VNVALUEVNVALUE
Updated weekly
Back to Dashboard
Consumer sector

HFX

Consumer
Công ty Cổ phần Sản xuất - Xuất nhập khẩu Thanh Hà
Bán lẻCT
5.600
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Overvalued
Very Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
0
Current
5.600
Gap
-100.0%
ModelFCF DCF

Valuation Breakdown

CTBán lẻConsumer
Classified as consumer because ICB sector "Bán lẻ" maps to the consumer group
ModelFCF-Based DCF
Value = Sum of [FCF / (1+WACC)^t] + Terminal Value / (1+WACC)^n

A classic Discounted Cash Flow model built on Free Cash Flow (FCF), the actual cash a business generates after all operating expenses and capital expenditures. Future FCF is projected for 10 years with gradually decaying growth, then discounted back to today's value using WACC. This is the gold standard of intrinsic valuation: it values the company based on what it can actually deliver to shareholders, independent of market sentiment.

Distressed Valuation
Negative Intrinsic Value
BVPS
x
Discount
50%
=
Floor Value

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2024

24
Poor
Accrual Quality
0
Cash Conversion
8
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
10
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2024

-5.10
Low Risk
DSRI
0.781
GMI
1.221
AQI
1.028
SGI
1.041
DEPI
0.813
SGAI
0.397
TATA
-0.564
LVGI
1.069

HFX exhibits significant red flags indicating potential earnings manipulation, as evidenced by a Beneish M-Score of -5.0969, well below the manipulation threshold of -1.78. The company's earnings quality score of 23.6/100, particularly low cash conversion and revenue metrics, further raises concerns about the reliability of reported earnings.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of -5.0969 indicates a high likelihood of earnings manipulation.
  • Earnings Quality Score of 23.6/100, with eq_cash_conv at 8.4/100 and eq_revenue at 0.0/100, suggests poor earnings reliability.
Positive Signals
  • DSRI of 0.7806 indicates a lower risk of revenue manipulation through inventory management.
  • High receivables score of 100.0/100 suggests effective management of accounts receivable.
Ownership Risk

The ownership structure is concentrated among a few individuals, with the top five shareholders holding over 53% of the company. This concentration may lead to governance risks and potential conflicts of interest.

Recommendation

Investors should exercise caution and conduct further due diligence before considering HFX, focusing on verifying the integrity of financial statements and assessing management practices.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
5/9
Neutral
Z-Score
-31.10
Distress Zone
Sharpe
-0.44
Negative
Composite
34
Weak
Price Risk
Momentum
+60.5%
Volatility
113.2%
Max Drawdown
-83.7%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2024
-0.75P/E
P/B0.00
P/S0.31
ROE4.1%
ROA-42.8%
EPS-7426.97
BVPS0.00
Gross Margin16.7%
Net Margin-41.2%
D/E-1.09
Current Ratio0.06
Rev Growth4.1%
Profit Growth36.1%
EV/EBITDA-155.20
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
1.3M
Charter Capital
12.7B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Bán lẻ
Industry (ICB L3)
Bán lẻ
Sub-industry
Bán lẻ phức hợp
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for HFX — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
nguyen-minh-nguyet
Indiv
17.4%
221.300
Nguyễn Văn Hợp
Indiv
12.9%
163.700
Võ Thị Huệ
Indiv
10.8%
137.200
BÙI THỊ THU HÀ
Indiv
6.5%
82.060
Nguyễn Ngọc Vân
Indiv
5.3%
67.830
Trần Thị Minh
Indiv
3.1%
40.000
Board & Management
Nguyễn Văn Hợp12.9%
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
BÙI THỊ THU HÀ6.5%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Ngọc Vân5.3%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
TRẦN THỊ MINH3.1%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Ngọc Công
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Quang Huy
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Bùi Quang Thắng
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Đào Ngọc Bình
Kế toán trưởng
Nguyễn Thị Bình
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

By using vnvalue you accept the Terms of Service and Privacy Policy. Full disclaimer →