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Consumer sector

FRT

Consumer
Công ty Cổ phần Bán lẻ Kỹ thuật số FPT
Bán lẻCT
162.500
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Overvalued
Medium
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
119.688
Current
162.500
Gap
-26.4%
ModelFCF DCF

Valuation Breakdown

CTBán lẻConsumer
Classified as consumer because ICB sector "Bán lẻ" maps to the consumer group
ModelFCF-Based DCF
Value = Sum of [FCF / (1+WACC)^t] + Terminal Value / (1+WACC)^n

A classic Discounted Cash Flow model built on Free Cash Flow (FCF), the actual cash a business generates after all operating expenses and capital expenditures. Future FCF is projected for 10 years with gradually decaying growth, then discounted back to today's value using WACC. This is the gold standard of intrinsic valuation: it values the company based on what it can actually deliver to shareholders, independent of market sentiment.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
0.800
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
10.10%
Ke
10.10%
x
E/(D+E)
16.67%
+
Kd(1-t)
6.33%
x
D/(D+E)
83.33%
=
WACC
10.00%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend4.00%
Growth decays 10%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
Base FCF1590.28B
Projection years10
4
Valuation
Base FCF
1590.28B
Growth Rate
4.00%
WACC
10.00%
Terminal Growth
4.00%
DCF Value
119.688
Value Decomposition
43%
57%
Explicit period (43%)Terminal value (57%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — FRT

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

70
Fair
Accrual Quality
70
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
0
Revenue Quality
48

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-2.38
Moderate
DSRI
1.372
GMI
0.965
AQI
0.654
SGI
1.274
DEPI
0.886
SGAI
0.990
TATA
-0.074
LVGI
0.904

FRT exhibits a Beneish M-Score of -2.3802, indicating a low likelihood of earnings manipulation. However, the earnings quality score of 69.8 suggests potential concerns, particularly in revenue recognition and margin quality, which could impact investor confidence.

Red Flags
  • DSRI at 1.3718 indicates a significant increase in receivables relative to sales, which may signal aggressive revenue recognition practices.
  • SGI at 1.2737 suggests that sales growth is outpacing the industry average, raising concerns about sustainability.
Positive Signals
  • Earnings Quality Score of 69.8/100 reflects a relatively strong cash conversion rate (100.0/100), indicating that earnings are backed by cash flow.
  • Strong institutional ownership with top shareholders holding 86.2% of shares, which may provide stability and oversight.
Ownership Risk

The high concentration of institutional ownership (86.2%) reduces the risk of erratic decision-making by minority shareholders, but it may also lead to a lack of diversity in perspectives on corporate governance.

Recommendation

Investors should monitor revenue recognition practices closely due to the elevated DSRI and SGI ratios, while considering the strong institutional backing as a stabilizing factor.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
7/9
Strong
Z-Score
3.45
Safe Zone
Sharpe
0.20
Positive
Composite
52
Fair
Price Risk
Momentum
+2.4%
Volatility
39.6%
Max Drawdown
-35.0%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
36.42P/E
P/B6.94
P/S0.57
ROE26.1%
ROA4.0%
EPS4667.39
BVPS24494.52
Gross Margin19.6%
Net Margin1.6%
D/E3.61
Current Ratio1.17
Rev Growth27.3%
Profit Growth150.3%
EV/EBITDA21.05
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
170.3M
Charter Capital
1703.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Bán lẻ
Industry (ICB L3)
Bán lẻ
Sub-industry
Phân phối hàng chuyên dụng
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for FRT — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Công ty Cổ phần FPT
Inst
46.5%
63.4 trieu
Dragon Capital
Inst
20.0%
0
Công ty Cổ phần Quản lý quỹ VinaCapital
Inst
15.0%
0
CTBC Vietnam Equity Fund
Inst
4.9%
6.7 trieu
VOF Investment Limited
Inst
4.8%
3.8 trieu
Vietnam Enterprise Investments Limited
Inst
1.3%
2.2 trieu
amersham industries limited
Inst
1.2%
2.1 trieu
aquila spc ltd
Inst
1.2%
811.903
Hanoi Investments Holdings Limited
Inst
1.1%
1.9 trieu
Norges Bank
Inst
0.7%
1.1 trieu
DC Developing Markets Strategies Public Limited Company
Inst
0.6%
937.625
Nguyễn Bạch Điệp
Indiv
0.5%
843.093
Trịnh Hoa Giang
Indiv
0.3%
494.093
nguyen-viet-anh
Indiv
0.2%
310.421
Vietnam Co-investment Fund
Inst
0.1%
110.000
Board & Management
Nguyễn Bạch Điệp0.5%
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Trịnh Hoa Giang0.3%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Việt Anh0.2%
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Lê Hồng Việt
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Trần Thị Nga
Kế toán trưởng
Phạm Duy Hoàng Nam
Giám đốc Tài chính
Nguyễn Đình Hùng
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Trần Khương
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Ngô Thị Minh Huệ
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Trần Thị Huyền
Người phụ trách quản trị công ty
Nguyễn Đắc Việt Dũng
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị độc lập
Hoàng Trung Kiên
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Tổng Giám đốc
Computed 12/04/2026
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