VNVALUEVNVALUE
Updated weekly
Back to Dashboard
Construction sector

CTD

Construction
Công ty Cổ phần Xây dựng Coteccons
Xây dựng và Vật liệuCT
85.700
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Overvalued
Very Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
16.490
Current
85.700
Gap
-80.8%
ModelEV EBITDA DCF BLEND

Valuation Breakdown

CTXây dựng và Vật liệuConstruction
Classified as construction because ICB sector "Xây dựng và Vật liệu" maps to the construction group
ModelEV/EBITDA + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 50% x EV/EBITDA Value + 50% x DCF Value

Construction and industrial firms have characteristics of both cyclical businesses (lumpy project-based revenue) and growth companies (expanding order books). This model blends two approaches 50/50: EV/EBITDA valuation (captures current earning power relative to peers) and FCF-based DCF (captures future cash generation potential). If EV/EBITDA produces a negative value (debt exceeds enterprise value), only DCF is used.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
1.100
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
12.20%
Ke
12.20%
x
E/(D+E)
32.09%
+
Kd(1-t)
6.36%
x
D/(D+E)
67.91%
=
WACC
10.00%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend3.00%
Growth decays 12%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
4
Valuation
50%EV/EBITDA Value
10.073
50%DCF Value
22.908
Blended Intrinsic
16.490
Value Decomposition
35%
65%
Explicit period (35%)Terminal value (65%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — CTD

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

54
Fair
Accrual Quality
81
Cash Conversion
0
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
29
Revenue Quality
64

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-2.15
Moderate
DSRI
0.890
GMI
1.025
AQI
0.670
SGI
1.340
DEPI
0.644
SGAI
0.480
TATA
0.047
LVGI
1.071

CTD exhibits a Beneish M-Score of -2.1536, indicating a low likelihood of earnings manipulation. However, the earnings quality metrics reveal significant weaknesses, particularly in cash conversion and profit margins, which could signal underlying operational issues.

Red Flags
  • Earnings Quality Score of 54.3/100, with a cash conversion score of 0.0/100 indicating severe issues in converting earnings to cash.
  • SGI of 1.3402 suggests aggressive revenue growth that may not be sustainable, raising concerns about the quality of reported earnings.
Positive Signals
  • Beneish M-Score of -2.1536 is well below the manipulation threshold of -1.78, suggesting a lower risk of earnings manipulation.
  • Receivables score of 100.0/100 indicates strong management of accounts receivable, which is a positive sign for cash flow management.
Ownership Risk

The top shareholders are predominantly institutional, with Kustocem Pte Ltd holding 17.9%. This concentrated ownership may lead to governance risks, particularly if interests diverge from minority shareholders.

Recommendation

Monitor operational performance closely, particularly cash flow and margin improvements. Consider engaging with management to address earnings quality concerns and ensure sustainable growth.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
3/9
Weak
Z-Score
1.48
Distress Zone
Sharpe
-0.15
Negative
Composite
30
Poor
Price Risk
Momentum
-8.1%
Volatility
43.7%
Max Drawdown
-33.0%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
11.37P/E
P/B0.95
P/S0.29
ROE8.6%
ROA2.5%
EPS7539.27
BVPS90557.41
Gross Margin3.6%
Net Margin2.5%
D/E2.67
Current Ratio1.30
Rev Growth34.0%
Profit Growth110.4%
EV/EBITDA14.75
Div Yield1.2%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
108.7M
Charter Capital
1087.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Industry (ICB L3)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Sub-industry
Xây dựng
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for CTD — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Kustocem Pte Ltd
Inst
17.9%
19.5 trieu
Công ty TNHH Một Thành Viên Kinh Doanh Và Đầu Tư Thành Công
Inst
14.2%
11.2 trieu
The 8th Pte., Ltd.
Inst
10.6%
11.6 trieu
Indochina Capital Vietnam Holdings Ltd.
Inst
6.9%
3.0 trieu
the ton poh fund
Inst
4.3%
2.1 trieu
Red River Holding
Inst
4.3%
1.9 trieu
Nguyễn Bá Dương
Indiv
4.2%
3.2 trieu
Công ty TNHH Thương mại Ánh Sáng
Inst
3.6%
1.6 trieu
Preston Pacific Limited
Inst
3.5%
2.6 trieu
Vietnam Dragon Fund Limited
Inst
3.5%
1.5 trieu
amersham industries limited
Inst
2.5%
1.1 trieu
KIM Vietnam Growth Equity Fund
Inst
2.5%
2.5 trieu
Vinacapital Vietnam Opportunity Fund Ltd.
Inst
2.4%
1.9 trieu
Kitmc Vietnam Growth Fund
Inst
2.1%
2.1 trieu
Công ty TNHH Đầu tư Xây dựng và Phát triển Tân Việt
Inst
2.1%
918.012
Talgat Turumbayev
Indiv
2.1%
2.2 trieu
Norges Bank
Inst
2.0%
854.173
tmam vietnam equity mother fund
Inst
1.9%
1.9 trieu
Bolat Duisenov
Indiv
1.6%
1.7 trieu
Trần Quang Quân
Indiv
1.5%
1.2 trieu
Nguyễn Sỹ Công
Indiv
1.5%
1.2 trieu
PXP Vietnam Emerging Equity Fund
Inst
1.1%
873.917
Phan Huy Vĩnh
Indiv
1.1%
841.217
KITMC Worldwide Vietnam RSP Balanced Fund
Inst
1.0%
1.1 trieu
Vietnam Property Fund Limited
Inst
1.0%
415.150
Trần Quang Tuấn
Indiv
0.9%
730.269
Vũ Thị Hồng Hạnh
Indiv
0.8%
641.014
Dragon Capital
Inst
0.6%
250.000
Hà Tiểu Anh
Indiv
0.6%
425.260
DC Developing Markets Strategies Public Limited Company
Inst
0.5%
210.430
Mekong Portfolio Investments Limited
Inst
0.4%
187.000
Huỳnh Hồng Mai
Indiv
0.3%
150.100
Lê Miên Thụy
Indiv
0.3%
266.596
Nguyễn Xuân Đạo
Indiv
0.3%
258.176
Từ Đại Phúc
Indiv
0.3%
261.094
Nguyễn Thị Phúc Long
Indiv
0.3%
255.868
Nguyễn Trình Thuỳ Trang
Indiv
0.3%
350.292
Nguyễn Chí Thiện
Indiv
0.3%
270.270
Kim Investment Funds - Kim Vietnam Growth Fund
Inst
0.2%
244.200
Võ Hoàng Lâm
Indiv
0.2%
228.908
Võ Thành Liêm
Indiv
0.2%
151.750
Trần Văn Chính
Indiv
0.2%
154.700
Trần Ngọc Hải
Indiv
0.2%
199.500
Hồ Văn Chí Thành
Indiv
0.2%
75.403
Quỹ Đầu tư Cổ phiếu Hưng Thịnh Vinacapital
Inst
0.1%
116.430
KIM PMAA Vietnam Securities Investment Trust 1(Equity)
Inst
0.1%
150.000
Nguyễn Văn Đua
Indiv
0.1%
157.290
Nguyễn Thị Huyền Nga
Indiv
0.1%
107.733
Board & Management
Talgat Turumbayev2.1%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Bolat Duisenov1.6%
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Võ Hoàng Lâm0.2%
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Trần Văn Chính0.2%
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Võ Thanh Liêm0.2%
Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Ngọc Lân
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Cao Thị Mai Lê
Kế toán trưởng
Phạm Quân Lực
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Tống Văn Nga
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Herwig Guido H. Van Hove
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Tan Ching Tiong
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị độc lập
Yerkin Tatishev
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Phan Hữu Duy Quốc
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Trịnh Ngọc Hiến
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Trịnh Quỳnh Giao
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Trần Văn Thức
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Tran Tri Gia Nguyen
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Anh Vũ
Người phụ trách quản trị công ty/Phụ trách Công bố thông tin
Chris Senekki
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Trần Văn Thức
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

By using vnvalue you accept the Terms of Service and Privacy Policy. Full disclaimer →