibits several concerning indicators of potential earnings manipulation, particularly with a Beneish M-Score of -2.1359, which is below the manipulation threshold of -1.78. The earnings quality score of 40.6/100 further highlights significant weaknesses, particularly in cash conversion and margin metrics.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of -2.1359 indicates potential earnings manipulation, significantly below the threshold of -1.78.
  • Earnings Quality Score of 40.6/100, with cash conversion at 0.0/100 and margin at 0.0/100, suggests poor earnings quality.
Positive Signals
  • DSRI of 0.6599 indicates lower growth in receivables relative to sales, which can be a positive sign in terms of revenue recognition.
  • Strong receivables score of 100.0/100 suggests effective management of accounts receivable.
Ownership Risk

The ownership structure is heavily concentrated with Công ty Cổ phần Tập đoàn Đất Xanh holding 55.4%, which may lead to governance risks and potential conflicts of interest, particularly in decision-making processes.

Recommendation

Investors should exercise caution and conduct further due diligence, particularly focusing on cash flow and revenue recognition practices, before considering any investment in DXS.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
4/9
Neutral
Z-Score
1.43
Distress Zone
Sharpe
0.03
Positive
Composite
50
Fair
Price Risk
Momentum
+21.0%
Volatility
46.8%
Max Drawdown
-50.9%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
12.63P/E
P/B0.67
P/S1.08
ROE5.5%
ROA2.1%
EPS581.01
BVPS10929.41
Gross Margin46.8%
Net Margin8.5%
D/E0.92
Current Ratio2.30
Rev Growth50.9%
Profit Growth139.2%
EV/EBITDA9.28
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
579.1M
Charter Capital
5741.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Bất động sản
Industry (ICB L3)
Bất động sản
Sub-industry
Tư Vấn, Định giá, Môi giới Bất động sản
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for DXS — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Công ty Cổ phần Tập đoàn Đất Xanh
Inst
55.4%
320.7 trieu
Đỗ Thị Hiền
Indiv
4.9%
22.1 trieu
Board & Management
Nguyễn Trường Sơn
Tổng Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Phạm Thị Nguyên Thanh
Giám đốc
PHẠM ANH KHÔI
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Trần Thanh Tân
Trưởng Ban Kiểm toán nội bộ /Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị độc lập
Hà Đức Hiếu
Thành viên Ban Kiểm toán nội bộ/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Lương Trí Thìn
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
TẠ HOÀI HẠNH
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Trần Thị Phương Loan
Kế toán trưởng
Lê Trần Bích Thùy
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

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